AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)

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I'm backing in a lower scoring leaderboard....

Wines under 30.5
Oliver under 29.5
Parish under 23.5
Lyons under 19.5
Walsh under 25.5
@23

Betfair predictor has Wines polling in 20/23 games to get his projected 31.5 votes, think that is a huge polling % so I'm backing him to go a bit under
Hoping Petracca and Gawn takes some votes of Oliver
Parish I hope doesn't pick up many 1s and 2s, should still get above 20 though
Lyons I guess didn't start well, hoping Clugg gets the votes early on
Walsh because carlton....had a purple patch after the byes but hopefully he underpolls slightly earlier in the season
 

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Anyone reckon mundy is good for 19 votes

nope, would have taken under 19.5 when it opened, now down to 18.5.

Not much value at all, they’ve got the lines pretty much spot on for me for the majority of the players. Think mundy might still go under 18.5 but not touching these markets either. Way too line ball.
 
This is my comparison for the Rd 6 Brisbane v Carlton game

Think the question in this game will be 'Who polls the 1 vote?" McKay and McCluggage have the battle for the 3 and 2- which i think could go either way. Ill stick with my initial thinking and go for Zorko to snag that 1. Had 14 tackles and his thick thighs will stand out to the umps. Think it will be closer than what people think for the (3 v 2) and the 1 vote could go to 5-6 players.....this is my R output from a couple of observations of this game:


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This is why my count will be so damn wrong. I went with:

3 Walsh
2 Zorko
1 Robertson

McKay, McCluggage next best
 
Herald Sun have Wines on 39 votes wtf

And polling in 20 games, if he polls in 20 games and gets 39 votes I'll munch my left foot off, wish whoever put that together worked for sportsbet
 

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This is why my count will be so damn wrong. I went with:

3 Walsh
2 Zorko
1 Robertson

McKay, McCluggage next best
stick to your original opinion. It may very well be right.

Don't let Betfair or Coaches influence you. Honestly still reckon McKay is a huge shout for the 3 votes here. But i dont think I can have 2 Carlton players polling in a 3 goal loss here.
 
I just saw on PB
there is a Brownlow hub multi,
Bont most 3 vote games
Parish 25+
oliver to win the dees count
Guthrie top 20

$10.52
Parish could screw that one?
 
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