BriztoolAnnoys the s**t out of me.
Even worse he'll be flagging my post with our own mods this very second
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
BriztoolAnnoys the s**t out of me.
Wish he would **** off back to his own board and pretend to be a draft expert there instead.Briztool
Even worse he'll be flagging my post with our own mods this very second
Yes I said that, take it as a compliment, because I know the Suns are coming.I possibly used wrong word as English is not my first language I am sorry if that's the case. But I am pretty sure that beside Collingwood you said, "Please be it Suns too". I thought it was funny.
I did not go into reasons of Lions jumping up the ladder but beside great additions, I would add no injuries as another reason for sure.
I was just a bit surprised by your "ummm" comment regarding Suns 2024 prediction comment. You better not take away our hope
As far as Dew, let's see how we go next 1-2 years. FWIW, I probably value Dew coaching skills more than Fagan's who is obviously a great people person, but I have how some doubts about his coaching abilities.
I don’t hate the Suns. I don’t hate any team. I dislike some supporter bases, or certain aspects or peculiarities of a supporter base, but the Suns aren’t one those either.I wouldn't spend much energy worrying about offending a Brisbane supporter
Especially this guy who has somehow managed to continue his Suns hate posting here by masking it in pseudo neutral sports talk
Never done it before. Why would I do it now.Briztool
Even worse he'll be flagging my post with our own mods this very second
Just for clarification, I wasn’t talking historically.Look saying the Suns list management has been bad historically is like saying the lions can’t win away from the Gabba and during the finals… both are factual.
I don’t believe I’ve ever been critical of your drafting.Well it’s too early to make that call… Yeah the Bowes thing was a balls up. But if you look big picture at how everything has played out I wouldn’t be too critical… Look at how things have gone since the year prior to assistance package announcement so the last 5 drafts:
2018: Lukosius, Rankine, King
2019: Rowell, Anderson, Flanders, Sharp, Farrar, Budarick, Rosas
2020: Hollands, Davies, Jeffrey
2021: Andrew
2022: Humphrey
Drafting whilst besides Rankine the issue of players leaving appears resolved. Big tick.
Could we have drafted better absolutely every team could have.
During this time we have started to attract players at more reasonable contract values whilst not as big names as the Lions the likes of Ben Long and Brandon Ellis have been wins for us.
It was never going to be a quick fix as 2017 our list was a disaster and VFL quality at best. I don’t think the Lions administration would be doing any better of a job with the rabble that Cameron, Dew, Evans and Co inherited from their predecessors
You also need luck. Like if I go back to Lions, Neale choosing Lions by himself. If Suns had no injuries last year like Lions had in 2019, there would very a good chance Suns making finals in 2022. But there are no ifs.I don’t believe I’ve ever been critical of your drafting.
If we hadn’t of traded for Neale, I hope we (the Lions) would have had the balls to draft King (word is we wouldn’t have).
If we hadn’t of traded in Neale, and had stuck to building through the draft, I always said that 2023 would have been the first year of us possibly making the top 8.
If we apply that same timeline to the Suns, that’s 2025 for you guys.
One thing that I always raise my eyebrows at, is when the AFL talk about they need to make it easier and faster for teams to make the top 8, and be competitive in finals.
It’s like they don’t understand list management in a competition sense.
If you put more levers in place, to enable teams to acquire talent faster, those same levers are available to everyone, and if you’re a good team with good list management, and are perceived as a destination club, then there’s less chance of that team dropping out of finals contention, and therefore less actual top 8 spots available for all other clubs.
If Geelong and Richmond can sort out their next lot of KPF’s going forward, there’s very little likelihood of them dropping out of the top 8 for the next 5 years, even when their current champion mids retire.
Look at last season’s top 8, who likely drops out?
Fremantle maybe, but they’re a young team still improving internally.
Bulldogs? Arguably last years big underachievers.
Collingwood? Last year’s over achiever’s, but to the fall that much back to the pack.
I’m pencilling in St Kilda for a bottom 6 finish.You also need luck. Like if I go back to Lions, Neale choosing Lions by himself. If Suns had no injuries last year like Lions had in 2019, there would very a good chance Suns making finals in 2022. But there are no ifs.
Progress is rarely linear. Some teams will probably jump up, some drop out. Most predictions by fans are just personal views and mean nothing.
