Prediction 2024 Brownlow Medal contenders

[port_adelaide_1870]

JHF had an average year last year and got like 16 votes. This year actually being the best player at port I bet he gets 25+ votes. Don’t be surprise if he is in the top 5

 

[H00t]

So much is going to come down to who the umps favour for votes.

Neale and Cripps seem to get those few extra votes from the umps that someone like Bont doesn’t get.

Will be interesting to see what sort of run Daicos gets after being stiffed a bit last year.

People like JHF and Newcombe will most likely also poll extremely well as the umps seem to love them.

 

[flyingmagpies]

Daicos got stiffed a few times last year, so I expect the same this year and for him to fall short. Looking at the predictor, it's crazy to think he can get 35+ disposals at 70-80% DE%, a goal or two, and lead the game in clearances/contested possessions but still not be expected to get a vote. I doubt you would ever see that happen with Cripps or Neale.

 

[YeoShuey]

I think Lachie Neale

9

Lachie Neale

Age

31

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.0

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

15.5

5star

M

4.0

4star

T

3.7

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

28.3

5star

K

13.9

5star

HB

14.4

5star

M

4.6

4star

T

4.0

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

7.4

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

1.0

3star

CL

0.4

3star

will win again.

Hard to beat him when he is miles ahead of other Brisbane players, and has that universal nice guy persona in the AFL.

 

[YeoShuey]

Congratulations to Patrick Cripps, the 2024 Brownlow Medallist.

Reckon he wins by as many votes as he received yesterday. I can't believe him and Daicos are currently equal in Brownlow betting.

Does the favourite ever win?

Just as much chance umpires fave Lachie Neale wins another Brownlow.

 

[Fadge]

Does the favourite ever win?

Just as much chance umpires fave Lachie Neale wins another Brownlow.

The Favourite regularly wins.

 

[jonnobackpocket]

Nicky has a special exemption this year only because I'm really just hoping its anyone but Neale. 3 time Brownlow medallist L Neale would make me physically throw up.

Why? Because he is the player Walsh will never be?

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Why? Because he is the player Walsh will never be?

No, mainly because he'd be the worst 3 time Brownlow medallist of all time. Last years one was a total laugh too

 

[Fadge]

No, mainly because he'd be the worst 3 time Brownlow medallist of all time. Last years one was a total laugh too

How does he compare to Ian Stewart?

 

[jonnobackpocket]

No, mainly because he'd be the worst 3 time Brownlow medallist of all time. Last years one was a total laugh too

Imagine being the ‘worse’ 3 time Brownlow medalist, how depressing. Yeah a laugh- had a flipping ripping year it just that people have little tanties because they want someone else to win. Should already be a 3 timer by the way, your captain got a gift he didn’t deserve- knocks a bloke out by hitting him high and somehow still wins it, talk about a laugh.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Imagine being the ‘worse’ 3 time Brownlow medalist, how depressing. Yeah a laugh- had a flipping ripping year it just that people have little tanties because they want someone else to win. Should already be a 3 timer by the way, your captain got a gift he didn’t deserve- knocks a bloke out by hitting him high and somehow still wins it, talk about a laugh.

Not Cripps fault Carlton has fat stacks to splurge on Queen's council lawyers. Neale himself admitted he didn't think he should have won the 2023 Brownlow on a ball magnets interview.

 

[jonnobackpocket]

Not Cripps fault Carlton has fat stacks to splurge on Queen's council lawyers. Neale himself admitted he didn't think he should have won the 2023 Brownlow on a ball magnets interview.

Humble as well, horrible trait.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Humble as well, horrible trait.

Woeful tatts too

 

[H00t]

No, mainly because he'd be the worst 3 time Brownlow medallist of all time. Last years one was a total laugh too

Getting 3 votes for a 20 disposal, 3 score involvement game against GWS was bad but also got 1 vote each against Adelaide and Pies for 23 and 22 disposal games where a number of players where more worthy of votes.

Was a fix and a half last year.

 

[GC2015]

Does the favourite ever win?

Just as much chance umpires fave Lachie Neale wins another Brownlow.

The Favourite regularly wins.

