Well the human seagull in Jake Lloyd has pinched his sanity more than a few times, so it's definitely possible...
Trades 2021 Round 3 Fantasy Trades
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Well the human seagull in Jake Lloyd has pinched his sanity more than a few times, so it's definitely possible...
- Mar 11, 2019
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If i didn't have Witts and Gawn already i would probably bite the bullet as well
- Oct 14, 2011
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Ocean’s 13 where they rigged every table and everyone made 500k in a minute. He was at the only table where the magnets didn’t work
Sorry Red love ya mate
Yeah look, lots on the freo board rate him as best 22, so he may hold his spot. I'm not as sold on him though.
I just think we're going to see pretty significant changes to the freo forward line over the next month. You might be better served grabbing a rookie and pocketing the cash?
- May 20, 2017
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Short term no, long term maybe. As Treloar builds fitness he's going to attend more CBA's. Probably at the expense of Bont/Dunks who both might rotate forward.
- May 20, 2017
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Or they could throw Cameron in thinking it's a cake walk and share the Grundy load.....
- Oct 16, 2015
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Couple of forced trades over the last few weeks have left me in a hole. Looking for advice on best moves.
Im thinking one of the below but open to other options.
1) Caldwel and D Butler out for Dusty and Jordon - this gives me Jordon in Mid and Dusty up front - considering that Mid spot has been Rowell and a Caldwell the last 2 weeks I’ve been getting nothing from it anyway.
2) Caldwell and Taranto to One of Macrae, Merrett, Oliver or Bont and Jordon, but that leaves me with no real options for changes for FWD.
3) Caldwell and D Butler out for Dunkley and Jordon - this solves an issue up front but also leaves mid a bit heavy with rookies
4) Caldwell and Rankine out for Hind and Markov (via J Clark to MID) - this doesn’t get a premo but adds another piece in DEF
5) others I’ve been looking at are Serong, Laird, Fantasia, Butters (paired with a trade to add Jordon) and Highmore
current team
Def - H Young, C Daniel, L Duggan, J Clark, N Cox, Aliir
MID - Neale, Caldwel (INJ), Taranto, T Miller, R Sloane, B Smith, E Gulden, B Campbell
R - Witts, O McInerney, M Flynn (will be on field this week)
FWD - D Butler, T Hawkins, I Rankine, T Lynch, J Daniher, J Rowe
INT - Koschitzke, Cumming, collier-Dawkins, McNeil, H Jones, A Scott, C Downie
Im thinking one of the below but open to other options.
1) Caldwel and D Butler out for Dusty and Jordon - this gives me Jordon in Mid and Dusty up front - considering that Mid spot has been Rowell and a Caldwell the last 2 weeks I’ve been getting nothing from it anyway.
2) Caldwell and Taranto to One of Macrae, Merrett, Oliver or Bont and Jordon, but that leaves me with no real options for changes for FWD.
3) Caldwell and D Butler out for Dunkley and Jordon - this solves an issue up front but also leaves mid a bit heavy with rookies
4) Caldwell and Rankine out for Hind and Markov (via J Clark to MID) - this doesn’t get a premo but adds another piece in DEF
5) others I’ve been looking at are Serong, Laird, Fantasia, Butters (paired with a trade to add Jordon) and Highmore
current team
Def - H Young, C Daniel, L Duggan, J Clark, N Cox, Aliir
MID - Neale, Caldwel (INJ), Taranto, T Miller, R Sloane, B Smith, E Gulden, B Campbell
R - Witts, O McInerney, M Flynn (will be on field this week)
FWD - D Butler, T Hawkins, I Rankine, T Lynch, J Daniher, J Rowe
INT - Koschitzke, Cumming, collier-Dawkins, McNeil, H Jones, A Scott, C Downie
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- Mar 11, 2019
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Surely Coll ain't that dumb surely .... oh wait its Coll oh shit
Elliot injured injured does open a spot up but i doubt they replace a small with a tall
But you don't lose the 60k unless you trade. It comes down to the ultimate question of "what is the value of a trade" which I've thought about in the past but haven't nailed it down. If you take the price of the winning team at the end of the season, minus the starting price and divide the remainder by 30, you will get a sort of "value" of a what a trade should be worth on average. The probelm is that is hindsight only, but it could be a guide by taking a look at other season. I haven't done it myself but it might be something people should consider looking back at.
