Possible scenarios going forward...
1. Outright strike. Overwhelming majority of players unsatisfied with League proposal and the season does not commence on the first weekend of September.
2. "No" voting block denies "Yes" the threshold. Replaying what happened a couple of years ago, League puts a proposal forward, Majority vote for it to try and get a season started, but "No" voting block denies majority reaching the threshold. If that happened, Scenario 3 occurs. Depending on when the vote is held, even a possible slight delay (a week or two) to the start of the season, or the forgoing of practice games.
3. CBA Rolls Over for Another Year. The League and the AFLPA struggle to reach anywhere near an agreement, but players want the season to still go ahead. Players agree to 10 Round season for this year and league agrees to back-pay pay rises for 2023 when agreement is finally reached.
4. Short-term compromised CBA reached. A separate Women's deal is done, so no joint CBA. Parties agree on a 2-3 year deal, with the season extending by one round each season of the agreement.
5. CBA signed, seal and delivered. A joint 9 year CBA is reached. Women get their significant pay rise, and 17 round season is locked in, but probably closer to finally happening in/near 2030. To appease for this year, League introduces NBA-style "play-in" tournament for the AFLW (which is happening this year in the Men's VFL), so there's at least one extra week of footy (in a way).
As much as I'd love to see someone take it to League Headquarters, scenario 1 is very unlikely of happening. The AFLPA might even blow smoke about it for a headline or two, but that's about it.
Now scenario 2 is technically a possibility, but even if all the "No" voters did a blocking move again, by the pure numbers of them leaving the league since that last happened, plus the influx of new (and younger) players added with expansion, if the head of the AFLPA says "vote Yes to this deal" it'll get past the threshold comfortably.
Scenario 3 I think is the most likely outcome. I think they'll kick the can down the road for a few more months. They'll do a roll-over and during the AFLW season (or just after the Christmas break) reach an agreement for both the women and men.
I can't see scenario 4 happening as the AFLPA wants a joint CBA, so a non-starter, and scenario 5 unlikely, at least within the coming two months.
1. Outright strike. Overwhelming majority of players unsatisfied with League proposal and the season does not commence on the first weekend of September.
2. "No" voting block denies "Yes" the threshold. Replaying what happened a couple of years ago, League puts a proposal forward, Majority vote for it to try and get a season started, but "No" voting block denies majority reaching the threshold. If that happened, Scenario 3 occurs. Depending on when the vote is held, even a possible slight delay (a week or two) to the start of the season, or the forgoing of practice games.
3. CBA Rolls Over for Another Year. The League and the AFLPA struggle to reach anywhere near an agreement, but players want the season to still go ahead. Players agree to 10 Round season for this year and league agrees to back-pay pay rises for 2023 when agreement is finally reached.
4. Short-term compromised CBA reached. A separate Women's deal is done, so no joint CBA. Parties agree on a 2-3 year deal, with the season extending by one round each season of the agreement.
5. CBA signed, seal and delivered. A joint 9 year CBA is reached. Women get their significant pay rise, and 17 round season is locked in, but probably closer to finally happening in/near 2030. To appease for this year, League introduces NBA-style "play-in" tournament for the AFLW (which is happening this year in the Men's VFL), so there's at least one extra week of footy (in a way).
As much as I'd love to see someone take it to League Headquarters, scenario 1 is very unlikely of happening. The AFLPA might even blow smoke about it for a headline or two, but that's about it.
Now scenario 2 is technically a possibility, but even if all the "No" voters did a blocking move again, by the pure numbers of them leaving the league since that last happened, plus the influx of new (and younger) players added with expansion, if the head of the AFLPA says "vote Yes to this deal" it'll get past the threshold comfortably.
Scenario 3 I think is the most likely outcome. I think they'll kick the can down the road for a few more months. They'll do a roll-over and during the AFLW season (or just after the Christmas break) reach an agreement for both the women and men.
I can't see scenario 4 happening as the AFLPA wants a joint CBA, so a non-starter, and scenario 5 unlikely, at least within the coming two months.