Brownlow Medal 2013

[Lensen]

Well no, you thought he was a $20 chance, everyone else thought he was a 10,000-1 chance. You had him on what 26 votes? Good times

i didn't think he was a 20-1 chance, just better than 1000-1 that i got him on

and it turned out that my model may have had a slight bias in favour of supercoach points. you live, you learn

 

[KardiniaPark]

Anyone got a quote on Sloane for most Adelaide votes?
I think he has a very very good chance to take that out.

On tattsbet it's a Dangerfield out market. Sloane was $2.00 last week, I haven't seen the game but I assume Sloane gets the 3? So he's probably going to be $1.70ish. Maybe the TAB will have Danger in later on down the track but you'd be getting $8-9 so you might as well wait.

 

[DangerSloane]

On tattsbet it's a Dangerfield out market. Sloane was $2.00 last week, I haven't seen the game but I assume Sloane gets the 3? So he's probably going to be $1.70ish. Maybe the TAB will have Danger in later on down the track but you'd be getting $8-9 so you might as well wait.

Ill smash that in at $2 and $1.70. Trouble is its too far down the track.
I honestly think he'll get more than Danger.

 

[La Vache]

This is my current top 10.

20 - Selwood
19 - Ablett, Fyfe
18 - Griffen
17 - Watson, Jack
16 - Roughead
15 - Pendlebury, Sloane, Martin.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Ill smash that in at $2 and $1.70. Trouble is its too far down the track.
I honestly think he'll get more than Danger.

$1.40

http://tatts.com/sports/afl/brownlow-exotics/brownlow-medal-team-votes

This is my current top 10.

20 - Selwood
19 - Ablett, Fyfe
18 - Griffen
17 - Watson, Jack
16 - Roughead
15 - Pendlebury, Sloane, Martin.

 

[DangerSloane]

This is my current top 10.

20 - Selwood
19 - Ablett, Fyfe
18 - Griffen
17 - Watson, Jack
16 - Roughead
15 - Pendlebury, Sloane, Martin.

So Ablett is obviously reduced due to being in a losing team, so how the hell is Griffen on 18?
This will be nowhere near what it is on brownlow night.

 

[Lensen]

anyone who has k.jack top 3 i agree with entirely and concur

anyone who doesn't is a hack who doesn't know shit

 

[La Vache]

So Ablett is obviously reduced due to being in a losing team, so how the hell is Griffen on 18?
This will be nowhere near what it is on brownlow night.

This is how I see their votes:

Ablett

3 Votes - StKilda, Hawthorn, Collingwood, North
2 Votes - Giants, Geelong
1 Vote - Essendon, Bulldogs, Melbourne

Griffen

3 Votes - Port, Hawthorn
2 Votes - Carlton, Melbourne, Saints, North, Brisbane
1 Vote - Collingwood, Sydney

 

[KardiniaPark]

anyone who has k.jack top 3 i agree with entirely and concur

anyone who doesn't is a hack who doesn't know shit

You must have him about 15th then.

Bazinga.

 

[Lensen]

i was joking. i have precisely one bet on the brownlow this year, and that is k.jack each way at nice odds pre season. but i wouldnt' have a clue where he accurate stands on rankings, am just hopeful

 

[NSLK]

I only have Ablett polling 3 to this point after the bye, and that was against Collingwood. I can still see him being caught and I can see Pendlebury being that guy.

Jack was never far behind Hannebery when he was red-hot, I have Jack catching and overtaking Hannebery in the rounds 18-19.

Rounds in which I expect these Swans to poll:
Jack: 1*, 2, 5, 6, 8, 11, 13, 15*, 17, 18*, 19*
Hannebery: 3*, 5*, 6*, 8*, 9, 11*, 17*
McVeigh: 2*, 3, 6, 10*, 15, 16, 20
Kennedy: 1, 3, 8, 10, 15, 16, 17

* for games I've given best on ground - It will be incredibly impressive if Hannebery actually polls this way - one more best on by halfway than I have for Ablett - though Jnr still in front overall.

 

[PIESPREMIERS2010]

My current count (top 10):

1. Ablett (24)
2. Selwood (22)
3. Barlow (20)
4. Fyfe (19)
Hanneberry (19)
6. Boak (18)
Jack (18)
Mitchell (18)
9. Pendlebury (16)
10.Swan (15)

The obvious value for me is Boak @$61 for winner without Ablett. I've seen him pop up in a few other counts as well...with winnable games v GCS and Carl to come.

 

[DT_35]

This is how I see their votes:

Ablett

3 Votes - StKilda, Hawthorn, Collingwood, North
2 Votes - Giants, Geelong
1 Vote - Essendon, Bulldogs, Melbourne

Griffen

3 Votes - Port, Hawthorn
2 Votes - Carlton, Melbourne, Saints, North, Brisbane
1 Vote - Collingwood, Sydney

Griffen won't get 2 against St.Kilda. If he does, It's a farce. He may get one, but Boyd and Stevens were clearly the 2 best Dogs players on the day. Raffle the 1 up between Griffen, Montagna and Steven.