It's so close competition. FWIW, for me there are top 3-4 teams - Lions, Cats, Melbourne and probably Tigers. 3 bottom teams - Hawks, North, Eagles and even Eagles could fight for finals with a dream run. From the rest any team can make finals with some luck and good run with injuries. Personally, I doubt GWS, Crows are a real chance but get on a roll like Collingwood did and anything can happen.
Don't think any of Walters, Rodgers or Read will be drafted within the draft ranges proposed here.It seems we're in a similar position to Brisbane last year with Walter being rated in the 1-5 range and Rogers being rated in the 11-20 range. However, we also have Read who is possibly a top 30 pick too. So let's just say (hypothetically) we finish 8th this year and every other club in the AFL finishes roughly where they did last year. That gives us approximately 4000 points to play with in this year's draft. Brisbane were required to stump up roughly 3100 points in order to match bids for Ashcroft (2) and Fletcher (11) at the discounted rate so let's just say in this hypothetical both Walter and Rogers are bid on with those exact same picks. Now we've got just 900 points remaining and that equates to the equivalent of pick 21, but with the academy discounted rate applied it becomes pick 17. So assuming Walter and Rogers cost us around 3100 points then as long as Read isn't bid on with a pick in the top 17 then we should net all three academy prospects without having to complete any further trades. Beyond that I don't really see any need to draft other juniors unless we are running low on depth in a specific position but then again there's always free agency for something like that.
We must also consider the 2024 draft class because Caleb Nancarrow and Leo Lombard were named as U16 AAs in the national championships last year and could very well be bid on with first round picks as well. The likelihood of that occurring will become more clear once the 2023 season comes to an end but we don't really have a lot of draft capital to play with due to the fact that you can only trade one year into the future and we will already need those picks for the bidding war of 2024. It's also fair to assume that we may be placed in the top 4 by the time September 2024 rolls around so that's when it starts to get really difficult. I dare say we may have to trade 2025 picks in order to match 2024 academy bids but perhaps the AFL will amend the rules by then and we'll have already had the ability to trade 2025 picks before 2024. Who knows but I know one thing for sure - I want to make sure we draft Walter, Rogers, Read, Nancarrow and Lombard if they all remain as highly rated as they are right now. I'm sick of losing the best juniors from academy like Beams, Zorko, Ashcroft etc who had/will have significant impacts on their club/s. All Gold Coast juniors and none of them ever played for us.
Yeah, although I expect Saints to play harder under Lyon there will be some sorting happening there and list is not impressive, IMO.I’m pencilling in St Kilda for a bottom 6 finish.
I believe a team has a better chance of making finals if they can make their home ground a fortress and benefit from some home town umpiring.
Margins are fine now. Look how many close games Collingwood won last year. 10 or 11 under two goals or something like that?If Geelong and Richmond can sort out their next lot of KPF’s going forward, there’s very little likelihood of them dropping out of the top 8 for the next 5 years, even when their current champion mids retire.
Look at last season’s top 8, who likely drops out?
Fremantle maybe, but they’re a young team still improving internally.
Bulldogs? Arguably last years big underachievers.
Collingwood? Last year’s over achiever’s, but to the fall that much back to the pack.
Yeah, 11 wins by 2 goals or less, I believe (including 9 wins by goal or less). Unbelievable. They also had a great injury run. Basically, just Grundy (on the way out), Kreuger (still just potential) and yes in finals Adams.Margins are fine now. Look how many close games Collingwood won last year. 10 or 11 under two goals or something like that?
I reckon Melbourne are vulnerable, a couple of key injuries with hurt them more than most of the top sides.
The Suns improved a lot in 2022, keep that going and get a little luck and who knows.
Hard to see that kind of luck holding.Yeah, 11 wins by 2 goals or less, I believe (including 9 wins by goal or less). Unbelievable.
Bullet dodged with Sydney Stack
ow can you say that Ben Long is a win?Well it’s too early to make that call… Yeah the Bowes thing was a balls up. But if you look big picture at how everything has played out I wouldn’t be too critical… Look at how things have gone since the year prior to assistance package announcement so the last 5 drafts:
2018: Lukosius, Rankine, King
2019: Rowell, Anderson, Flanders, Sharp, Farrar, Budarick, Rosas
2020: Hollands, Davies, Jeffrey
2021: Andrew
2022: Humphrey
Drafting whilst besides Rankine the issue of players leaving appears resolved. Big tick.
