AFL 2021 AFL Round 19

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Just saw someone put 600 on Boak AGS @ 4 and it got me thinking.. surely he snags one tonight?

Kicked 2 in his 200th and 1 in his 250th (first goal of the game).
Has kicked 22.13 in 33 games at Marvel and 11.5 in 17 games against Collingwood.

Obviously he hasn’t kicked well this year but it’s his 300th game (we all saw what happened in Riewoldt’s 300th), he will get plenty of opportunities tonight and I don’t think he’ll finish without a goal tbh
already got it covered! ;)
(getting smashed on SB into 2.25 now.)
rolling the dice..
1u boak ags @3.90 lads. In his big 300th. If Riewoldt can fire up in his 300th, i think boak could kick 1g too perhaps.
0.3u boak 2g+ @26.75 sb
0.2u 3g+ @401 sb
(i have a nibble on for 2g and 3g aswell but im aware he has only kicked 4 goals this year.)
had a scoring shot in 7/16 games.

edit: boak ags now at $4 on SB & Lads
(&kicked 2goals in his 200th game, 1 goal in his 250th game.)
 
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Was hoping to jump on Cripps $2 AGS with Mckay out but he's already down to 1.53/3.75/11 on SB

Wouldn't mind Ben Mckay 15+, assuming Harry being out would free him up and give him a more open and intercepting role but he's not an option on SB.
Closest is Josh Walker at $3.75 for 15+ which I personally wouldn't touch.
 
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A little on Amon AGS 2.26 at toppy, 8/17 this season suggests the odds are about right if not a little overs. Has been named half forward same as last week. Could end up switching out with duursma on the wing a little but should end up forward for a chunk of time.
 
Last play, have had a lot of time to look at this one thanks to lockdown!

2u - Maynard 20+ disposals - $1.65 - 365
1u - Maynard 25+ disposals - $3.75 - 365
Should be on kick out duty with Mayne out. Port will be a bit tall at times up forward allowing Maynard to get free and distribute.
 

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Elliot 2+
Dixon 2+
Geogiades 2+
@7.45 neds

SideBottom 1+
Mihocek 1+
Henry 1+
Rozee 1+
Marshall 1+
Boak 1+
@29 sb boosted

a lil 10 dollar bonus bet on Ginnivan 2+
@6.50
 
Last play, have had a lot of time to look at this one thanks to lockdown!

2u - Maynard 20+ disposals - $1.65 - 365
1u - Maynard 25+ disposals - $3.75 - 365
Should be on kick out duty with Mayne out. Port will be a bit tall at times up forward allowing Maynard to get free and distribute.

Who else are the options?
 
28-30 Goals Port V Collingwood @ 9 for me

and Exactly 13 Goals kicked in the 1st half between Pies v Collingwood @ 9.25 (Boosted to 9.75)

This is the kind of game where Collingwood with no expectations , can win

So SGM:

Powell Pepper 15+
Boak 28+
Collingwood to Win
@ 15.75 (Boosted to 17.75)
 
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AFL 2021 AFL Round 19

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