- Oct 14, 2011
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If Bucks has half a brain cell he’ll try to exploit the one advantage they have against a better team.
- Oct 16, 2015
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That's like saying you don't gain money unless you sell the player.
What you should do though is look at the 2 scenarios, where you trade Gaff and when you don't and see how they compare.
Look at what you are not losing and what you are not gaining in each scenario.
- May 20, 2017
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Surely Coll ain't that dumb surely .... oh wait its Coll oh sh*t
Elliot injured injured does open a spot up but i doubt they replace a small with a tall
Yeah.. Playing all 3 of Grundy/Cameron/Cox never works... but maybe it'll work if they try once more??
It wouldn't at all surprise me, but if they do it they'll lose.
- May 20, 2017
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That's actually a great idea.
It seems fantasy is quite variable looking back though.
My results:
2018 I was +$6.86M; Rank low 400's.
2019 I was + $5.06M; Rank Mid 3000's
2020 I was + $4.75M. Rank Mid 3000's
If we were to take the average high and low of that our range is ~ = $160,300 - $228,600 per trade.
However we probably make a lot of trades that are 50% higher or lower than those averages to then even out over the year.
So ~ $80k - $310k trades are happening and that evens out to be a touch under $190k per trade.
That actually really helps me on my Gaff decision. At $750k at this stage I would think a total disaster for Gaff might see him dropping down another $150k to $600k. At which point, if he turns his form around I'll want him back. So thats 2x trades for potentially $80k each and not really worth those trades.
Versus Tyson -> Lazzarro. Make $200k (tick). Plus Lazarro will make some money also (double tick).
- Mar 11, 2019
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[
Most trades in the first 2-5 rounds are to fix mistakes and probably bring the average down e.g. Danger to Dunkley
- May 20, 2017
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True but wherever possible we want to maximise our cash gen early too. Sideway trading Gaff probably doesnt do that (under the assumption he does in fact return to some 100+ scores... which who knows at this point...)
Gaff will be lucky to get 90 this season. Its not a form issue with him, its a new gameplan issue. He no longer gets those easy marks out of D50. They now going to the centre square and he is no where to be seen. I think he I gonna have to change to his way before he gets anywhere close again
- May 20, 2017
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Yeah the "heart to heart" between Simpson and Gaff was likely along the lines of.. you're not getting 30+ possessions a game anymore mate.. learn to live with it.
Mmm I doubt it, given they showed their hand last week by throwing De Goey forward to cover Elliot. My guess is, given their good win, they bring in Greenwood or Mayne to run with Neale, throw JDG forward, and keep the rest of the side pretty settled
Constantgin
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He can't do any less than he is doing now right ? So have to be a slight increase.
His my last rookie i need to fix tempted to give it another week
- Oct 16, 2015
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I think Stewart is losing out from this as well.
- May 20, 2017
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Alot seem to be losing out but there doesn't really appear a clear pattern of position.
More just all the players that are a bit of a seagull can't seagull as well.
Players who know how to get the footy are ok.
Lloyd/Neale/Gaff/Stewart/Haynes.. they're all that sort of player that links up in the crossover. The crossover is dead. These players are dead.
I think they'll all adapt and be ok though. Well maybe except haynes.
- May 20, 2017
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Not sure even a 70 would have me jumping on board. 80+ yep. 70 I'd wait another week and see how he goes in game 2.
$266k is so steep.
JDWCE
Norm Smith Medallist
Hopefully this doesn't impact Lazarro's place in the side
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