USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

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Barring an October surprise to end all October surprises, this one is done and dusted in Trump's favour unfortunately. Not trying to be a douche here - quite the opposite, I'm trying to show empathy and compassion by getting you all used to the idea of the inevitable. Conspiracy theories about polls and bookies are of comfort, I get that, but deep down we all realise the current state of play m8.
And if your prediction doesn’t come to pass do you then switch to..”stollen election?”🤣
 

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If you count all the states with a greater than 1% margin on polling as being decided, this is what the map looks like.

Unless something changes, Trump is making up ground in all the swing states, according to the polls. Harris has had 2% leads in Wisconsin and Michigan reduced to less than 0.5%. Trump really only needs to win one of WI, MI or PA.

Time to go invest in Tesla/SpaceX, who Trump is going to shower with favours. Tariffs on Chinese EVs are near-certain if Trump wins. Welcome to the open oligarchy. Where a car baron uses his leverage to buy a media company for political favours in return for beneficial trade policies.

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In a representative democracy, if the deplorables outnumber the decent folk you end up with a Trump, Abbott or Morrison. The Government of the people …. given it is their country.

When you have non compulsory voting it’s about making your base enthusiastic to vote for you, being BFFs with the Cheneys seems straight out of some bad Biden campaign playbook.
 
No, history shows the dems need a 5 point lead to have a chance. Conservatives are less likely disclose who they are voting for in polls, so polls always overstate the Dem's real lead.

A Dem lead of 1 - 2 points, as it currently stands, is saying the Republicans will win.

yeah, nah. polling is a touch more complicated than that.
 

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Indeed. Cheney lied to the world about WMDs to justify butchering a million people in Iraq so that his private company could earn $38B from the rebuild contracts. Kamala wheels him out as a reason to vote against the guy who is guilty of paying hush money and writing mean tweets. Anyone with a moral compass is not falling for it!
Yeah. Trump is too on the nose, even for THAT guy.

Seen a list of which countries have come out in support of Trump verse those for Harris.

You sleep with some interesting bedfellows, but as long as you get a good night's rest who cares right?


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As Trump likes dictators it wouldnt surprise me if china invades and , he does nothing
He'd have to be able to control the Pentagon. He is the CinC, but if he goes too far, they may buck him. Right now, the military is beefing up their containment strategy and bases around China in the Pacific. They at least know there is a threat to the US's big bases in Japan, Philippines, Korea, and others.
 

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USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

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