 

[gothedons]

Griffen won't get 2 against St.Kilda. If he does, It's a farce. He may get one, but Boyd and Stevens were clearly the 2 best Dogs players on the day. Raffle the 1 up between Griffen, Montagna and Steven.

3 votes: Brisbane, Port, Carlton, Hawthorn
2 votes: Richmond, Melbourne
1 vote: Sydeny, Coll

 

[balmainforever]

To have Sloane ahead of Dangerfield is a form of insanity. To have him in the top 3 overall is just blatant trolling.

$8300 Sloane WIN @301 betstar to collect $2.5Mil. Wish me luck guyz but i'm pretty confident.

My current Adelaide votes have it :

Sloane (36)
Danger (4)
Douglas (1)

Overall Sloane is leading by 10, they can't catch him now. Who want's to come for a ride on my new boat?

Weird thinking here.

 

[gothedons]

Row Labels Sum of Votes

Gary Ablett 23
Joel Selwood 22
Nat Fyfe 21
Daniel Hanneberry 19
Ryan Griffen 19
Michael Barlow 19
Dane Swan 18
Travis Boak 18
Kieren Jack 18
Trent Cotchin 17
Sam Mitchell 17
Steve Johnson 16
Jobe Watson 16
Scott Pendlebury 16
Patrick Dangerfield 15

This is my current leaderboard, I have gone relatively well in the past... seems compared to others I have underpolled Pendles... have had a big play on Selwood at 11-1 though so hoping he finishes the year strong!

 

[KardiniaPark]

Weird thinking here.

I'm sure I have no idea what you mean...

While your here, can you confirm that I'm not Harry the horse!

 

[balmainforever]

I'm sure I have no idea what you mean...

While your here, can you confirm that I'm not Harry the horse!

I will confirm that to the best of my knowledge Harry and KP aren't the same person.

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Alright time for me to release mine​

​

G.Ablett 23​

J.Selwood 21​

P.Dangerfield 20​

N.Fyfe 19​

D.Swan 19​

S.Pendlebury 18​

k.Jack 18​

T.Cotchin 18​

D.Hannebery 17​

R.Griffen 16​

J.Watson 16​

T.Boak 16​

You're one of the only people with Dangerfield being up there, I hope you're right, but I can't see it happening.

What games do you have him polling in?

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

Can't say at the top of my head but he is BOG against Richmond, Hawthorn, Bulldogs. Will pick up 1s and 2s against GWS,Brisbane, Freo (round 10) and in my mind was 2nd BOG against the power a few weeks back.

for what its worth, i have him polling in

rnd 2 v bris - 2 votes
rnd 4 v wb - 2
rnd 6 v haw - 3
rnd 7 v gws - 2
rnd 9 v nm - 3
rnd 2 - 2
rnd v gc - 2
rnd 15 v wce - 1
rnd 20 v nm - 1

total of 18

adelaide is an absolute two horse race, sloane 21, dangerfield 18, next best is lynch on 5 by my count

 

[Jugada]

Where have you got Sloane polling? I have him on 15 at most

 

[NSLK]

Rounds I expect polling:

Sloane (14): 2, 4*, 8*, 10, 18, 20*
Dangerfield (12): 2*, 4, 6, 7, 12, 14

* for best on ground

 

[the_big_sav]

my leader board
gaz 21
selwood 20
swan 20
fyfe 19
jack 18.5
barlow 18.5
Mitchell 17.5
hannebery 17.5
boak 17
Dangerfield 16.5
Watson 16
stevie j 16
pendles 15.5
griffen 15
hanley 14.5
McVeigh 14
hartlett 13
priddis 12.5
roughead 12
hodge 11.5
rockliff 11
Sloane 10.5
heppell 10.5
kennedy (wc) 10.5
zaharakis 9.5
Harvey 9

the votes I give are maybe 1, 1 or 2, 2 or 3, 1, 2, 3 and I go off the herald sun, the age, sunday footy show, afl website match review, games I watch, votes on bigfooty

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

Where have you got Sloane polling? I have him on 15 at most

rnd 1 v ess: 1 vote
rnd 2 v bris: 2
rnd 3 v PA: 2
rnd 4v wb: 3
rnd 8 v st k: 3
rnd 10 v freo: 2
rnd 17 v geel: 3
rnd 18 v freo: 2
rnd 20 v nm: 3

 

[RobbyRoy]

After 20 Rounds I have:

24 - Ablett
23- Jack
22- Pendlebury
20- Griffen
20- Selwood
20- Swan
19-Cotchin
19- Fyfe
19- Hannebery
18- Boak
18- Watson

I have Sloane on 15, fwiw.