iluvparis
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Not expecting the track to suit Miss S at all by this time of the day - I'll be looking to swoopers
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Racing April Daily Thread - Racing > Rugbaleeg
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Not expecting the track to suit Miss S at all by this time of the day - I'll be looking to swoopers
Yep
Anything $10+ with a similar BF price to corp price will net you $40 if it loses and slightly more if it wins for a $50 BB.
- Aug 4, 2016
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Am I missing something with the quaddie cashout drama. People were offered a cash out after 3 legs for significantly more than what the value of the winning ticket would’ve been? How is that anything but a clear and obvious error?
They will have to pay any tickets that were winners (I’m guessing all given the fave winning the last) and offer a genuine cash out amount to any who took it that didn’t have the winner in the last leg. Anyone who thinks they’ll get paid in full is kidding themselves.
On Saturday, Now that it’s final field that $4 Danon Premium looks genuine overs. No idea what the weather/market will do with it so not putting whole stake down yet, but this things been going around in a whole different class to the rest of this field. If the price holds you’d even be able to save on a couple on the day if you wanted to play it that way.
They will have to pay any tickets that were winners (I’m guessing all given the fave winning the last) and offer a genuine cash out amount to any who took it that didn’t have the winner in the last leg. Anyone who thinks they’ll get paid in full is kidding themselves.
On Saturday, Now that it’s final field that $4 Danon Premium looks genuine overs. No idea what the weather/market will do with it so not putting whole stake down yet, but this things been going around in a whole different class to the rest of this field. If the price holds you’d even be able to save on a couple on the day if you wanted to play it that way.
iluvparis
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Yeah I would be putting 60-70% of the stake now - I think it will start 3.20 or less. Just holding back some because markets can do stupid things with FU imports (as evidenced by Addeyb in the Ranvet).
$4.22 with the Multiplier
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Outstanding Zoustar colt, full brother to Sunlight sells for 1.1 mil fall of hammer at Easter.
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Little tip for those who enjoy a punt
Warwick Farm tomorrow
Race 4
No 14
Gimme Shelter
Should be 30/1 or better
Warwick Farm tomorrow
Race 4
No 14
Gimme Shelter
Should be 30/1 or better
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How is everyone approaching the Vinery as a form reference from an Oaks perspective?
The farcical tempo doesn’t seem like a strong lead up. I’ve got Shout The Bar (and Nudge to a lesser extent) as a massive lay but am unsure what to do with others like Probabeel.
How will the Oaks be run? If there is no tempo like the Vinery then STB comes right back into the race. But surely lightning doesn’t strike twice?
The farcical tempo doesn’t seem like a strong lead up. I’ve got Shout The Bar (and Nudge to a lesser extent) as a massive lay but am unsure what to do with others like Probabeel.
How will the Oaks be run? If there is no tempo like the Vinery then STB comes right back into the race. But surely lightning doesn’t strike twice?
- Mar 13, 2016
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I know Colette won easy and could have won by more, but the placegetters being 2x Maidens in Toffee Tongue and Quintessa hardly inspires me with confidence about that form.
Probabeel and Funstar clear top 2 3yo fillies up to the Mile, Funstar wasn't at her best at 2000m and Probabeel probably wasn't either but that is still the premier form for mine. Start before Shout the Bar 2nd to Asiago who has Positive Peace form (came out and won Gp2) and Asiago herself won a Gp3 last prep. Even Subpoenead form had won a BM70, shitloads better than horse that haven't won a Maiden.
Note: I backed Quick Thinker week before the Derby and jumped off. Not I've back Colette week before the Oaks and jumping off...
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Thank **** WA have racing Good Friday
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Where did you get 4/1? I can only find 3/1 at best?
- Mar 13, 2016
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How good is backing pacers when they gallop out of the mobile beaten 100m then next start in a near identical field you don't back them and they win at $66?
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This is probably the pacing equivalent of backing Nature Strip at $31 in an everest to get rolled only to toy with the same field for the next 6 starts.
#stillcantfindhim
What’s the consensus on Alizee this weekend back to mares grade 11’s overs or unders?? 
Sorry 4.0, 3/1. It’s free money anyway. Will be taking melody belle in the quinella / exacta aswell for big footy purposes.
I wonder whether it's only a betting proposition early in its campaigns. Seems to fade from about its 3rd startWhat’s the consensus on Alizee this weekend back to mares grade 11’s overs or unders??
I've noticed in Australian racing, that when 3yos get to the classic distances the form guide goes out the window
Reckon that is due to the afterthought race theory. Some horses are set for the distance races and it’s a matter of patience, some are set for the golden slipper and then 3-4 weeks later are battling it out for the champagne stakes. Same with Caulfield guineas then cp or derby.
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saw mellors is in tomorrow at sandown.
good luck.
good luck.
iluvparis
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On reflection I think Probabeel's run was actually superb given how the track was playing on the day. If she stays (bred to) I am certain she will turn around the form against the winner.
I am always happy to be on the class runner in the Oaks and she is the only one here. Was on Collete on Saturday but she is more than well found coming through the second/third tier formlines.
iluvparis
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What’s the consensus on Alizee this weekend back to mares grade 11’s overs or unders??
Overs if you forgive the last run which was close to a career worst.
Certainly a way better horse than Nettoyer who is single digits - I think she could have won a couple of Doncasters carrying 51.5 too!
iluvparis
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That seems totally false - maybe for the males but the faves have pretty dominant records in both Oaks - the classiest horse normally wins.
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