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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Last night was crucial for us.
Looking at our fixture, I can fairly confidently say with respect that Eagles, North Melbourne and Essendon in the final game should all be fairly comfortable wins and potentially percentage boosters.
That would take Richmond to 11 wins for the season.
Based on a reasonable percentage, I think 13 wins could get us into finals, which means we still need to win 2 out of:
Geelong (MCG)
Suns (Metricon)
Freo (Marvel)
Brisbane (MCG)
Port Adealide (AO)
Hawthorn (MCG)
None of those are given, and some of them are quite tough, but I think out of Suns, Port and Hawks, we can pinch at least 2 of them.
Likely losses are Cats, Freo and Brisbane, but again none are unbeatable.
Essendon aren't a guaranteed win...The only way we make top 4 is by beating cats, Gold Coast and port. And at least 1 of lions or Freo. Tough ask but all the other games are guaranteed wins.
They should let Tim Watson give them a speech every weekEssendon aren't a guaranteed win...
Essendon aren't a guaranteed win...
They will be in round 23. Teams that can’t make finals drop off and stop trying in the last 1/4 of the season. Bottom 6 teams start getting absolutely smashed. Finals contenders get harder as they have something to play for.
Considering we’ve won our last dozen against them, I’m fairly confident we take care of them again.Essendon aren't a guaranteed win...
I just had a look at some of the fixtures for teams and looks very volatile for teams in top half of ladder.So many wrong predictions.
I think I’ll wait to my ladder prediction after Round 23.
Swans not to lose a game for the remaining rounds I don't think soi got this doing my tips for remaining 80+ games
View attachment 1426134
this would suit my wildcard idea whereby top 7 is set and next two best percentages play off for final 8th position (9th GC at 115% v 11th WB at 109%)
Swans could lose to ****ing Quambatook such is thereSwans not to lose a game for the remaining rounds I don't think so
I’m just imagining the scores when the Eagles and NM start to get smashed in the last 1/4 of the season!
Don't think Sydney or Richmond are locked. 1 unexpected loss by either and they are outside the top 8Brisbane
Freo
Geelong
Melbourne
Ricmond
Sydney
Then last 2 spots down to percentage out of....
Carlton
Bulldogs
Pies
Gold Coast
Oh yeah bad, WC might be ok if they get personnel back. They did so well against the cats. I’m not sure if the cats are s**t or Eagles are somewhat competitive now.
So we are completely out of the picture?Brisbane
Freo
Geelong
Melbourne
Ricmond
Sydney
Then last 2 spots down to percentage out of....
Carlton
Bulldogs
Pies
Gold Coast
So we are completely out of the picture?
I guess your team didn't tank hard enough lolThat moment I realise a random list generator makes some good calls. Though, there's a few bad ones (North Melbourne, Geelong)
But overall. Not bad.
Freo didn't look like on no man's land from rounds 3 to 8.After 2 rounds, we need to reconsider expectations on:
Swans (could make an argument for being flag favourite)
Carlton
Collingwood
Hawthorn
Gold Coast
Port
I would like to give Dogs and Dons more time as I can see in their games some really good footy.
Today's match against Tigers v GWS will tell us about those two teams only if Tigers win.
Nothing changes re Melb and Brisbane. Expectation still very high. Cats moderately high.
Equally Kangas, Crows and Eagles expectation are low.
Saints and Freo are the two that could find themselves in no man's land.
Loving how even the comp is and loving how well the new coaches are doing!
Redrawing the ladder:
Swans
Dees
Lions
Blues
Dogs
Cats
Suns
Giants
Pies
Hawks
Tigers
Port
Dons
Freo
Saints
Kangas
Eagles
Crows
Wow Freo in a preliminary final
That ladder is amazingMy last attempt at a ladder before the season starts. If u asked me to make a ladder without using squiggle it wouldn’t look anything like this.
QF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Western Bulldogs
W L D % 1. Brisbane Lions 18 4 0 118.4% 2. Sydney 18 4 0 115.4% 3. Melbourne 17 5 0 116.8% 4. Western Bulldogs 17 5 0 115.1% 5. Port Adelaide 17 5 0 114.9% 6. Geelong 17 5 0 114.5% 7. Essendon 15 7 0 108.7% 8. Carlton 15 7 0 106.0% 9. GWS 13 9 0 105.4% 10. Gold Coast 12 10 0 99.1% 11. Richmond 11 11 0 99.3% 12. Fremantle 7 15 0 91.1% 13. St Kilda 4 18 0 87.6% 14. Hawthorn 4 18 0 87.5% 15. Adelaide 4 18 0 85.1% 16. Collingwood 3 19 0 84.9% 17. West Coast 3 19 0 83.9% 18. North Melbourne 3 19 0 83.1%
QF2: Sydney v MELBOURNE
EF1: PORT ADELAIDE v Carlton
EF2: Geelong v ESSENDON
SF1: WESTERN BULLDOGS v Port Adelaide
SF2: SYDNEY v Essendon
PF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Sydney
PF2: MELBOURNE v Western Bulldogs