Discussion 2025 Fantasy Pre-Season Planning Discussion

[Shaunn]

Everyone’s forward line has the same 4 5 people besides the premiums.

Yeah i don't see the forward line being much different apart from maybe JHF.

 

[Sir Deadly]

Everyone’s forward line has the same 4 5 people besides the premiums.

Yeah there’s just way too much value in the forward line this year to ignore.

 

[Shaunn]

Do we even add the rooks score of a 50-60 if its replacing say a premo on there bye like T Green or Whitfield? Cause its most likely to drop out anyway for example with the likes of J Smith, Ashcroft, Langford, Draper, Travaglia and Hewett being higher and thats already 5.

Just doing some math on the top premo mids/defenders with and without byes that should be worth starting.


This is based on imo there "expected" average for the year since you don't plan on trading them, while adding a few lower averages.
You also have to consider the double price jump in the round 1 for Whit/Green.


Rozee avg 107x23 = 2461
Rozee avg 105x23 = 2415
Rozee avg 103x23 = 2369

Green avg 110x22 = 2420
Green avg 108x22 = 2376
Green avg 106x22 = 2332

Taranto avg 105x23 = 2415
Taranto avg 103x23 = 2369
Taranto avg 101x23 = 2323

Sheezel avg 112 x23 = 2576
Sheezel avg 110 x23 = 2530
Sheezel avg 108 x23 = 2484

Whitfield avg 114x22 = 2508
Whitfield avg 112x22 = 2464
Whitfield avg 110x22 = 2420



Based on this i think id go Rozee or Green first over Taranto, Sheezel and Whitfield pretty similar, not sure id expect Sheezel to keep up the 112 average considering he might get moved around abit.

 

[powerrrrrrrrrrrr]

First draft of 1000 no doubt.

Already have countless 50/50 players that will no doubt end up with picking the wrong one!

 

[danster168]

First draft of 1000 no doubt.

Already have countless 50/50 players that will no doubt end up with picking the wrong one!

View attachment 2190674

Isn't Houston suspended?

 

[powerrrrrrrrrrrr]

Isn't Houston suspended?

Only for 1 game, round 0.

Which conveniently doesn’t count for fantasy.

Hoping he slips through as a POD due to this.

 

[danster168]

Only for 1 game, round 0.

Which conveniently doesn’t count for fantasy.

Hoping he slips through as a POD due to this.

true. still has an extra bye though which is annoying.

 

[4tune8]

First iteration of many, have tried to avoid the early byes, Kiddy is a wait n see.

Just a couple of C & VC options, set and forget rucks.

 

[powerrrrrrrrrrrr]

true. still has an extra bye though which is annoying.

This year I put to much emphasis on those extra byes and avoiding them.

Which meant I missed out on Heeney and Gawn and screwed my year before it started.

My lesson for next season, don’t care much about those byes.

 

[Shaunn]

This year I put to much emphasis on those extra byes and avoiding them.

Which meant I missed out on Heeney and Gawn and screwed my year before it started.

My lesson for next season, don’t care much about those byes.

Yep same here with Heeney. But there's ALOT of value from players with no byes. Currently only have 4 bye players but could go up to 6.

 

[Barrybran]

Team vanilla

The 30 most selected players so far. Tom Green is 16% owned already but I've omitted him to fill the remaining spots. Way too many early bye defenders.

 

[happy_eagle]

First iteration of many, have tried to avoid the early byes, Kiddy is a wait n see.

Just a couple of C & VC options, set and forget rucks.

View attachment 2190688

Already paid for Assistant Coach
Big flex

 

[Keystone agony]

Coleman could be an early sub risk as well (either starting or being subbed)

Even if he starts R1 I'd be inclined to leave him till post his early bye as a early upgrade.

Yeh maybe an option

What does 3 x 80 get him to price extra. Might make him close to 80-100k more from 3 price changes?

Maybe 80 is too bullish but Brisbane play that game now and i think he qas on track for atleast 80 last year avg wise

 

[happy_eagle]

Yeh maybe an option

What does 3 x 80 get him to price extra. Might make him close to 80-100k more from 3 price changes?

Maybe 80 is too bullish but Brisbane play that game now and i think he qas on track for atleast 80 last year avg wise

Yeh I think once he is back at full fitness he's capable of being a 90s guy. Its just a question of how many early average scores do you have to absorb to get that.

