AFL 2017 - AFL Round 18

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How on earth are the Crows $1.50 compared to Geelong $2.70...the line to Geelong has to be close to the bet of the year!

Gold Coast and Collingwood are great bets too. WC are hopeless at the MCG.

This round is a lottery.
 

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For those small time punters out there playing the promos (like me) ladbrokes betblast (crows $2) and crownbet points pileup can be used together for a free shot at a bonus bet or small profit
Example:
$20 @ 2.7 for cats at crown and $34 @ 2 for crows at lads
Cats win you get a bonus bet or crows win you get $14
I'll combine crown, lads and sportsbet with the hope that one side (cats) get up early for the payout then the other (crows) comeback for a decent win :rainbow::rainbow: but could still switch it around depending on teams

Also liking Tiges and Bris for value this week, think Ess (-24.5) could also blow out kangas seeing as they're resting Ziebell and possibly debuting more kids
 
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Russian Demon said:
Does it need to be said that if you are throwing hail mary multis to chase your losses you need to take a break?

This kind of behavior is why all of the books can offer such insanely good deals like the 24 point payout, yet still be a money printing factory. If we all bet sensibly, these deals wouldn't exist because the bookies would get cleaned out too often.

Don't be the guy who loses far more than he can afford just so the patient punters can clean up.
Click to expand...
Do you really believe that the bookies are losing money with their 24pt payout offer??
 
Jimmy69r said:
Do you really believe that the bookies are losing money with their 24pt payout offer??
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Thats not what I said.

However, with the 24 point payout there is one of two options:

1) They are making less money than they would otherwise

2) The promo is bringing in so many new punters who punt impulsively that any reduction in profits is more than made up for in either the short or long term.


Pokie machines don't make their coin from the person chucking in $50 once a week when they go to the pub. They make the majority of their money form people who siphon nearly every dollar they have due to addiction.

Sports betting is going the same way, but instead of affecting pensioners, its hitting younger men.
 
LukeParkerno1 said:
How on earth are the Crows $1.50 compared to Geelong $2.70...the line to Geelong has to be close to the bet of the year!

Gold Coast and Collingwood are great bets too. WC are hopeless at the MCG.

This round is a lottery.
Click to expand...

Really? I understand the psychological side of the game is for mugs but I see Adelaide being switched on against Dangerfield, on a Friday night, where a loss would lose them top spot.

Adelaide will try here and that alone should be enough for it not to be bet of the year.
 
Jimmy_the_Gent said:
Really? I understand the psychological side of the game is for mugs but I see Adelaide being switched on against Dangerfield, on a Friday night, where a loss would lose them top spot.

Adelaide will try here and that alone should be enough for it not to be bet of the year.
Click to expand...

Hasn't happened the last 10 times...

They aren't $1.50 favourites for mine. Might win but closer to $1.80. Taking Geelong to win and Geelong at the line.
 
Jimmy69r said:
Do you really believe that the bookies are losing money with their 24pt payout offer??
Click to expand...

Yes, larger punters with bowlers are redirecting their funds from other bookies to SB or bet365. They don't necessarily have the best odds but you would take 2.10 and the payout offer over 2.12 that Ubet etc. is offering + no limit on the offers.
 

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wizzard400 said:
Off topic - anyone here punt on the NRL at all? I'm thinking of putting some coin down on the Broncos to beat the Bulldogs tonight but would like a 2nd opinion....
Click to expand...

From my promo whoring experience this season the Dogs are absolutely soft as garbage
 
wizzard400 said:
Off topic - anyone here punt on the NRL at all? I'm thinking of putting some coin down on the Broncos to beat the Bulldogs tonight but would like a 2nd opinion....
Click to expand...

Brisbane will win comfortably
 
Jimmy_the_Gent said:
Yeah bet of the year. Stuff that happened 5 years ago proves it.
Click to expand...

They belted them this season already. Plus I'm assuming Sloane is out as well as Lever. That cancels Dangerfield missing
 
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Im liking the kittens, melbourne, and the tiges this week as underdogs. Although ill take us at the line to save double dissapointment when we go down by a goal
 
wizzard400 said:
Off topic - anyone here punt on the NRL at all? I'm thinking of putting some coin down on the Broncos to beat the Bulldogs tonight but would like a 2nd opinion....
Click to expand...
Broncs will trounce them at suncorp
Load up
 

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AFL 2017 - AFL Round 18

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