AFL 2014 Ladder Predictions

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Seems to be a lot of supporters who are deluded thinking they didn't just trade for a bunch Lions reserves players.
Brisbane have very good and capable midfield IMO. And your backline is so much better with the big Sauce down there. It's the forward line (mostly lack of KPP) that's the problem. If only Lisle or someone could be more consistent other than the champ! (browny).
 
Conservative isn't necessarily bad. I understand there will be change, but let's be realistic with this one for a second. He honestly believes:

A) Fremantle will MISS the finals and finish below Melbourne.
B) Collingwood will somehow drop to 16th place, 5 spots below GWS.
C) Melbourne will do some miraculous comeback and jump from 17th, to 8th.

Conservative doesn't sound so bad now does it?

Are you really offended that a stranger suggest Collingwood will finish 16th?
 

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Although I don't agree with his ladder at all, a lot of us including myself are often too conservative with these predictions, the ladder almost has a few shocks and has big changes.

Every year a team comes from the bottom 4 (6 with 18 teams) into the 8. And one drops out of the top 6 (often top 4) to miss the finals altogether.

2014 would be an exceptional year only if these two things didn't happen. Trying to pick which teams is of course the challenging part, but if you were a betting man smart money would be on it happening again next year. So those who don't include a major slider / bolter aren't going to have a ladder looking anything like 2014's at the end of season.
 
Top 4
Hawthorn - think they are certainties for this.

Bottom 4
Saints & GWS - locks imo

Missing the 8
Brisbane - lost too much depth
WB - one more year of rebuilding and getting experience into the youngsters
GC - not convinced

The rest are all a shot at the top 8, injuries, luck & the draw will decide.
 
Why ? Most people have North in their four. Essendon were a top four side for most of 2013 until the Drugs saga really hit them. Grand final seasons are really hard to back up and I think Freo won't make another grand final. Their is always a bolter and I think Melbourne really need to perform in 2014 they can't afford to have another bottom four year. I will admit my predictions are a little far fetched but our competition is relatively even and anyone on their day can beat another team.

There's a difference between failing to make another GF and falling completely out of the 8 altogether, not really sure why I'm bothering tbh.
 
Dylan's 2014 AFL Prediction:

1. Sydney (19-22 wins)
2. Fremantle (19-22 wins
3. Hawthorn (~18 wins)
4. Collingwood (~18 wins)
5. Richmond (~18 wins)
6. Geelong (15-16 wins)
7. North Melbourne (~12 wins)
8. Adelaide (~12 wins)
------------------------------
9. Carlton (10-12 wins)
10. Port Adelaide (10-12 wins)
11. West Coast (10-12 wins)
12. Essendon (10-12 wins)
13. Gold Coast (5-7 wins)
14. Western Bulldogs (5-7 wins)
15. Melbourne (5-7 wins)
16. Brisbane Lions (~5< wins)
17. GWS (1-3 wins)
18. St.Kilda (1-3 wins)

2014 Finals:

Finals:

Week 1:
(1) Sydney defeats. Collingwood (4)
(5) Richmond defeats. Adelaide (8)
(6) Geelong defeats. North Melbourne (7)
(2) Fremantle defeats. Hawthorn (3)

Week 2:
(4) Collingwood defeats. Richmond (5)
(3) Hawthorn defeats. Geelong (6)

Week 3:
(1) Sydney defeats. Hawthorn (3)
(2) Fremantle defeats. Collingwood (4)

Grand Final:
(1) Sydney defeated by. Fremantle (2) by 17 points.

Premiers & Minor Premiers: Fremantle
Norm Smith: Nathan Fyfe
Brownlow: Gary Ablett (5th player to bag 3 Brownlows)
Coleman: Jarryd Roughead
Rising Star: Luke McDonald
 
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1. Fremantle
2. Sydney
3. Hawthorn
4. Richmond
5. Collingwood
6. North Melbourne
7. Geelong
8. Adelaide
--------------------
9. Carlton
10. Port Adelaide
11. West Coast
12. Gold Coast
13. Brisbane Lions
14. Melbourne
15. Western Bulldogs
16. St. Kilda
17. GWS Giants
18. Essendon*

Finals:

Week 1:
(1) Fremantle defeats. Richmond (4)
(5) Collingwood defeats. Adelaide (8)
(6) North Melbourne defeated by. Geelong (7)
(2) Sydney defeats. Hawthorn (3)

Week 2:
(4) Richmond defeats. Collingwood (5)
(3) Hawthorn defeats. North Melbourne (6)

Week 3:
(1) Fremantle defeats. Hawthorn (3)
(2) Sydney defeats. Richmond (4)

Grand Final:
(1) Fremantle defeats. Sydney (2) by 17 points.