I have no doubt that the overall winner this year will have Coleman in their team at some stage. Key will be when

 

[RowellAnderson12]

Team 001/100

I like Sheezel & Bont. Avoiding the Byes for now.

Standard FWD. I like it so far, made in 5 mins, wish i could forget my password till March

 

[FlowersByIrene]

This year I put to much emphasis on those extra byes and avoiding them.

Which meant I missed out on Heeney and Gawn and screwed my year before it started.

My lesson for next season, don’t care much about those byes.

If the player is a lock... (like Heeney or Gawn proved to be).

I think it is still a great play to avoid if the player is not a lock. For example i was tempted by Zach Merrett as a captaincy option and with a lot of Thursday night games this year. But I don't think he's that much of a good selection he warrants being picked even though he has a bye.

 

[WCE_4_EVER]

Jack McRae is a hard NO for me, getting old and will get bevoed %100

 

[tigs2010]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

 

[Milo Cyrus]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

He'll be a top 6 def with a high degree of probability, so you'll need him. When you get him is the risk factor.

 

[powerrrrrrrrrrrr]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

My biggest unsure in my starting lineup at the moment. As a pure mid, I’m not sure he goes at 112. However I’m sure he goes close (105-110) and will be a top 2 defender anyway.

Is it easier to just start him even if he loses ~50k?

 

[RowellAnderson12]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

Can find it 30 times, get 5 marks and 5 tackles maybe a goal

Would be close to 110+

Bit like Pendles back in the day, always consistent and reliable.

 

[nikkig98]

Jack McRae is a hard NO for me, getting old and will get bevoed %100

You know he's at the saints now mate, going from a midfield that had bont, libba and treloar to a midfield that has hunter clark in their starting rotation
Also you say old, but he's 30

 

[Barrybran]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

35% makes it tempting. The only reason you're picking him is because you're happy with your value guys and you've got cash to burn.

 

[stallon]

What are the thoughts on Sheez? He's so highly owned but I'm not convinced he's going 112. I'm thinking fade but at 35% it does make it hard.

My biggest unsure in my starting lineup at the moment. As a pure mid, I’m not sure he goes at 112. However I’m sure he goes close (105-110) and will be a top 2 defender anyway.

Is it easier to just start him even if he loses ~50k?

Its shown time and time again that the best way to build your starting squad is to not grab those top priced guys other than the rucks. Too much value out there to be picking a guy while expecting him to drop anything off his starting priced at. Remember players need to beat their starting value to stay at the same price, so even if Sheezel goes at 112 for the first 5 or 6 weeks he will drop probably $30k or so in that time. One poor game and his price tanks hard, then everybody else grabs him at sub-1mil as their first upgrade.

Hes on the first bye, not many other defenders on that bye are going to be super popular, but you could leave him as a target for post r12 bye

 

[Milo Cyrus]

Do we even add the rooks score of a 50-60 if its replacing say a premo on there bye like T Green or Whitfield? Cause its most likely to drop out anyway for example with the likes of J Smith, Ashcroft, Langford, Draper, Travaglia and Hewett being higher and thats already 5.

Just doing some math on the top premo mids/defenders with and without byes that should be worth starting.


This is based on imo there "expected" average for the year since you don't plan on trading them, while adding a few lower averages.
You also have to consider the double price jump in the round 1 for Whit/Green.


Rozee avg 107x23 = 2461
Rozee avg 105x23 = 2415
Rozee avg 103x23 = 2369

Green avg 110x22 = 2420
Green avg 108x22 = 2376
Green avg 106x22 = 2332

Taranto avg 105x23 = 2415
Taranto avg 103x23 = 2369
Taranto avg 101x23 = 2323

Sheezel avg 112 x23 = 2576
Sheezel avg 110 x23 = 2530
Sheezel avg 108 x23 = 2484

Whitfield avg 114x22 = 2508
Whitfield avg 112x22 = 2464
Whitfield avg 110x22 = 2420



Based on this i think id go Rozee or Green first over Taranto, Sheezel and Whitfield pretty similar, not sure id expect Sheezel to keep up the 112 average considering he might get moved around abit.

A fit Taranto goes 110. 111-2019, 106-2021, 112-2023
Rozee has only ever gone 103 max (2023).
Data from DFS Aust.