Not much different to other lines. SportsBet is the same. WA TAB is 15.5. Are you saying Carlton will smash it?
AFL R11
- Thread starter TheKanga
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Kynge of Begrem
Norm Smith Medallist
Any thoughts on Clarksons's hospitilisation impacting on Hawthorns performance this weekend?
boyOboy
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I imagine it would, if they were facing anyone but GWS. They maybe won't cover such a big line? But it's all speculation. They won't lose.
bruceharmes
Debutant
surprised/shocked if they can't cover that line.
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http://www.afl.com.au/news/2014-05-27/firsthalf-struggles
Interesting article - relating to game lines for the first half. Certainly something you think you see without any hard date to back it up, but this more so backs it up to more extremes then i visioned.
Interesting article - relating to game lines for the first half. Certainly something you think you see without any hard date to back it up, but this more so backs it up to more extremes then i visioned.
Kynge of Begrem
Norm Smith Medallist
I forgot who they were playingyep! what day do they usually come out? and do you know when sportsbet usually put their exotics up?Luxbet had exotics up on a monday? bullshit
- Banned
- #83
I'm being realistic. Of course it's no certainty, nothing is. Especially a powerhouse club like Geelong. I'm saying they will not lose if you're so confident on Geelong bet me they'll win and the loser leaves the forum for good not that it means anything.
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Sportsbet usually come out first with player lines on a wednesday for a normal week. However most agencies have tended when an earlier game such as sydney vs Geel (thursday) have only put down dreamteam lines (H2Hs) for this game. However Sportsbet will still have lines for one player per game on a wednesday.
Lux usually wait 2 hours after teams are announced however im unsure what they will do with the geel vs syd game played earlier.
Betstar/Bet365 follow on after.
Im interested in the TAB with some of there player lines i liked a few last week but didnt get on due to just reactivating the account and no currency in there.
So its not a certainty - all i had to hear
FWIW ill be tipping Sydney and i think they will win in a tight one. Inside 15 for each team might be a good bet.
either team under 15.5 might be worth a look at. the last two games played between these two at the SCG have ended with a kick in it
Scratch that. completely ignored the previous game in round 4. was a 21 point win to the cats
- Banned
- #87
Fair enough Kanga. Nothing wrong with that play at all. Odds are great, Cats are a ridiculously good side. I just fancy the swans this thursday.
Good luck mate!
Some agencies offer other tribet margins. The WA TAB offers either team under 24.5 and 39.5.
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He was making the bet with me, ill kindly ignore it
Yeah I know I meant it was a funny bet for him to suggest lol
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R11 Special @ Sportsbet place any H2H bet and if your team leads at any change but loses it's a refund. Just put some on Richmond paying 2.30.
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Just signed up with sportsbet (whoever thought so late). Just cant keep missing out on these offers or promotions anymore.
Games like Sydney vs Geel, Rich vs Essendon, Gc vs Adel seem good for money back if your team leads at any quarter but doesnt end up winning.
Games like Sydney vs Geel, Rich vs Essendon, Gc vs Adel seem good for money back if your team leads at any quarter but doesnt end up winning.
Brisbane straight up and at the line for me. Dog of the week.
- Banned
- #94
will go berserk for him and cover the line.
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Sydney vs Geelong TML (177.5)
Am really starting to like the unders due to a few reasons. This year both teams have only covered that line 3/9 times so far. Geelong twice at skilled and Sydney one with only 178. Of games at the SCG this year they have both clearly gone under this line. Of the games played at the SCG since 2013 only 4/11 have gone over this line. Sydney have been great at holding teams to low scores again this year - No team has scored the triple digits this year against them. There is also acc to weatherzone 70% chance of rain and expected 5-10mm and it seems to arrive just before the start of that game. Odds say in every sense this game should go unders.
1U Geel vs Syd Under 177.5 @1.91 (Bet365)
Coll vs Stk TML (179.5)
So far this year 11/20 games at Etihad stadium have gone over this line (more than 50%). When Stkilda have played there 3/6 have gone overs at Etihad stadium (50%). This year games involving Collingwood have only gone over 2/9 and Stkilda just 4/9. I feel Cloke, White could really get on top of a pretty avg tall defensive Stkilda outfit and likewise N.Riewoldt without potentially N.Brown and Frost. Stkilda are avg 169.2 in their games this year and Collingwood at just 163.8. This game rings of avoid for me
Avoid - No bet (Id be very slightly leaning unders but not at anything less than $2)
Port vs Melb (175.5)
At Traeger Park where i believe no game of AFL football has been played before in the home and away season. Already an unknown. Port are avg 187.1 and have gone 6/9 over in games this year whilst Melbourne avg just 143.5 and gone over 1/9 games. Splitting the line. From memory games up in darwin/alice springs tend to have quite humidity but this comes at night and this game is played during the day so really hard to read.