Could we have drafted better absolutely every team could have.
During this time we have started to attract players at more reasonable contract values whilst not as big names as the Lions the likes of Ben Long and Brandon Ellis have been wins for us.
It was never going to be a quick fix as 2017 our list was a disaster and VFL quality at best. I don’t think the Lions administration would be doing any better of a job with the rabble that Cameron, Dew, Evans and Co inherited from their predecessors
Probably not but I was trying to account for what I saw as a worst case scenario from a point perspective and it would appear we still have enough point to deal with the situation.Don't think any of Walters, Rodgers or Read will be drafted within the draft ranges proposed here.
Thinking we will have close to enough points for all these players even if we had to put our 1st Rd pick into trading for a player.
We actually had access to Beams at the end of 2008 and offered him a three year deal just like Rory Thompson. Beams turned us down and Rory accepted the offer. If our recruiting team were more forward thinking then we would have drafted another GC junior Claye Beams at the end of 2010 in the hopes of dramatically increasing our chances of landing Dayne later down the track (which would have eventuated as we now know). I know that was a big reason we recruited guys like Joel Tippett and Nathan Ablett but for some reason our recruiters didn't consider Claye Beams, despite having unrestricted access to him at the time. I don't think we would have been any worse off having a local guy like Claye Beams on our list in our inaugural years when compared to some of the other players we chose to give a list spot to like Jesse Haberfield, Jack Stanlake, Rex Liddy or Joey Daye. Another guy we had access to that I felt was a missed opportunity was Josh Thomas, who actually played with us in our TAC Cup year but once again (just like the Beams situation) we allowed Collingwood to swoop in and take a guy from us who had a pretty good AFL career at the Pies and certainly could have helped us in our inaugural AFL years.To be fair Beams was drafted prior to us joining the comp, Ashcroft was a father/son selection so can’t really complain about them two. Zorko on the other hand we had as a Zone Selection and traded him away to Brisbane so that’s just poor List management. So would hardly say we have lost good Gold Coast juniors. Same could be said about Nick Riewoldt being a suns player.
Besides Jack Bowes our academy is only starting to bear fruit in the last 3 years of our 12 year existence so it’s all about getting it right moving forward which I believe we are doing.
You're acting like jumping into the top four a year or two after not qualifying for the finals is unheard of...Ummmm.
This seems like a contradiction to me. You claim you're a proud Queenslander, which I assume would mean you want the best for Queensland footy, but then in the same breath you say you want us to get belted. Then you try to justify it further by saying we're "coming" which is why you want the belting to occur...I didn’t plead. But yes, I said I would like it be the Suns.
I believe the Suns are coming (which is why I nominated the Suns for the thumping), but it IS on the back of internal development of your youngsters, and that is a slower burn, than adding 3 or 4 players at their peak.
We're fighting for the same cup but you don't win premierships based on percentage. A 1 point victory vs a 100 point victory in the Grand Final is still the same end result. The only thing that comes with a 100 point loss is humiliation and sorrow. I don't see the logic...I’m a parochial Queenslander, and will defend the Suns in some quarters. But we’re rivals for the same cup.
Probably not but I was trying to account for what I saw as a worst case scenario from a points perspective and it would appear we still have enough points to deal with the situation.Don't think any of Walters, Rodgers or Read will be drafted within the draft ranges proposed here.
Thinking we will have close to enough points for all these players even if we had to put our 1st Rd pick into trading for a player.
