2024 Ladder Predictions

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hmmn… the most Vic centric 8 so far.
2 interstate teams filling positions 1 & 2
3 interstate teams of 8 in the 8
3 of 4 interstate teams filling positions 9 to 12
Without knowing by how far this poster has teams outside of the respective 8 away from those placed 5 to 8.
Are they equal on points? separated by percentage? etc. etc.

”Most Vic centric……..”

Stop punching at shadows.
 
2 interstate teams filling positions 1 & 2
3 interstate teams of 8 in the 8
3 of 4 interstate teams filling positions 9 to 12
Without knowing by how far this poster has teams outside of the respective 8 away from those placed 5 to 8.
Are they equal on points? separated by percentage? etc. etc.

”Most Vic centric……..”

Stop punching at shadows.

think it was the only one to have 5:Vic teams.
 

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FOOTYLAD'S 2024 OFFSEASON LADDER PREDICTOR


1. LIONS 18W - 5L - 0D (Home and Away season dominance, Home still a fortress. Depth everywhere, Lions are here to make a statement that they're upset the way 2023 ended missing by only inches)
2. BLUES 16W - 7L- 0D (Building on 2023, Blues put it all together during the season. Voss gets the most from this group as they push for a legit shot at the Cup)
3. CROWS 15W - 8L - 0D (Far and away the biggest RISER. Statistically someone makes a jump from outside the 8 into top 4 almost every year. Like many we see it as Adelaide. They just have the list and the guys to do it.)
4. PIES 14W - 8L - 1D (No Premiership hangover but tougher draw and maybe a bit of foot off the pedal means a slight drop but nothing too crazy. Still the team to beat.)
5. GWS 14W - 9L - 0D (Still a force on the road, a bit of maturity in the young blokes and a belief that they can go again)
6. PORT 13W - 9L - 1D (Bit of a dip from 2023 but still tough at Home. Could be anything from 6th)
7. SUNS 13W - 10L - 0D (SUNS FINALLY MAKE IT, the fan favourite of the bunch. Neutrals team for Finals)
8. CATS 12W -11L - 0D (The villain pulls another one out of the hat. Sneak in on easy draw and easier finish to the season. Get % boost over easy wins at Home with newly rebuilt stadium, will fall down the depths to proper rebuild after 2024 with bulk retirements)

-------------------------------------------------------------------
9. SWANS 12W -11L - 0D (Swans drop a couple games they should win and due to tough schedule miss out by minuscule %. Really unlucky here)
10. DEES 12W -11L - 0D (My biggest FALLER. Please don't get mad at me Dees fans i promise it's not personal i just think a lot of offseason distractions and a hard schedule don't help. Miss out only on %)
11. SAINTS 12W -11L - 0D (Lack of consistency to build on previous seasons success sees Saints miss on %)
12. BOMBERS 12W -11L - 0D (Injuries and list turnover cause Dons to drop some games. Dons miss on % much to dismay of Bombers supporters.)
13. DOGGIES 10W -13L - 0D (The catalyst for a coach on the way out, reckon Bevo will get done halfway thorugh the season. Is Smith staying or going? How will mids gel? Can JUH figure out his kicking woes? Too many talls not enough spots? Lots of question marks here)
14. DOCKERS 10W -13L - 0D (Just not sure where the improvement comes from? Looked like ready to make the next step then faltered. Could very easily jump into 8 if Amiss comes on strong)
15. HAWKS 9W -14L - 0D (Tougher Hawks unit that gets some nice wins building off of last year's stronger finish)
16. TIGERS 7W -16L - 0D (Tigers heading into rebuild as they transition to next gen of elite players)
17. ROOS 4W -19L - 0D (Still too young to make any impact but the players are there. Just need competitive games every week to get a tick.
18. EAGLES 3W -20L - 0D (Another rough year but see them as more competitive with guys healthy. Still taking the losses but getting maturity into the kids which is a good thing)
Very bold predictions
 
1. Essendon (They'll win every final)
2. Flagmantle (2025 will be your year)
3. Port Adelaide
4. Brisbane
5. Melbourne
6. Adelaide
7. GWS
8. Sydney
9. Richmond
10. Gold Coast
11. Geelong
12. St Kilda
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Hawthorn
15. West Coast
16. North Melbourne
17. Carlton
18. Collingwood
 
1. Essendon (They'll win every final)
2. Flagmantle (2025 will be your year)
3. Port Adelaide
4. Brisbane
5. Melbourne
6. Adelaide
7. GWS
8. Sydney
9. Richmond
10. Gold Coast
11. Geelong
12. St Kilda
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Hawthorn
15. West Coast
16. North Melbourne
17. Carlton
18. Collingwood
Hmmm…..Too many interstate teams in the 8
 
Hmmm…..Too many interstate teams in the 8
Fair point. Let me fix that.

