AFL 2023 Brownlow,Battle of the Bulls

[balmainforever]

ANY BETS POSTED AFTER THE COUNT IS FINISHED WITHOUT PRIOR POSTING WHETHER WINNING OR LOSING WILL GET AN AUTOMATIC RED CARD

 

[Johanpetro]

after 2010 it was when it started to go to s**t when TAB lost millions, everything changed from then.

Markets been ruined since everyone decided sharing public counts was a good thing.

I’ve still made a killing on top 10/20 markets the last couple of years but I’ve noticed all bookies atm won’t allow top 20/10 multis. Absolute cowards

 

[pendlebury_10]

Where abouts does it say this?

Shows up when you click on the market

 

[Walshy_The_Goat]

Potential big one lads, but gotta be quick as odds are trimming!

LDU is $51 for T20 (was $101) at SportsBet.

I have him finishing 16th on 15.25 votes. Reckon he is the prototype poller (think Danger/Cripps/Fyfe) - big bustling, smooth mover, contested beast. He was on track for record numbers stats wise this season also.

Is BOG 3 vote locks in the Round 1 and 2 wins. Rounds 19, 20, 22 the games that will dictate things, where I have him 2.5, 2.25 and 2.5 those games. All were in losses - Saints (8 points), Eagles (5 points), Dons (9 points), however, the close margins give him a very good chance at 2-3 in those games.

And you only need to look back to last season to see his ability to poll 3 votes in losses, where he polled 8 votes from 21 games in a 2 win season last year - and 6 of those votes came in 2x BOG games which were losses.

But the BIG kicker! Bet365/Picklebet have him at $4 for T20 and TAB $3.50! SB will see this and surely trim up to align their own odds to limit exposure.

 

[ronpingwins]

Potential big one lads, but gotta be quick as odds are trimming!

LDU is $51 for T20 (was $101) at SportsBet.

I have him finishing 16th on 15.25 votes. Reckon he is the prototype poller (think Danger/Cripps/Fyfe) - big bustling, smooth mover, contested beast. He was on track for record numbers stats wise this season also.

Is BOG 3 vote locks in the Round 1 and 2 wins. Rounds 19, 20, 22 the games that will dictate things, where I have him 2.5, 2.25 and 2.5 those games. All were in losses - Saints (8 points), Eagles (5 points), Dons (9 points), however, the close margins give him a very good chance at 2-3 in those games.

And you only need to look back to last season to see his ability to poll 3 votes in losses, where he polled 8 votes from 21 games in a 2 win season last year - and 6 of those votes came in 2x BOG games which were losses.

But the BIG kicker! Bet365/Picklebet have him at $4 for T20! SB will see this and surely trim up to align their own odds to limit exposure.

Good call, was already at $26 when I saw it. Have him on 14. $3.50 at TAB too

 

[NonPhixion]

Brad Crouch $34 top 20 looks good too.

 

[Sausage Legs]

Tom green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

looks good 1.92

 

[Johanpetro]

Am I mad or is there crazy value in these Top 20 markets on SB

 

[burge13]

Am I mad or is there crazy value in these Top 20 markets on SB

You're mad. Players on the bubble are < $2. Like Laird/Green/Viney

Odds halved on a tie, includes ineligible. Might jag the odd roughie like LDU or Crouch named above but 16 or so are givens. Doesnt give much wriggle room. I dont see many longer odds players featuring but could be missing something...

 

[Johanpetro]

You're mad. Players on the bubble are < $2. Like Laird/Green/Viney

Odds halved on a tie, includes ineligible. Might jag the odd roughie like LDU or Crouch named above but 16 or so are givens. Doesnt give much wriggle room. I dont see many longer odds players featuring but could be missing something...

Fair enough. I think players like J Cameron ($6.50), Libba ($4.50) etc are great value. Plus multis of Cripps, Curnow, De Goey at $9.60 is pretty damn good

 

[sohohoho]

Fair enough. I think players like J Cameron ($6.50), Libba ($4.50) etc are great value. Plus multis of Cripps, Curnow, De Goey at $9.60 is pretty damn good

Jezzas range is small so lacks ceiling, would be looking at players with more games of polling potential like the others named

 

[Spooka]

Hey guys! Does anyone have Trelor close to Libba? I reckon $13, is very generous. Libba seems to always under poll and not be appreciated maybe because a lot of Under the pack type stuff, and Adam is more flashy, Adam has had some big touches games and goals with them, and with mccare having an average year and dunkley gone, I feel could be bont / trelor in a lot of games. I have him 8-14 (range)