We actually had access to Beams at the end of 2008 and offered him a three year deal just like Rory Thompson. Beams turned us down and Rory accepted the offer. If our recruiting team were more forward thinking then we would have drafted another GC junior Claye Beams at the end of 2010 in the hopes of dramatically increasing our chances of landing Dayne later down the track (which would have eventuated as we now know). I know that was a big reason we recruited guys like Joel Tippett and Nathan Ablett but for some reason our recruiters didn't consider Claye Beams, despite having unrestricted access to him at the time. I don't think we would have been any worse off having a local guy like Claye Beams on our list in our inaugural years when compared to some of the other players we chose to give a list spot to like Jesse Haberfield, Jack Stanlake, Rex Liddy or Joey Daye. Another guy we had access to that I felt was a missed opportunity was Josh Thomas, who actually played with us in our TAC Cup year but once again (just like the Beams situation) we allowed Collingwood to swoop in and take a guy from us who had a pretty good AFL career at the Pies and certainly could have helped us in our inaugural AFL years.To be fair Beams was drafted prior to us joining the comp, Ashcroft was a father/son selection so can’t really complain about them two. Zorko on the other hand we had as a Zone Selection and traded him away to Brisbane so that’s just poor List management. So would hardly say we have lost good Gold Coast juniors. Same could be said about Nick Riewoldt being a suns player.
Besides Jack Bowes our academy is only starting to bear fruit in the last 3 years of our 12 year existence so it’s all about getting it right moving forward which I believe we are doing.
You're acting like jumping into the top four a year or two after not qualifying for the finals is unheard of...Ummmm.
This seems like a contradiction to me. You claim you're a proud Queenslander, which I assume would mean you want the best for Queensland footy, but then in the same breath you say you want us to get belted. Then you try to justify it further by saying we're "coming" which is why you want the belting to occur...I didn’t plead. But yes, I said I would like it be the Suns.
I believe the Suns are coming (which is why I nominated the Suns for the thumping), but it IS on the back of internal development of your youngsters, and that is a slower burn, than adding 3 or 4 players at their peak.
We're fighting for the same cup but you don't win premierships based on percentage. A 1 point victory vs a 100 point victory in the Grand Final is still the same end result. The only thing that comes with a 100 point loss is humiliation and sorrow. I don't see the logic...I’m a parochial Queenslander, and will defend the Suns in some quarters. But we’re rivals for the same cup.
I'm not so sure about that. This isn't the first time you've posted on our board and shared your opinion that you don't think we're good enough.I don’t hate the Suns. I don’t hate any team. I dislike some supporter bases, or certain aspects or peculiarities of a supporter base, but the Suns aren’t one those either.
I actually find Briztoon's posts quite interesting - and not always negative. I enjoy reading opposition comment. I'd like to think the Suns will be Top 4 in 2024 but doubt it - hopefully I'm wrong. I'd like us to make top 8 in 2023 before jumping too far ahead.Yes I said that, take it as a compliment, because I know the Suns are coming.
Yes, no injuries was very good as well.
I believe if you canvassed most other supporter bases, very few fans would consider the Suns a top 4 possibility in 2024.
Thinking about 2024, Carlton is possibly the only team I might say, might be a top 4 team, and that relies on them being healthy.
If you’ve read much of our board at all, you’d know that a lot of us are critical of Fagan’s game day coaching, and often our style of play.
I don’t hate the Suns. I don’t hate any team. I dislike some supporter bases, or certain aspects or peculiarities of a supporter base, but the Suns aren’t one those either.
If you every read the Lions board, you’d know I defend the Suns as much as criticise them.
My (and many people’s) biggest criticism of the Suns has been your recent list management missteps.
That doesn’t mean someone hates the Suns, it’s just opposition supporters discussing other teams.
Probably little different to fans discussing an individual player. West Coast board discussing Sydney Stack and his latest run in with the law. Doesn’t mean they hate him.
Draft retention will be under some level of stability once Anderson and Hollands commit. Still nervous until that happens.Well it’s too early to make that call… Yeah the Bowes thing was a balls up. But if you look big picture at how everything has played out I wouldn’t be too critical… Look at how things have gone since the year prior to assistance package announcement so the last 5 drafts:
2018: Lukosius, Rankine, King
2019: Rowell, Anderson, Flanders, Sharp, Farrar, Budarick, Rosas
2020: Hollands, Davies, Jeffrey
2021: Andrew
2022: Humphrey
Drafting whilst besides Rankine the issue of players leaving appears resolved. Big tick.
Could we have drafted better absolutely every team could have.
During this time we have started to attract players at more reasonable contract values whilst not as big names as the Lions the likes of Ben Long and Brandon Ellis have been wins for us.
It was never going to be a quick fix as 2017 our list was a disaster and VFL quality at best. I don’t think the Lions administration would be doing any better of a job with the rabble that Cameron, Dew, Evans and Co inherited from their predecessors