Premiers & Minor Premiers: Fremantle
Norm Smith: David Mundy
Brownlow: Gary Ablett (5th player to bag 3 Chas Brownlows)
Coleman: Michael Walters (Jeremy Cameron as smoky)
Rising Star: Matt Crouch or Kade Kolodjashnij
I can't remember when was the last time where a team goes out in straight sets.Hope my team is not the team to start this.
 
I can't remember when was the last time where a team goes out in straight sets.Hope my team is not the team to start this.
Oh! and i can't remember was the last time 6th ladder has two shots in the finals.hehehe
 
1. Fremantle
2. Sydney
3. North Melbourne
4. Hawthorn
5. Richmond
6. Geelong
7. Gold Coast
8. Adelaide
9. Collingwood
10. Brisbane
11. Essendon
12. Port Adelaide
13. West Coast
14. Western Bulldogs
15. Carlton
16. Melbourne
17. GWS
18. St Kilda
 

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1. Hawthorn
2. Geelong
3. Essendon
4. North Melbourne
5. Fremantle
6. Collingwood
7. Sydney
8. Gold Coast
9. Richmond
10. Carlton
11. Port Adelaide
12. West Coast
13. Adelaide
14. Western Bulldogs
15. Brisbane
16. Melbourne
17. GWS
18. St Kilda

Week 1
Hawthorn vs Nth Melbourne (Hawks by 9)
Geelong vs Essendon (Essendon by 21)
Fremantle vs Gold Coast (Fremantle by 28)
Collingwood vs Sydney (Collingwood by 35)

Week 2
Nth Melbourne vs Collingwood (Nth by 23)
Geelong vs Fremantle (Geelong by 1)

Week 3
Hawthorn vs Geelong (Hawthorn by 19)
Essendon vs Nth Melbourne (Essendon by 10)

GF
Hawthorn vs Essendon (Hawthorn by 43)

Norm Smith (Isaac Smith)
Brownlow (Joel Selwood)
Coleman (Travis Cloke)
Rising Star (Jack Martin)
 
I'm sure this has also been pointed out by many others but if Monfries kick doesn't take a wicked break against Adelaide, Adelaide win and Port Adelaide don't even play finals (in fact I think Adelaide would have made 9th/8th). The only difference between these two teams this year is one wicked bounce of the ball. This is why this is so hard to predict a simple variable around how a ball bounces can mess up the ladder for up for 5 teams.
 
Above Bulldogs, Saints and Giants? Nah!

Would back them to finish above the Saints and Giants, but write off the Bulldogs at your peril.
 
I'm sure this has also been pointed out by many others but if Monfries kick doesn't take a wicked break against Adelaide, Adelaide win and Port Adelaide don't even play finals (in fact I think Adelaide would have made 9th/8th). The only difference between these two teams this year is one wicked bounce of the ball. This is why this is so hard to predict a simple variable around how a ball bounces can mess up the ladder for up for 5 teams.

Not really, Port would have played a lot harder in their final two games had they lost to Adelaide.

They wouldn't have essentially thrown in the towel like they did against us and wouldn't have let Carlton come back from 40 points IMO.
 
Not really, Port would have played a lot harder in their final two games had they lost to Adelaide.

They wouldn't have essentially thrown in the towel like they did against us and wouldn't have let Carlton come back from 40 points IMO.
Oohhh Hypothetical, I dare say they tried in both those games and deserved their loss. Beating Adelaide didn't make them tank the final rounds.
 
1 - Hawthorn
2 - Fremantle
3 - Collingwood
4 - Sydney
5 - Adelaide
6 - North Melbourne
7 - Geelong
8 - Port Adelaide
9 - Gold Coast
10 - Richmond
11 - Carlton
12 - West Coast
13 - Western Bulldogs
14 - St Kilda
15 - GWS
16 - Melbourne
17 - Brisbane
18 - Essendon*

*If they get the all clear from ASADA, they'll finish somewhere between 3rd & 7th.
 

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AFL 2014 Ladder Predictions

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