AFL 2023 Brownlow,Battle of the Bulls

[balmainforever]

ANY BETS POSTED AFTER THE COUNT IS FINISHED WITHOUT PRIOR POSTING WHETHER WINNING OR LOSING WILL GET AN AUTOMATIC RED CARD

 

[NonPhixion]

Christ those PB odds are just horrendously bad

 

[burge13]

Jezza most geelong votes - 1.55 looks good.

 

[Johanpetro]

Jezza most geelong votes - 1.55 looks good.

I’ve got him tied with Danger

 

[Johanpetro]

Dabble have team votes you can multi for anyone interested

 

[jikost]

Does anyone have Coniglio leading GWS? $6.50 @ pb... Probably finishes in the 17-20 votes range which might be enough to edge out Greene and Green.

 

[Spooka]

Does anyone have crouch close for saints? $13 seems very generous. Sinclair is sorta like a laird vibe and crouch over polled a bit last year with 10. Has averaged 27 and kicked 8.5..

 

[Feerits Elf]

Marshall's had a career year so he might split votes with Crouch leaving Sinclair the spoils

 

[Billionaire Panda]

Does anyone have crouch close for saints? $13 seems very generous. Sinclair is sorta like a laird vibe and crouch over polled a bit last year with 10. Has averaged 27 and kicked 8.5..

Yeah I think it’s a nice price to find out. Sinclair been overs on a few of the main predictors. Can see Crouch getting 17-18. Marshall could easily get 18 and Sinclair around 19. So it could be closer than imagined and with the overlap one or two games could really sway it.
Rounds 1,4,13,23,24 Crouch could overpoll in games where Sinclair is expected to go big.

 

[burge13]

Marshall's had a career year so he might split votes with Crouch leaving Sinclair the spoils

By that same logic Marshall might take votes off Sinclair...

 

[Jobe Watson]

Does anyone have Coniglio leading GWS? $6.50 @ pb... Probably finishes in the 17-20 votes range which might be enough to edge out Greene and Green.

GWS votes are a crapshoot. I have Green, Greene and Coniglio all on very similar votes. $6.75 (Sportsbet) are great odds.

 

[Johanpetro]

GWS votes are a crapshoot. I have Green, Greene and Coniglio all on very similar votes. $6.75 (Sportsbet) are great odds.

I have Greene polling most for GWS by a fair margin. I somehow have Coniglio very low which I’m worried about. I’ve given him a lot of 1’s which I guess could easily turn into 2s or 3s

 

[Jobe Watson]

I have Greene polling most for GWS by a fair margin. I somehow have Coniglio very low which I’m worried about. I’ve given him a lot of 1’s which I guess could easily turn into 2s or 3s

I have Greene with 5 BOGs and few other loose votes to get him to 18. Conilgio usually either overpolls or underpolls for me, he's hard to read, but I've got him on 17 with 3 BOGs. Tom Green doesn't have much history to go off but he finds a lot of the ball, got him on 17 too, mostly relying on picking up 1s and 2s.

 

[ronpingwins]

Butters into $4.50. Money must be pouring in for him. Impact of him winning the coaches award?

 

[Feerits Elf]

By that same logic Marshall might take votes off Sinclair...

I guess the moral of the story is don't bet on St Kilda team votes for the Brownlow Medal in 2023

 

[Spooka]

Another interesting one is parish leader after round 5 at $17, I have him on 9 votes but could easily be 11-12 seems to poll well and they also went 4-1 record, also had 35 and a goal in there loss (most touches for game) and only lost by 3 goals

 

[Johanpetro]

More markets on SB now. Most 3 vote games, most games polled, most votes final 8 rounds etc

$7.50 Daicos most polled games, I have him tied with Petracca

 

[Spooka]

If Neale polls in round 19/21 (not likely) he could poll the most in the last 8 rounds, especially if we go 3/3/3 (17/23/24)
$34 worth a shot? Got a feeling Gulden might under poll, only polled 3 last year.

 

[sohohoho]

limits so bad

 

[NonPhixion]

I like Dusty most rich votes without Taranto $3.6
And mcluggage most bris without Neale $13

 

[willba_victory]

Here is an aggregator of some counts:

 

[Spooka]

Hey guys, I’m really liking Neale to poll most games, I have him 11 games. But I feel he might steal some votes in losses, he has previously polled with that 25-28 mark disposal. Was wondering does anyone have him polling in any of these games!

2/3/13/19/21

Round 13 was a loss but he had 30 and 14 marks, where I reckon he could steal the one?

And round 21 he only had the 25 touches but had 9 and 2 marks in the last q. But they got the win by 3 points, a lot of freo players had more touches, so be interesting!

 

[Suncraze]

I'm shocked at how high people have Neale. Wont win

 

[Johanpetro]

I'm shocked at how high people have Neale. Wont win

Who’s top 5 in your count and what are they on?

Edit: FWIW I’ve got Neale in 3rd place on 28. Brisbane finished top and he’s a known poller. Wouldn’t surprise me if he pulled it off tbh

 

[burge13]

Who’s top 5 in your count and what are they on?

Edit: FWIW I’ve got Neale in 3rd place on 28. Brisbane finished top and he’s a known poller. Wouldn’t surprise me if he pulled it off tbh

I don't think people take this into consideration enough.

Like the Priddis year, the winner isn't necessarily the best player in the comp every year.

We know a win gets your team 3 votes 99% of the time
We know Neale polls well
We know Brisbane won the most games
Neale had 27+ disposals in 11 wins (& 9 above 29)
He had 9 games of 10+ clearances in 10 wins

This is obviously very superficial without the context of watching these specific games but I don't think anyone should be surprised to see Neale right up there as a proven poller on 17 wins

 

[pendlebury_10]

Hey guys, I’m really liking Neale to poll most games, I have him 11 games. But I feel he might steal some votes in losses, he has previously polled with that 25-28 mark disposal. Was wondering does anyone have him polling in any of these games!

2/3/13/19/21

Round 13 was a loss but he had 30 and 14 marks, where I reckon he could steal the one?

And round 21 he only had the 25 touches but had 9 and 2 marks in the last q. But they got the win by 3 points, a lot of freo players had more touches, so be interesting!

I have him polling 1 vote in Round 3 and 2 votes in Round 19.