 

[Suncraze]

Hey guys! Does anyone have Trelor close to Libba? I reckon $13, is very generous. Libba seems to always under poll and not be appreciated maybe because a lot of Under the pack type stuff, and Adam is more flashy, Adam has had some big touches games and goals with them, and with mccare having an average year and dunkley gone, I feel could be bont / trelor in a lot of games. I have him 8-14 (range)

More chance of Gandhi coming back to life. Libba then daylight imo after Bont

 

[Spooka]

More chance of Gandhi coming back to life. Libba then daylight imo after Bont

His only polled 22 Brownlow votes in his career and max been 8 (I think) dunno if that’s gonna change I feel his been pretty consistent last couple of years

 

[MITS]

What am I missing here. How is Bont and Daicos $3 to win but Bont is $11 at +1.5

 

[bulletride]

What am I missing here. How is Bont and Daicos $3 to win but Bont is $11 at +1.5
View attachment 1797867

You need to take into account applying the handicap to every player in the market, not just Bont.

 

[MITS]

You need to take into account applying the handicap to every player in the market, not just Bont.

Oh yeah. Of course.

 

[Jobe Watson]

2023 BROWNLOW MEDAL LEADERBOARD - TOP 20

1st - Daicos, Nick 31
1st - Bontempelli, Marcus 31
3rd - Neale, Lachie 28
4th - Butters, Zak 27
5th - Petracca, Christian 26
6th - Serong, Caleb 23
7th - Taranto, Tim 22
7th - Rozee, Connor 22
7th - Gulden, Errol 22
10th - Merrett, Zach 21
11th - Sinclair, Jack 19
11th - Dawson, Jordan 19
11th - Greene, Toby 19
14th - Anderson, Noah 18
15th - Curnow, Charlie 17
15th - Cripps, Patrick 17
15th - Brayshaw, Andrew 17
18th - Green, Tom 16
18th - Walker, Taylor 16
20th - Coniglio, Stephen 15
20th - De Goey, Jordan 15
20th - Marshall, Rowan 15


2023 BROWNLOW MEDAL - TEAM TOP 5

Spoiler: Team Votes

Adelaide:
Dawson 19, Walker 16, Laird 12, Rankine 8, Crouch 6

Brisbane:
Neale 28, Dunkley 11, Cameron 7, Daniher 7, McCluggage 6

Carlton:
Curnow 17, Cripps 17, Cerra 10, Newman 5, Walsh 4

Collingwood:
N.Daicos 31, De Goey 15, J.Daicos 10, Mitchell 7, Moore 6

Essendon:
Merrett 21, Parish 13, Martin 8, Langford 6, Stringer 4

Fremantle:
Serong 23, Brayshaw 17, Jackson 10, Darcy 6, Schultz 4

Geelong:
Cameron 13, Dangerfield 10, Stewart 8, Hawkins 7, Miers 5

Gold Coast:
Anderson 18, Rowell 11, Miller 5, Lukosius 5, King 5

Greater Western Sydney:
Greene 19, Green 16, Conilgio 15, Kelly 10, Hogan 5

Hawthorn:
Newcombe 14, Sicily 14, Moore 5, Worpel 4, Day 4

Melbourne:
Petracca 26, Viney 13, Oliver 12, Gawn 9, Pickett 6

North Melbourne:
Davies-Uniacke 11, Larkey 7, Simpkin 4, Sheezel 4, Phillips 2

Port Adelaide:
Butters 27, Rozee 22, Horne-Francis 9, Houston 8, Wines 7

Richmond:
Taranto 22, Bolton 12, Martin 10, Short 5, D.Rioli 5

Sydney:
Gulden 22, Warner 14, Parker 9, Heeney 6, Blakey 6

St.Kilda:
Sinclair 19, Marshall 15, Crouch 10, Steele 8, Wood 3

West Coast:
Kelly 14, Shuey 3, Sheed 2, Waterman 2, Cripps 2

Western Bulldogs:
Bontempelli 31, Liberatore 12, Treloar 7, Smith 7, English 6

 

[Spooka]

2023 BROWNLOW MEDAL LEADERBOARD - TOP 20

1st - Daicos, Nick 31
1st - Bontempelli, Marcus 31
3rd - Neale, Lachie 29
4th - Butters, Zak 27
5th - Petracca, Christian 26
6th - Serong, Caleb 23
7th - Taranto, Tim 22
7th - Rozee, Connor 22
7th - Gulden, Errol 22
7th - Merrett, Zach 22
11th - Sinclair, Jack 19
12th - Dawson, Jordan 18
12th - Anderson, Noah 18
14th - Greene, Toby 17
14th - Green, Tom 17
14th - Curnow, Charlie 17
14th - Coniglio, Stephen 17
14th - Brayshaw, Andrew 17
19th - Cripps, Patrick 16
19th - Walker, Taylor 16


