Brownlow Medal 2011 (Part 2)

[vonn]

Put majority of the $ on Goodes, then hedged the rest with Pendles. Here's hoping either Goodes or Pendles gets up! Anyway, thanks for the responses guys.

EDIT: If you guys care about the odds Goodes was at 9.00 and Pendles 7.00.

Only one in front was Judd at 1.63

Centrebet odds. Was shorter then some of the ones quoted but did not have the time/patience to sign up with another agency.

 

[fridge21]

Anybody else think there has been a massive over reaction to Goodes's last 2 games?

I have given him overs all year due to his freak polling history and still don't have him within 4 of the lead.

 

[vonn]

I think Vonn has more money than we thought

Still $10 on sportingbet.

Swan/Pendles both at $7.50 there

Lol, nah. It's moreso that I held back on some bets during the H&A which I regretted and didn't want to wait for brownlow night with only a half-arsed $5 bet and get say a measly $40 return. Win big I say!

Anybody else think there has been a massive over reaction to Goodes's last 2 games?

I have given him overs all year due to his freak polling history and still don't have him within 4 of the lead.

I'm not a big subscriber of stats but on stats alone he dominated the Brisbane game, BOG by a mile. Geelong game BOG is debateable. Mainly cause I forgot, but would have done enough to get something. I think he once polled 3 when we lost and he had 14 disposals. That's the umpires for you

 

[CamTinley]

Does anyone give Murphy a chance of getting a vote for the Carlton v St Kilda match ? A fair bit of disagreement on the Carlton board about who was their best.

 

[fridge21]

Lol, nah. It's moreso that I held back on some bets during the H&A which I regretted and didn't want to wait for brownlow night with only a half-arsed $5 bet and get say a measly $40 return. Win big I say!



I'm not a big subscriber of stats but on stats alone he dominated the Brisbane game, BOG by a mile. Geelong game BOG is debateable. Mainly cause I forgot, but would have done enough to get something. I think he once polled 3 when we lost and he had 14 disposals. That's the umpires for you

Nah i agree he will get either 5 or 6 votes the last 2 games but i just think that because of those 2 games being so recent everyone has only remembered that and he is a false second favourite. How Judd/Goodes is the quinella equal favourite is amazing imo.

 

[vonn]

Nah i agree he will get either 5 or 6 votes the last 2 games but i just think that because of those 2 games being so recent everyone has only remembered that and he is a false second favourite. How Judd/Goodes is the quinella equal favourite is amazing imo.

Perhaps. He is leading our POTY by a mile if that counts for anything, hasnt' been flashy but has been very consistent and has had some BOG games early, which is not Goodes like. Might not be BOG during Sydney's bad patch but has done enough to get a 1 or a 2 in some games where Sydney have won, but you just never know with the umpires. Who would you have as a second favourite?

 

[sfear]

Who do you have more confidence in for winning their team's count, Selwood or Dal Santo?

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Most team votes is up isnt it?

https://www.ozbet.com.au/Event.aspx... Medal/183/506863?tourName=2011&tourSeq=3499#

 

[KardiniaPark]

Nah i agree he will get either 5 or 6 votes the last 2 games but i just think that because of those 2 games being so recent everyone has only remembered that and he is a false second favourite. How Judd/Goodes is the quinella equal favourite is amazing imo.

He's 2nd favorite because the sonofabitch that runs the phantom brownlow site has connections with the bookies. Goodes is 2nd on their count hence a 2nd fav. If anyone has posted their votes on there don't ****ing use them next year or we will be in the same mess we are now. It's obviously too late to do anything now but for ****s sake do your own count and keep it to yourself. That's all I will say on the matter.

 

[CamTinley]

Anybody else think there has been a massive over reaction to Goodes's last 2 games?

I have given him overs all year due to his freak polling history and still don't have him within 4 of the lead.

I think there has been an over-reaction to his last two games

Here are Goodes, Centrebet Odds, following his last few matches ...

R19 - $34.00
R20 - $21.00
R21 - $26.00
R22 - $26.00
R23 - $16.00
R24 - $9.00

 

[Keystone agony]

S.Thompson, Judd, Pendlebury, Fyfe, Selwood, Ablett, Mitchell, Moloney, NDS, Goodes, Priddis are the ones i like the most.

Really unsure about the Roos, Tigers and Port but that seems where you could find some value. What are peoples thoughts on these teams. I think Cotchin would have captured the eye. Roos have 3-4 guys that could win but i think Swallow will. Port is where the value is Boak, Westhoff or someone else?

Watson and Boyd are not worth the bet.

Really unsure about Brisbane with unknown commodities in Rocky and Redden both had very good years along with Black.

Thoughts

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

I think a lot of people are forgetting Martins great start to the year. Going to be really close between him and Cotchin IMO

 

[Nothing]

I think there has been an over-reaction to his last two games

Here are Goodes, Centrebet Odds, following his last few matches ...

R19 - $34.00
R20 - $21.00
R21 - $26.00
R22 - $26.00
R23 - $16.00
R24 - $9.00

I think it's as much that Goodes had a good spell as the other top contenders didn't ahve a great final month

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Thompson, Black, Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Boak, Dal Santo, Cotchin, Goodes, Priddis
@ $80.04

 

[kaiserchief13]

Thompson, Black, Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Boak, Dal Santo, Cotchin, Goodes, Priddis
@ $80.04

Where can you do that multi?

 

[Damarus]

Most team votes is up isnt it?

https://www.ozbet.com.au/Event.aspx... Medal/183/506863?tourName=2011&tourSeq=3499#

Yes, team votes are up at ozbet. You can't multi at ozbet though, and haven't been able to since 2009 so people are waiting for the tab's (tab sportsbet vic) team markets in the hopes that they accept multis.

As far as that Phantombrownlow site goes, why people don't listen when they're told to stay away I don't know...

 

[GoodesStuff]

Where can you do that multi?

Can't ...

 

[Dr Awkward]

Goodes has no chance people.

 

[PatrickBateman]

Thompson, Black, Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Boak, Dal Santo, Cotchin, Goodes, Priddis
@ $80.04

What's your point?

 

[echelon22]

Goodes has no chance people.

Agreed. Barely beat Bolton last year for Sydney's votes. His big polling years are behind him

 

[KardiniaPark]

Agreed. Barely beat Bolton last year for Sydney's votes. His big polling years are behind him

Thats rubbish, he was ordinary last year and still got 13 votes.

 

[PatrickBateman]

Had it confirmed... no multi betting at all on Brownlow medal this year(TAB). All exotic options will be available by 5pm today.

 

[Rippo]

Had it confirmed... no multi betting at all on Brownlow medal this year(TAB). All exotic options will be available by 5pm today.

Is it too early to start drinking Scotch

 

[Bloods]

Nah i agree he will get either 5 or 6 votes the last 2 games but i just think that because of those 2 games being so recent everyone has only remembered that and he is a false second favourite. How Judd/Goodes is the quinella equal favourite is amazing imo.

Reckon he's a good chance to get 15 votes in the last 6 games. Only game he won't poll anything in is the Richmond game.

 

[Thursfieldness]

Had it confirmed... no multi betting at all on Brownlow medal this year(TAB). All exotic options will be available by 5pm today.

Source?