Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 2)

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Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Interesting round of football

round 18

north vs. brisbane
3- bastinac
2-black
1-petrie

geelong vs. richmond
3- christensen
2-kelly
1-corey

leaderboard

22- pendlebury, judd
20-murphy, mitchell
16- moloney, priddis
14- thomas, dal santo, o'keefe
13- cox, selwood, swan, goodes
12- franklin, watson, fyfe
11- martin, ablett, thompson (crows), griffen, embley

Would be interested to get some more thoughts on the north vs. brisbane and geelong vs. richmond matches. Also who people deserved the 2 and 1 votes in the Sydney match (we know goodes will get 3 here).

I've got the same Nth vs Bris votes. Black may get the 3 but better to underpoll for teamvotes.
2.50 (3) - R.Bastinac
2.50 (2) - S.Black
1.00 (1) - D.Petrie

Didnt watch Gee vs Rich.
2.25 (3) - A.Christensen
2.00 (2) - J.Kelly
1.00 (1) - T.Cotchin
0.75 (0) - J.Corey

That is a very good leaderboard :thumbsu:

*EDIT* Interesting that you have Boyd on 10?
 

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Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Could only bear the first half of Geel v Rich. Based on the first half and some research I think its:

Christensen 2.5 (3)
Kelly 1.25 (2)
Bartel 0.75 (1)
Corey 0.75
Selwood 0.5
Cotchin 0.25 - 38 touches but would be surprised if he polled, team got smashed so horrifically.
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

my votes for round 18

st kilda vs crows
milne - 3
dal santo - 2
goddard - 1

lions vs nmfc
black - 3
petrie - 2
bastinac - 1

sydney vs bulldogs
goodes - 3
jack - 2
boyd - 1

carlton vs essendon
judd - 3
betts - 2
murphy - 1

west coast vs freo
cox - 3
shuey - 2
broughton - 1

geelong vs richmond
christensen - 3
corey - 2
kelly - 1


collingwood vs gcfc
pendlebury - 3
ball - 2
ablett - 1

melbourne vs hawks
sewell - 3
mitchell - 2
franklin - 1

leaders:
Judd, pendles - 23
murphy - 19
goodes, mitchell - 17
swan, priddis - 16
dal santo, ablett, boyd, selwood - 15

May have Goodes a little high after reading others count.. feedback appreciated fellas, cheers!
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Could only bear the first half of Geel v Rich. Based on the first half and some research I think its:

Christensen 2.5 (3)
Kelly 1.25 (2)
Bartel 0.75 (1)
Corey 0.75
Selwood 0.5
Cotchin 0.25 - 38 touches but would be surprised if he polled, team got smashed so horrifically.

to bad that cotchin rule doesnt apply to all players, if he is an umpire pet you have to watch out
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

after watching most games for r18 i've gone:

wc/fre:

cox 2.6
shuey 2.2
fyfe .4
broughton .4
barlow .4

geel/rich:

christensen 2.1
kelly 1.8
corey 1.1
scarlett .6
cotchin .2

ess/carl:

judd 2.5
betts 2.5
murphy .5
scotland .2
gibbs .2
robinson .2

stk/adel:

milne 3
dal santo 2
schneider .5
goddard .5

syd/wb

goodes 3
jack 2
h'bery .4
mumford .4
bolton .2

gc/coll

p'bury 2.2
ball 2
johnson .8
ablett .8
davis .2

half way through watching nm/bris and will watch haw/melb tomorrow:)
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Round 18

