AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)

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They’ve taken down what dress Felgate is going to wear, saw a pic circulating that’s it’s gonna be gold…(unless the pic is from last year but couldn’t find her in gold last year)
 
Holy, these multi prices on SB are getting juiced AF now. 🙊 All the late-comers betting big bucks
 

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Allen round 1 $6

Houston R2 $13
Macrae R2 $4

Greene R3 $7

Treloar R4 $4

Edwards R5 $2.50
Redden R5 $2.75
Dunkley R5 $2.50
Walsh R5 $10

Walsh/Zorko R6 $8/$26
Salem R6 $3.10
Amon R6 $2.75
likeable. agree completely dunkley r5, should be closer to pick em. also where can you get 6for Allen in r1?
also can get $5 for Amon r6 on Ladbrokes. easy bet
 
Allen round 1 $6

Houston R2 $13
Macrae R2 $4

Greene R3 $7

Treloar R4 $4

Edwards R5 $2.50
Redden R5 $2.75
Dunkley R5 $2.50
Walsh R5 $10

Walsh/Zorko R6 $8/$26
Salem R6 $3.10
Amon R6 $2.75

Topsport offers value for some of these
Houston $21
Macrae $6

Greene $9

Edwards $3
Redden $3.30

Walsh $11
Salem $3.50
 
This is a very unscientific phantom, based off the bests as named in the match reports on the AFL website. The system gave me Akermanis in 2001 and the Goodes/Ricciuto/Buckley trifecta in 2003, but now I just do it for fun every year to see how close/far off it ends up.


View attachment 1240114

lol wines coming 14th would be a bit of a laff
 
How you calculating the odds?
Im leaving a bookmakers margin of roughly 25% in setting odds. As that is what roughly betting agencies set for the '3 Vote Markets'.

Try to look for a bit of value when looking for 3 Vote markets.

In some cases where I am a bit unsure about who was good , or unsure about vote allocation, I'd go through a 2nd review and in some cases a 3rd review, assigning weights.

I worked out that roughly on R studio that the bookmakers margin is around 25-26% for the 3 Vote matches.


Here is a bit of the screenshot that shows it:

Screen Shot 2021-09-19 at 5.47.54 pm.png
 
Im leaving a bookmakers margin of roughly 25% in setting odds. As that is what roughly betting agencies set for the '3 Vote Markets'.

Try to look for a bit of value when looking for 3 Vote markets.

In some cases where I am a bit unsure about who was good , or unsure about vote allocation, I'd go through a 2nd review and in some cases a 3rd review, assigning weights.

I worked out that roughly on R studio that the bookmakers margin is around 25-26% for the 3 Vote matches.


Here is a bit of the screenshot that shows it:

View attachment 1240140

 
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