Player Watch 2022 AFL National Draft Discussion - read the pinned post

[Strapping Young Lad]

National AFL draft Monday November 28(first round only).
All other selections to be held on Tuesday November 29.
The pre-season and rookie drafts will then take place at 3pm (AEST) on Wednesday November 30.

 

[sohsam]

That's not really how it works, though. Any of those picks could be anywhere between A-graders or busts.

I'm making these numbers up as an example, but we'd be more likely to get at least one A-grader by taking 2 players with 30% chance of becoming one than 1 player with a 40% chance.

exactly, pick 64 person could be better than pick 1. Because of salary cap you can only have so many A grade players. Splitting picks in top 30 players can make sense if have done your homework and deep pool to choose from.

 

[peetoo]

Part of the success 05-15 came from doing something contra to the rest. Less competition so long as you plan is sound

Picking 2 KPP in 04 draft when tigers and dogs went midfielders

Picking up Hale lake McEvoy when heavily rebuilding clubs were divesting their ‘list cloggers’

 

[Suntory Boss Coffee]

I just think we need to remember that clubs have various different rankings for the top 10. I think 10 or so clubs said they would take DGB at pick 1 if they had the chance.

 

[Scrads]

Keeping pick 6 gives us more like an 80% chance of an A-grader considering who'll be available so why risk that for two picks outside the top ten?

If you think we have an 80% chance of getting an A grader with Pick 6, then I have bad news for you. Probably an 80% chance of still being on an AFL list after 10 years, let alone being an A grader.

 

[Brant]

Cam MacKenzie.

Would be terrible if Geelong ended up with Tsatas. That would be an amazing outcome for them.

 

[burger09]

Part of the success 05-15 came from doing something contra to the rest. Less competition so long as you plan is sound

Picking 2 KPP in 04 draft when tigers and dogs went midfielders

Picking up Hale lake McEvoy when heavily rebuilding clubs were divesting their ‘list cloggers’

Look at Catlton.

Weitering, Mckay, Curnow

****ing nailed it. (finally)

 

[burner1]

Wasn’t there a rumour a few weeks ago that hawks were considering jefferson with pick 6? So maybe he’s higher in our order that the media rankings. The dees trade makes a lot more sense in that context (as almost every mock draft has jefferson making it to the dees - eagles prob the risk).

We don’t mind picking skinnier kids. Jefferson has as much upside / a grade potential as anyone outside the top handful. Needs time to put on size but that’s fine.

There’s been hundreds of posts on how we need to take a few calculated risks.

 

[Billyc]

Would be terrible if Geelong ended up with Tsatas. That would be an amazing outcome for them.

Equalisation at its best if the premier gets gifted pick 7 from an incompetent expansion club and then drafts a bloke who was talked about as a top 3 pick until the last few weeks

 

[LunchboxLegend]

I know comparisons to this player happen way too much but I see a lot of similarities to Pendles in Mackenzie.

insert ‘basketball background‘ reference.

 

[Mr Meeseeks]

Equalisation at its best if the premier gets gifted pick 7 from an incompetent expansion club and then drafts a bloke who was talked about as a top 3 pick until the last few weeks

Move on from Geelong. They will get a good young kid. Yeah it's bullshit but it's one player.

They're not some invincible force, they've won 1 flag, they are set to lose a dozen of their best players in the next 2 years and their best player in the 23-28 age bracket is Atkins.



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[kirbatron]

when does Cals draft drop?

 

[The German Hunter]

Move on from Geelong. They will get a good young kid. Yeah it's bullshit but it's one player.

They're not some invincible force, they've won 1 flag, they are set to lose a dozen of their best players in the next 2 years and their best player in the 23-28 age bracket is Atkins.



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The cats will be fine, as long as GC keeps trading with them

 

[Hazardinho]

when does Cals draft drop?

6 or 7pm

 

[RIOLINWITPUNCHS]

I remember the days when you would just get out of bed at this time on a Saturday after a big Friday night so you could do it all again.

Now i sit here with my herbal tea wondering if I will still be awake when Cal drops his phantom draft.

 

[peetoo]

Equalisation at its best if the premier gets gifted pick 7 from an incompetent expansion club and then drafts a bloke who was talked about as a top 3 pick until the last few weeks

It’s the second time Gold Coast gifted Geelong.

No more priority picks for them

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

6 or 7pm

Thanks Cal.

 

[CaptainWorpedo]

Thank heavens only a two sleeps left to go.

 

[Hazardinho]

Thanks Cal.

It’s calculating cal twombstone twomey

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

MacKenzie

 

[tl92]

Cal Twomey's 2022 Phantom Draft: Top 30, late picks, club whispers

Who will your club take in this year's NAB AFL Draft? Our guru makes the call

www.afl.com.au

 

[TDS7]

MacKenzie

I'm very happy with Mackenzie if Tsatas isn't available, he's on Humphrey's level for mine. I just cannot imagine we'd pass on Tsatas if he's there.

 

[Suntory Boss Coffee]

If we do grab Mackenzie I can see Mitch Lewis being happy. Beautiful kick inside 50.

 

[tl92]

Something tells me Cal isn’t all that confident after pick 4 this year.

 

[Billyc]

Something tells me Cal isn’t all that confident after pick 4 this year.

Yes sounds like he doesn’t know what Essendon will do, which will shape it all

 

[Suntory Boss Coffee]

Yes sounds like he doesn’t know what Essendon will do, which will shape it all

Which is surprising as I imagine he has decent links to the club being a fan