No bet
Bris vs Carl (171.5)
At the Gabba this year the avg points scored there has just been 154.75 and not once has the line exceeded the line. Brisbane have gone 6/9 under, Carlton have surprisingly just kept 3/9 under. Last years game also went overs. If the rain comes then look to go 'unders' however again it seems like an avoid. Carltons last 2 games have been defensively good keeping it under on both these occassions. I do admit i struggle to see Brisbane kicking a score meaning Carlton would need to be able to produce something large to reach the overs.
No BET
Ess vs Rich (172.5)
Ess avg 158.9 a game involved, Richmond avg 175.1 involved in. Richmond have gone unders on 6/9 times and before the GWS game were avg 172.6 and 4/5 have gone under playing at the MCG. Essendon are 1-1 at the MCG this year and have gone under 5/9 times one of those overs at 173. There is also a slight chance of rain acc Weatherzone 1-5mm and 70% chance although a fair way away. @MCG throughout the whole year its pretty 50/50 going overs or unders on this. Essendon over the last 6 weeks have not scored more then 73. The 5 weeks before the GWS game for the tigers they had only once scored over 76 in that 5 week period and that was against Brisbane.
1U Under 172.5 @1.88 (Sports Bet)
Another Bet I like: Essendon Under 90.5 @1.88 (Sportsbet)
Adel vs GC (184.5/186.5)
Adel avg 177.78 in games this year whilst GC suns avg 183.11 in games involved in. At the new Adelaide oval in relation to the line of 184.5 it has gone over 5/9 times this year. Adelaide involved at Adelaide has been 3/5 overs. Although in the last 4 weeks there has seemed to be a shift in the Adelaide mentality they have been involved in these 4 games for just an avg of 150. Whether this is due to them playing defensive minded sides in Melbourne avg (143.55), Collingwood (163.8) or Carlton of late its hard to say. I think 186.5 is quite a high line but on a sunday day game at Adelaide oval it could well go over.
Id avoid - Slight lean towards Unders 186.5 (No bet).
WBD vs Freo (171.5)
Freo avg just 159.5 the buldogs 181 in games involved - splitting the line. Been looking at all sorts of numbers and even at the dogs 68.5 line and freos 102.5 line and it says no bet on all fronts. Freo have kicked over 102.5 on all 3 games at ES in the last 2 years. However theyve only kicked over that 2/9 times this year.
WCE vs North (171.5)
Eaglses avg 171.66, North 163.33 involved in. WCE have been able to keep the saints to 58, Freo 73 and Port 70 at Subiaco of late even though losing 2 of those games. Expecting rain on sunday has been quiet wet in perth lately.
0.5Units Under 171.5 @1.88 (Sportbet)
0.5Units North Under 81.5 @1.88 (Sportsbet)
No Bet
Am really starting to like the unders due to a few reasons. This year both teams have only covered that line 3/9 times so far. Geelong twice at skilled and Sydney one with only 178. Of games at the SCG this year they have both clearly gone under this line. Of the games played at the SCG since 2013 only 4/11 have gone over this line. Sydney have been great at holding teams to low scores again this year - No team has scored the triple digits this year against them. There is also acc to weatherzone 70% chance of rain and expected 5-10mm and it seems to arrive just before the start of that game. Odds say in every sense this game should go unders.
1U Geel vs Syd Under 177.5 @1.91 (Bet365)
Coll vs Stk TML (179.5)
So far this year 11/20 games at Etihad stadium have gone over this line (more than 50%). When Stkilda have played there 3/6 have gone overs at Etihad stadium (50%). This year games involving Collingwood have only gone over 2/9 and Stkilda just 4/9. I feel Cloke, White could really get on top of a pretty avg tall defensive Stkilda outfit and likewise N.Riewoldt without potentially N.Brown and Frost. Stkilda are avg 169.2 in their games this year and Collingwood at just 163.8. This game rings of avoid for me
Avoid - No bet (Id be very slightly leaning unders but not at anything less than $2)
Port vs Melb (175.5)
At Traeger Park where i believe no game of AFL football has been played before in the home and away season. Already an unknown. Port are avg 187.1 and have gone 6/9 over in games this year whilst Melbourne avg just 143.5 and gone over 1/9 games. Splitting the line. From memory games up in darwin/alice springs tend to have quite humidity but this comes at night and this game is played during the day so really hard to read.