St Kilda > Adelaide
3. S. Milne
2. N. Dal Santo
1. B. Goddard

Sydney > Western Bulldogs
3. A. Goodes
2. C. Bird
1. K. Jack

North Melbourne > Brisbane
3. R. Bastinac
2. S. Black
1. D. Petrie

Carlton > Essendon
3. C. Judd
2. E. Betts
1. M. Murphy

Collingwood > Gold Coast
3. L. Ball
2. L. Davis
1. S. Pendlebury

Geelong > Richmond
3. A. Christensen
2. J. Kelly
1. T. Cotchin

Hawthorn > Melbourne
3. S. Mitchell
2. B. Sewell
1. L. Hodge

West Coast > Fremantle
3. D. Cox
2. L. Shuey
1. N. Fyfe

Round 18 Leaderboard

S. Pendlebury 21
C. Judd 20
S. Mitchell* 19
M. Murphy 18
M. Priddis 16
B. Moloney* 15
G. Ablett 15
D. Cox 14
N. Dal Santo 14
D. Swan 14
M. Boyd 14
N. Fyfe 14
R. Griffen 13
J. Selwood* 12
J. Watson 12
R. O'Keefe 12
A. Goodes 12
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

im thinking about unloading on pendles at $9 now, what are people's thoughts, is he likely to come in or drift out in betting before seasons end??
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

im thinking about unloading on pendles at $9 now, what are people's thoughts, is he likely to come in or drift out in betting before seasons end??

Too many variables to know for sure. He could belt someone this week and your dough is done :eek:. He is certainly up there and right now out of him, Judd & Murphy I think Pendles is still the value. I can't see him getting out much more than $10 because he's just so consistent and always seems to be around the votes.
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

if things continue the way they are going, i would expect him to drift slightly come brownlow night. last season swan was a big favourite and all the money from the mug punters comes in for the favs in the week leading up to the night, as i would expect this season with judd. for the last 6-7 rounds of last season judd was around the 16-22 mark, by brownlow day he was 30's and high 30's on b/f by the start of the night. all the other potential winners last season hayes, p-bury, selwood all drifted as the money came in for swan.

using pendles now in some multi's with coleman/premiership/to make grand final would be the best option imo if your pretty confident.

votes for nm/bl:

bastinac 2.4
black 2
petrie 1.2
ziebell .2
swallow .2
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

does anyone know of a good site that shows votes from previous years brownlows with there stats from the games, there was one last year but cant find it atm.
 

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Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Votes and stats for their games at afl.has.it

mate looked all over the site and didnt see anything that gave match statistics with the votes at the end of the match from the past years. i went through the whole stats link they had, hyperlink the page on here
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

my leaders after rnd 18

thompson - 7 to 16 - 11.5

black - 9 to 17 - 13

judd - 19 to 31 - 25
murphy 14 to 27 - 20.5

pendlebury - 14 to 24 - 19
swan 13 to 21 - 17
thomas 7 to 17 - 12

watson - 10 to 14 - 12

fyfe - 8 to 15 - 11.5
mundy - 4 to 10 - 7
pavlich - 8 to 13 - 10.5

bartel - 9 to 15 - 12
kelly - 5 to 12 - 8.5
selwood - 10 to 17 - 13.5

ablett - 8 to 16 - 12

mitchell - 17 to 28 - 22.5

moloney - 12 to 17 - 14.5

goldstein - 6 to 11 - 8.5
petrie - 5 to 11 - 8
swallow - 6 to 12 - 9
wells - 7 to 11 - 9

boak - 2 to 5 - 3.5

cotchin - 10 to 13 - 11.5
martin - 7 to 11 - 9

dal santo - 9 to 18 - 13.5
goddard - 7 to 14 - 10.5

botlon - 8 to 14 - 11
goodes - 12 to 18 - 15
okeefe - 10 to 19 - 14.5

cox - 13 to 22 - 17.5
priddis - 9 to 18 - 13.5

boyd - 13 to 22 - 17.5
griffen - 8 to 15 - 11.5

ill post a proper and better lay out for after rnd 24....shame mitchell is ineligable
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

my leaders after rnd 18

thompson - 7 to 16 - 11.5

black - 9 to 17 - 13

judd - 19 to 31 - 25
murphy 14 to 27 - 20.5

pendlebury - 14 to 24 - 19
swan 13 to 21 - 17
thomas 7 to 17 - 12

watson - 10 to 14 - 12

fyfe - 8 to 15 - 11.5
mundy - 4 to 10 - 7
pavlich - 8 to 13 - 10.5

bartel - 9 to 15 - 12
kelly - 5 to 12 - 8.5
selwood - 10 to 17 - 13.5

ablett - 8 to 16 - 12

mitchell - 17 to 28 - 22.5

moloney - 12 to 17 - 14.5

goldstein - 6 to 11 - 8.5
petrie - 5 to 11 - 8
swallow - 6 to 12 - 9
wells - 7 to 11 - 9