1. Essendon *
2. Flagmantle
3. Port Adelaide
4. Lions (aka Fitzroy) *
5. Melbourne *
6. Adelaide
7. GWS
8. Bloods * (South Melbourne)
9. Richmond
10. Gold Coast
11. Geelong
12. St Kilda
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Hawthorn
15. West Coast
16. North Melbourne
17. Carlton
18. Collingwood


Given I now have 4 Melbourne teams in the 8, I feel much better about this prediction!
 
Post-fixture version

Collingwood
Brisbane
GWS
Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Geelong
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide

Carlton
Gold Coast
Hawthorn
Sydney
Richmond
St Kilda
Essendon
Fremantle
North Melbourne
West Coast

Prefacing this by saying there's always unexpected sliders and climbers, into/out of the 4 and the 8. 3 new sides in the 8 and 1 in the 4 is what I've landed on.

I could see Carlton having a blip before top 4 and a real flag charge 2025. GWS the prelim loser to maintain momentum. Melbourne to slip out of the 4 but win a final. Geelong with an easy draw and (probably) a better injury run to crack the 8. There's always a couple of sides who on paper should improve but don't. I'm going with St Kilda and Sydney for this to happen to. Doggies seem in a turbulent place but will they actually slide? They're too good to miss finals again. And I think Adelaide will break out while Gold Coast and Hawthorn will go pretty close.
 
1. Brisbane
2. GWS
3. Collingwood
4. Carlton
5. Swans
6. Port
7. Adelaide
8. Gold Coast

9. Richmond
10.Melbourne
11.Geelong
12.North
13.Bulldogs
14.West Coast
15.Hawthorn
16.Essendon
17.St.Kilda
18.Fremantle

Dons, Saints and Freo will struggle with cohesion for 4 quarters, Port will lose first final against the Crows and Hack Sinkley movement will gain even more momentum with tarps finally re-appearing at Adelaide oval through-out season 2025, and Koch will fade further from the public's eye. Lions will finally nail it on the biggest stage and after Cameron and Neale instantly retire citing burnout. Pies struggle to win the close ones on tired old legs but still have enough firepower to be a threat till the end, Dogs sack Bevo in August, Geelongs Scott sister retires at seasons end
 
1) Brisbane
2) Collingwood
3) Carlton
4) Adelaide
5) GWS
6) Melbourne
7) Gold Coast
8) Sydney

9) Geelong
10) Port
11) W Bulldogs
12) Essendon
13) St Kilda
14) Fremantle
15) Hawthorn
16) Richmond
17) North
18) West Coast
 
WLD%
1.GWS1760113.2%
2.Brisbane Lions1760113.0%
3.Collingwood1760112.0%
4.Carlton1760110.7%
5.Melbourne1670111.2%
6.Adelaide1580108.8%
7.Port Adelaide1490105.9%
8.Gold Coast13100102.6%
9.Geelong12110103.1%
10.Sydney12110100.7%
11.St Kilda1112099.6%
12.Essendon914095.1%
13.Fremantle914094.9%
14.Hawthorn815093.0%
15.Western Bulldogs716092.0%
16.Richmond617087.8%
17.North Melbourne518086.2%
18.West Coast221079.8%
QF1: GWS v Carlton
QF2: BRISBANE LIONS v Collingwood
EF1: MELBOURNE v Gold Coast
EF2: ADELAIDE v Port Adelaide
 

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I think a lot of posters getting it right about Richmond having a tough year.

Haven't recruited anyone of note and have some ageing stars.

Could be a strategy to dip for a year or two as some absolute gun midfielders coming up in next 2 drafts.