No bet
Bris vs Carl (171.5)
At the Gabba this year the avg points scored there has just been 154.75 and not once has the line exceeded the line. Brisbane have gone 6/9 under, Carlton have surprisingly just kept 3/9 under. Last years game also went overs. If the rain comes then look to go 'unders' however again it seems like an avoid. Carltons last 2 games have been defensively good keeping it under on both these occassions. I do admit i struggle to see Brisbane kicking a score meaning Carlton would need to be able to produce something large to reach the overs.
No BET
Ess vs Rich (172.5)
Ess avg 158.9 a game involved, Richmond avg 175.1 involved in. Richmond have gone unders on 6/9 times and before the GWS game were avg 172.6 and 4/5 have gone under playing at the MCG. Essendon are 1-1 at the MCG this year and have gone under 5/9 times one of those overs at 173. There is also a slight chance of rain acc Weatherzone 1-5mm and 70% chance although a fair way away. @MCG throughout the whole year its pretty 50/50 going overs or unders on this. Essendon over the last 6 weeks have not scored more then 73. The 5 weeks before the GWS game for the tigers they had only once scored over 76 in that 5 week period and that was against Brisbane.
1U Under 172.5 @1.88 (Sports Bet)
Another Bet I like: Essendon Under 90.5 @1.88 (Sportsbet)
Adel vs GC (184.5/186.5)
Adel avg 177.78 in games this year whilst GC suns avg 183.11 in games involved in. At the new Adelaide oval in relation to the line of 184.5 it has gone over 5/9 times this year. Adelaide involved at Adelaide has been 3/5 overs. Although in the last 4 weeks there has seemed to be a shift in the Adelaide mentality they have been involved in these 4 games for just an avg of 150. Whether this is due to them playing defensive minded sides in Melbourne avg (143.55), Collingwood (163.8) or Carlton of late its hard to say. I think 186.5 is quite a high line but on a sunday day game at Adelaide oval it could well go over.
Id avoid - Slight lean towards Unders 186.5 (No bet).
WBD vs Freo (171.5)
Freo avg just 159.5 the buldogs 181 in games involved - splitting the line. Been looking at all sorts of numbers and even at the dogs 68.5 line and freos 102.5 line and it says no bet on all fronts. Freo have kicked over 102.5 on all 3 games at ES in the last 2 years. However theyve only kicked over that 2/9 times this year.
WCE vs North (171.5)
Eaglses avg 171.66, North 163.33 involved in. WCE have been able to keep the saints to 58, Freo 73 and Port 70 at Subiaco of late even though losing 2 of those games. Expecting rain on sunday has been quiet wet in perth lately.
0.5Units Under 171.5 @1.88 (Sportbet)
0.5Units North Under 81.5 @1.88 (Sportsbet)
No Bet
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hayes
Brownlow Medallist
Take it easy champ.
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
Totals for week 11:
Sydney/Geelong over 177.5
Melb/Port over 175.5
Ess/Rich under 172.5
West coast/NM under 171.5
Sydney/Geelong over 177.5
Melb/Port over 175.5
Ess/Rich under 172.5
West coast/NM under 171.5
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Numbers Specials
Ollie Wines to get 16 or more handballs (Has done this 3/9 games this year) paying $3.5 (so there is value). They are also playing Melbourne.
Ollie Wines to get 16 or more handballs (Has done this 3/9 games this year) paying $3.5 (so there is value). They are also playing Melbourne.
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
You say that like it's a good thing for wines. Melbourne have been defensively very good in the past 4-5 weeks, they definitely aren't the Melbourne of 2013
clueless tard
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Pass, Melbourne don't give up much ball. Specifically 16th for opposition handballs.
Where he has gone over has come against Brisbane (1st opposition handball), Fremantle (3rd) & Geelong (9th).
However agree with every one of your opinions on the match & team totals.