boak - 2 to 5 - 3.5

cotchin - 10 to 13 - 11.5
martin - 7 to 11 - 9

dal santo - 9 to 18 - 13.5
goddard - 7 to 14 - 10.5

botlon - 8 to 14 - 11
goodes - 12 to 18 - 15
okeefe - 10 to 19 - 14.5

cox - 13 to 22 - 17.5
priddis - 9 to 18 - 13.5

boyd - 13 to 22 - 17.5
griffen - 8 to 15 - 11.5

ill post a proper and better lay out for after rnd 24....shame mitchell is ineligable

With a handful of rounds left, and assuming there are no drastic changes I'm looking to use the above bolded as my main anchors with various combinations, mixing etc. Whats everyone's thoughts?

I have Priddis 4 ahead of Cox and I just can't see Cox getting near him. What have others got?

I also can't see Goddard winning St. Kilda. I've been generous to him and I've got him a few behind Dal Santo.

So does anyone think its a little to risky in any parts?
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

With a handful of rounds left, and assuming there are no drastic changes I'm looking to use the above bolded as my main anchors with various combinations, mixing etc. Whats everyone's thoughts?

I have Priddis 4 ahead of Cox and I just can't see Cox getting near him. What have others got?

I also can't see Goddard winning St. Kilda. I've been generous to him and I've got him a few behind Dal Santo.

So does anyone think its a little to risky in any parts?
Thompon, Black, Mitchell and Moloney definitely. It would be good if Watson comes back this week and gets another 6-9 votes before the end of the season to seal him winning for Essendon. Ablett is also a guarantee for GC. Carlton, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, North, Richmond, Port, St Kilda, Sydney WC and Bulldogs are up for grabs still. Hopefully Wells, Fyfe, O'Keefe, Bartel and Martin dominate for the rest of the season lol.
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Thompon, Black, Mitchell and Moloney definitely. It would be good if Watson comes back this week and gets another 6-9 votes before the end of the season to seal him winning for Essendon. Ablett is also a guarantee for GC. Carlton, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, North, Richmond, Port, St Kilda, Sydney WC and Bulldogs are up for grabs still. Hopefully Wells, Fyfe, O'Keefe, Bartel and Martin dominate for the rest of the season lol.

yeah i thik those are the right locks at this stage and prob watson. i am hoping more for watson to not show his face so his value goes up and the dons only win one more game. i think priddis and fyfe at this stage will be in alot of mine and prob dal santo. i am worried about griffin polling alot of three vote games but boyd should have it
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

^ i think Griffen isnt that far behind from Boyd. Much better in their wins and most of Boyds votes will come early in the season (coming from losses) which is abit iffy for mine.

Priddis isnt a lock now but should be by Round 24.
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Thompon, Black, Mitchell and Moloney definitely. It would be good if Watson comes back this week and gets another 6-9 votes before the end of the season to seal him winning for Essendon. Ablett is also a guarantee for GC. Carlton, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, North, Richmond, Port, St Kilda, Sydney WC and Bulldogs are up for grabs still. Hopefully Wells, Fyfe, O'Keefe, Bartel and Martin dominate for the rest of the season lol.

I dont think Itll help our cause if Watson belts out another 2-3bogs as he is already very short - although i cant see him doing much coming back from two hammies.

That is what we all want (in particular martin)
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

mate looked all over the site and didnt see anything that gave match statistics with the votes at the end of the match from the past years. i went through the whole stats link they had, hyperlink the page on here

This is for 2010:

http://stats.rleague.com/afl/brownlow/brownlow2010rbr.html

To get there you need to go to home page, then Brownlow Medal, then click the year you want and then click round by round to get the page above.

Hope that helps.
 
Re: Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 1)

Does anyone recall how far ahead of the browlow they opened the team leaders last year at Tab?
 

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Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 2)

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