Sent from my CPH2197 using Tapatalk
 
I think a lot of posters getting it right about Richmond having a tough year.

Haven't recruited anyone of note and have some ageing stars.

Could be a strategy to dip for a year or two as some absolute gun midfielders coming up in next 2 drafts.

Sent from my CPH2197 using Tapatalk
I can see Richmond riding a healthy, in form, Lynch all the way to the very edge of finals. Or I can see him missing a large portion of the year injured or playing unfit and touching on the bottom 4.

Like my club, Richmond feels really reliant on a small number of players, especially their spearhead.
 
Freo will be interesting to watch I reckon. 10 wins this year despite the doom talking. Lost some players but I think they are too good to fall any lower.
Hopefully we are better than most on here are predicting. Makes for very depressing reading to see us in most people’s bottom 4 but I guess time will tell.
 
They were bottom 6 this year where is the improvement coming from losing Riewoldt doesn’t help
I've probably covered it in here already but the main one being not having a coach lose the players and walk out mid season.
-Lynch back is a huge one.
-Gibcus back
-Dimmas and McQualters flag favorites not being gifted games.
-Cumberland given a fair go
-The 2021 5 - sonsie, Clarke, Banks, gibcus and brown should all be ready to make an impact and I think they will.
-updated game plan that suits the list we have now not what we had 5 or 6 years ago.
-Tylar Young will improve on his debut season. Balta should he better again.
-cotchin not being carried to the line and hidden up forward.
- our 3rd tall forward options in Ryan and Bauer should be ready to step up.
-less injuries hopefully. At this stage looks like most will be doing a full pre season bar Lynch.

Jack will be missed from a leadership and footy smarts perspective but his opponent was regularly in the bests last season. Kosi won't kick as many goals but physically he will compete harder so I don't think losing jack will be a reason we go backwards as long as Lynch plays most of the year.

I can't see us not being better next season than we were this year but I'm also a tigers nuffy so we shall see....
 
I think a lot of posters getting it right about Richmond having a tough year.

Haven't recruited anyone of note and have some ageing stars.

Could be a strategy to dip for a year or two as some absolute gun midfielders coming up in next 2 drafts.

Sent from my CPH2197 using Tapatalk
I'm a bit of a traditionist, so I have them 9th
 
I've probably covered it in here already but the main one being not having a coach lose the players and walk out mid season.
-Lynch back is a huge one.
-Gibcus back
-Dimmas and McQualters flag favorites not being gifted games.
-Cumberland given a fair go
-The 2021 5 - sonsie, Clarke, Banks, gibcus and brown should all be ready to make an impact and I think they will.
-updated game plan that suits the list we have now not what we had 5 or 6 years ago.
-Tylar Young will improve on his debut season. Balta should he better again.
-cotchin not being carried to the line and hidden up forward.
- our 3rd tall forward options in Ryan and Bauer should be ready to step up.
-less injuries hopefully. At this stage looks like most will be doing a full pre season bar Lynch.

Jack will be missed from a leadership and footy smarts perspective but his opponent was regularly in the bests last season. Kosi won't kick as many goals but physically he will compete harder so I don't think losing jack will be a reason we go backwards as long as Lynch plays most of the year.

I can't see us not being better next season than we were this year but I'm also a tigers nuffy so we shall see....


No issue with your optimism, however a lot of the rationale comes from young players, many who have played less than 20 games and some who haven't even debuted.

Historically that's never an immediate difference maker, but takes time to reap reward.
 
No issue with your optimism, however a lot of the rationale comes from young players, many who have played less than 20 games and some who haven't even debuted.

Historically that's never an immediate difference maker, but takes time to reap reward.
They've all debuted. None of them are first or 2nd year players.

Improvement generally comes from youth, of which we should have quite a few ready to take a step up IMO.
 
1. Essendon (They'll win every final)
2. Flagmantle (2025 will be your year)
3. Port Adelaide
4. Brisbane
5. Melbourne
6. Adelaide
7. GWS
8. Sydney
9. Richmond
10. Gold Coast
11. Geelong
12. St Kilda
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Hawthorn
15. West Coast
16. North Melbourne
17. Carlton
18. Collingwood
That's probably the most sickening top 3 I've ever seeeeeeen

On SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

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2024 Ladder Predictions

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