2023: Favourite - Marcus Bontempelli. Winner - Lachie Neale (5th favourite)
2022: Favourite - Lachie Neale. Winner - Patrick Cripps (3rd favourite)
2021: Favourite - Oliie Wines. Winner - Ollie Wines (1st favourite)
2020: Favourite - Lachie Neale. Winner - Lachie Neale (1st favourite)
2019: Favourite - Patrick Dangerfield. Winner - Nat Fyfe (3rd favourite)

2018: Favourite - Tom Mitchell. Winner - Tom Mitchell (1st favourite)
2017: Favourite - Dustin Martin. Winner - Dustin Martin (1st favourite)
2016: Favourite - Patrick Dangerfield. Winner - Patrick Dangerfield (1st favourite)
2015: Favourite - Nat Fyfe. Winner - Nat Fyfe (1st favourite)
2014: Favourite - Joel Selwood. Winner - Matt Priddis (6th favourite)

It's becoming less common for the favourite to win it these days.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Getting 3 votes for a 20 disposal, 3 score involvement game against GWS was bad but also got 1 vote each against Adelaide and Pies for 23 and 22 disposal games where a number of players where more worthy of votes.

Was a fix and a half last year.

Am I remembering incorrectly that he got votes for a 15 disposal game? Or was that JHF?

 

[H00t]

Am I remembering incorrectly that he got votes for a 15 disposal game? Or was that JHF?

That was JHF in the game against Geelong getting the 3 for a 13 disposal game.

Which was the weirdest 3 votes. Followed by Neale’s game against GWS.

 

[Daka]

I hope Bontempelli wins.

I don't really care for the Brownlow much anymore though.

 

[Fadge]

2023: Favourite - Marcus Bontempelli. Winner - Lachie Neale (5th favourite)
2022: Favourite - Lachie Neale. Winner - Patrick Cripps (3rd favourite)
2021: Favourite - Oliie Wines. Winner - Ollie Wines (1st favourite)
2020: Favourite - Lachie Neale. Winner - Lachie Neale (1st favourite)
2019: Favourite - Patrick Dangerfield. Winner - Nat Fyfe (3rd favourite)

2018: Favourite - Tom Mitchell. Winner - Tom Mitchell (1st favourite)
2017: Favourite - Dustin Martin. Winner - Dustin Martin (1st favourite)
2016: Favourite - Patrick Dangerfield. Winner - Patrick Dangerfield (1st favourite)
2015: Favourite - Nat Fyfe. Winner - Nat Fyfe (1st favourite)
2014: Favourite - Joel Selwood. Winner - Matt Priddis (6th favourite)

It's becoming less common for the favourite to win it these days.

The Favourite has won the Brownlow 6 of the last 10 times, but because they haven't won the last two, it's 'becoming less common'?

 

[brmi]

Obviously I hope Bont wins it but I think he'll fall short again. Still a top 5 finish.

If not Bonti, wouldn't mind seeing Daicos or Cripps win. Just as long as it's not Neale again.

 

[flyingmagpies]

There were a few examples of Neale getting votes weirdly last year. Getting votes in round 8 on a 22 disposal game where he had zero influence, when Daicos had 38 + 2 goals and received zero votes, stood out then. The GWS game 3 votes were a laugh, too, as someone said. He's just a magnet for votes. If there are no standout players, he'll get the 1 or 2 every time.

 

[Sweeetleftfoot]

Don’t understand the hate for Neale, absolute champion player.
Should be shooting for 4 Brownlows.

Hard to see the winner cracking high thirties , considering the two favourites are from teams just in the 8 and outside the 8, but who knows with the umps.

Still think Cripps wins by a bit though.

 

[KissKiss]

There were a few examples of Neale getting votes weirdly last year. Getting votes in round 8 on a 22 disposal game where he had zero influence, when Daicos had 38 + 2 goals and received zero votes, stood out then. The GWS game 3 votes were a laugh, too, as someone said. He's just a magnet for votes. If there are no standout players, he'll get the 1 or 2 every time.

Happens every year. There's always a few bizarre games when someone gets votes they shouldnt have but then doesnt get votes in another game when they clearly should have. Judd was famously pulling votes from nowhere the year I think it was the year he won over Swan

 

[Xtreme]

JHF will win and his nearest opponent will be at least 30 votes behind him by the end of the count.

 

[flyingmagpies]

Happens every year. There's always a few bizarre games when someone gets votes they shouldnt have but then doesnt get votes in another game when they clearly should have. Judd was famously pulling votes from nowhere the year I think it was the year he won over Swan

Haha, yeah, Judd was a classic for that. The number of votes he got in games the Blues lost in 2010 was ridiculous. Swanny got shafted that year. For Judd to get the three votes over him in that game when the Blues lost by 12 goals was ridiculous. I may be old-fashioned, but players that get 30+ disposals and 2-3 goals should be in the votes. Yes, not every disposal is damaging, but if you have 25+ effective disposals as a mid-fielder, odds are a lot are.