2023 BROWNLOW MEDAL - TEAM TOP 5

Spoiler: Team Votes

Adelaide:
Dawson 18, Walker 16, Laird 12, Rankine 7, Crouch 5

Brisbane:
Neale 29, Dunkley 11, Cameron 8, Daniher 7, Ashcroft 7

Carlton:
Curnow 17, Cripps 16, Cerra 10, Newman 5, Hewett 5

Collingwood:
N.Daicos 31, De Goey 14, J.Daicos 10, Mitchell 7, Moore 6

Essendon:
Merrett 22, Parish 12, Martin 8, Langford 6, Stringer 4

Fremantle:
Serong 23, Brayshaw 17, Jackson 10, Darcy 6, Schultz 4

Geelong:
Cameron 13, Hawkins 9, Stewart 8, Dangerfield 8, Miers 5

Gold Coast:
Anderson 18, Rowell 10, Miller 5, Lukosius 5, King 5

Greater Western Sydney:
Greene 17, Green 17, Conilgio 17, Kelly 10, Whitfield 5

Hawthorn:
Newcombe 15, Sicily 14, Moore 5, Worpel 4, Day 4

Melbourne:
Petracca 26, Viney 13, Oliver 12, Gawn 9, Pickett 6

North Melbourne:
Davies-Uniacke 12, Larkey 7, Simpkin 4, Sheezel 3, Phillips 2

Port Adelaide:
Butters 27, Rozee 22, Horne-Francis 9, Houston 8, Wines 7

Richmond:
Taranto 22, Bolton 12, Martin 10, Short 5, D.Rioli 5

Sydney:
Gulden 22, Warner 14, Parker 9, Heeney 6, Blakey 6

St.Kilda:
Sinclair 19, Marshall 15, Crouch 11, Steele 9, Wood 3

West Coast:
Kelly 14, Shuey 3, Sheed 2, Waterman 2, Cripps 2

Western Bulldogs:
Bontempelli 31, Liberatore 12, Treloar 7, Smith 7, English 6

May I ask what games you have Neale polling in! Thankyou

 

[Suncraze]

Brownlow Thread is dead

 

[Jobe Watson]

May I ask what games you have Neale polling in! Thankyou

Round 5 (3 votes), Round 7 (3), Round 9 (2), Round 10 (3), Round 11 (1), Round 14 (2), Round 15 (2), Round 16 (3), Round 17 (2), Round 21 (2), Round 23 (3), Round 24 (3).

 

[burge13]

Brownlow Thread is dead

Books have offered god awful odds and barely any markets where when they finally brought them out the limits were shit and huge margins. No surprise its more dead than ever

Ironically it could be the best count in years

 

[Suncraze]

Books have offered god awful odds and barely any markets where when they finally brought them out the limits were s**t and huge margins. No surprise its more dead than ever

Ironically it could be the best count in years

Agree books have ruined it for everyone. It's going to be a cracker of a count

 

[Spooka]

Round 5 (3 votes), Round 7 (3), Round 9 (2), Round 10 (3), Round 11 (1), Round 14 (2), Round 15 (2), Round 16 (3), Round 17 (2), Round 21 (2), Round 23 (3), Round 24 (3).

Thanks heaps! some counts have him polling round 3/19 and then some don't and have him polling in 11/21/22. Fingers crossed he polls in all of those games and will win it on my count. I've chucked a bit on at $13's

 

[The Mailman Delivers]

You're mad. Players on the bubble are < $2. Like Laird/Green/Viney

Odds halved on a tie, includes ineligible. Might jag the odd roughie like LDU or Crouch named above but 16 or so are givens. Doesnt give much wriggle room. I dont see many longer odds players featuring but could be missing something...

Assuming you agree that the top 5 fancies - Daics, Bont, Butters, Trac & Neale are certs for the top 20, who would be your 10 or 11 other givens?

 

[burge13]

Assuming you agree that the top 5 fancies - Daics, Bont, Butters, Trac & Neale are certs for the top 20, who would be your 10 or 11 other givens?

Check the odds.

Down to about Anderson/Sinclair. Cripps probable despite not deserving to but umps love him. Doesnt leave much room for roughies