Rolling Flag Contenders 2024

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Indeed.

Hence the reason a team shouldn't be anointed a flag contender until such time as they actually contend for the premiership.
This thread is to have a bit of fun and discuss who people think are realistic shots to win the flag.

What's the point/fun of waiting until after it's all finished to talk about it?

Don't be a debbie downer
 
Oh well my view on which teams right now have a shot at winning the flag in order are

Sydney

gap


Collingwood; then, close to Collingwood and in pretty much equal order ( currently)

Geelong, Carlton, GWS and Brisbane

then ( again) in no particular order

Fremantle, Essendon, Doggies and Port



I think Petracca being out as well as NQR goings on at Melbourne have ruled them out for 2024 - much to my surprise.
 
Oh well my view on which teams right now have a shot at winning the flag in order are

Sydney

gap


Collingwood; then, close to Collingwood and in pretty much equal order ( currently)

Geelong, Carlton, GWS and Brisbane

then ( again) in no particular order

Fremantle, Essendon, Doggies and Port



I think Petracca being out as well as NQR goings on at Melbourne have ruled them out for 2024 - much to my surprise.
Carlton up one tier, Geelong swapping with Port and that's how I'd see it.
 

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Sydney and Blues are the only 2 capable of the flag, if they play off Sydney will shit the bed and Blues win comfortably.


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Sounds like one of my many dreams. Knowing my team, they'll probably win 4 or 5 more games during the 2nd half and finish like 5th or something..
 

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Essendon 2001
Port 2002
Port 2003
St Kilda 2004
West Coast 2005
Adelaide 2006
Geelong 2008
St Kilda 2009
Collingwood 2011
Hawthorn 2012
Port 2014
Freo 2015
Richmond 2018
Geelong 2019
Melbourne 2022


All sides who were absolutely flying halfway through the year (some even later), none won the flag. 9 of them missed the grand final altogether.

Anyone who is declaring it a certainty right now has rocks in their head.
 
Essendon 2001
Port 2002
Port 2003
St Kilda 2004
West Coast 2005
Adelaide 2006
Geelong 2008
St Kilda 2009
Collingwood 2011
Hawthorn 2012
Port 2014
Freo 2015
Richmond 2018
Geelong 2019
Melbourne 2022


All sides who were absolutely flying halfway through the year (some even later), none won the flag. 9 of them missed the grand final altogether.

Anyone who is declaring it a certainty right now has rocks in their head.
Good post - not saying Sydney can't or won't win, but normally you'd see the future premier starting to hit their straps over the next few weeks and peaking as they head into the finals. Big watch on Collingwood, Carlton, potentially a few other wildcards as well for mine.
 
Considering our history with Grand Finals over the past decade I don't think there's one Swans fan that thinks we have this in the bag. We're just enjoying the ride right now and we'll see what happens when we get to the pointy end.

Right now I'm looking at Carlton and Collingwood as two teams that could press to challenge us. The Bombers have greatly improved but I think the tougher draw in the second half to the season will drag them back a bit.
 
Apologies if this is a double-up but all i can see is countless this team vs that team, so what about going broader?

As i see it i would rank in this order:

1. GWS - can win anywhere, no weakness in terms of mids / forwards / defence. Clear top pick
2 (equal) Sydney - Not been great the last 2 weeks but Grundy a big difference
2 (equal) Melbourne - can't help but feel it's their last big crack at it with ages of Gawn and May.
4 Carlton - Not playing that well but winning. Huge to have 2 in form key forwards and have good players to come back. Docherty a blow.
5 Port - midfield looks awesome. Disappointing against Melbourne although without JHF. Still have that september monkey on their back for now
6 Geelong - Look like they will win plenty at the cattery again and already a win in Adelaide. Too many oldies to put them higher - not confident they can all stay on the park
7 Collingwood - not played a really good game yet but pressure is back. Again their age isn't helpful but if they get to September you wouldn't want to play them
8 Lions - only this high because again if they get to september they have plenty of experience now. Likely to be 2-5 at best after the next 3 weeks which is a looooong way back
9 Suns - i reckon they are top 4 next year
10 all the others - think freo are much improved but wouldn't see them as a flag chance
Not sure if another season since 1993 could have changed this much. my contenders would have changed every week i reckon

1 Swans - getting players back, had the down the perfect time, suspect they get the chocolates on Sunday. Way out in front now for me given guaranteed top spot and can plan for finals
2 Blues - clearly holes. I think they have dropped some key workhorse players. Fans will be a force in the finals and still think they get top 2 having had a lot of their hard games already
3 GWS - i think they build from here. they travel well. going to get key players back too.
4 freo - threatening forward line. gun mids. good key backs. have all the ingredients albeit seem to ahve some off days. the weekend's loss could come back to haunt them
5 Geelong - will cruise in to the top 4 with their draw, otherwise would not have them this high. look better without hawkins
6 Lions - honestly could still miss the 8. no easy games in the run home. they look dangerous atm but still not winning convincingly and would not surprise if they lost the next 2 which would all but kill their hopes - have the swans at the gabba then suns in GC where the suns are undefeated.
7 Dogs - who knows what you get but their best is still good
8 Pies - could still put it together, mcstay comes back, would need to get rolling but clear danger if they do
9 essendon - maybe unfair this low but pretty deflating loss so where do they finish now?
10 Port - better on paper than in reality for now
11 Dees - get gawn back. forward line looks a bit better with some of the young blokes. hard path with no petracca
12 hawks - unlikely to make the 8, danger side if they do!
13 can still see them making it given they have away games v west coast and richmond. have never been in a final so would be a heck of an effort, given they don't travel well
 

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Rolling Flag Contenders 2024

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