Can Dallas go all the way

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Funkyzeit mit Matt on December 16th said:
I think we are still a big guy and a decent penetrator short of being A grade material

caron-butler.jpg


haywood.jpg
 

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Very surprised Wizards would do that kind of deal

Mavs now have a big consistant centre to work off i think if everything clicks could now be the missing piece of the puzzle
 
Mavs are easily the deepest team going round now.

**** I hope they come out of the West. If OKC can't at least (and, well, that isn't happening for at least another 3 years imo).

Jizz team:

Kidd/ Barea/Burgeoisosioiasoioaie..... whatever
Butler/Terry..
Marion/Butler
Dirk/Marion
Haywood/Dampier....

So much flexibility. If they could land a decent coach they'd be laughing. There really is no reason why they can't beat LA this year. Butler just needs to stay motivated. Plus contract wise they're looking really good for the summer. They could theoretically land Wade.
 
Dallas got cash off the Wiz in that trade. Are you kidding me?

The Wizards got really bent over in this one if thats true the Mavs got cash aswell thats amazing

Boston are shatterd they offerd Ray Allen for Butler and was knocked back
 
Beat the full strength Lakers last week without Butler

Haywood and Butler have clicked almost stright away with the Dallas team

Dirk would have to be top 3 MVP another 36 points against New Orleans

Also have the biggest NBA streak at the moment with 7 straight wins
 
How bad would it suck for Dirk to get back to the Finals with a loaded squad only to run into LBJ in the Finals?

There's no way the NBA will let LBJ lose in teh Finals again, unless he's playing against LA.
 
Dallas def Charlotte 89-84

Nowitzki - 27 Points 13 Rebounds
Butler - 22 Points
Terry - 20 Points

Came from behind in Charlotte to win there 8th straight
 

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**** yes Go Dallas.

I know OKC aren't getting there this year, so for the underdogs out there I'm putting my support behind Dallas.
 
**** yes Go Dallas.

I know OKC aren't getting there this year, so for the underdogs out there I'm putting my support behind Dallas.

Bandwagoner.
 
Mavs point differential is still +2.3 (8th in the west) yet their record is 2nd in the west.

Here is their recent record in games decided by 5 or less. Pay attention to when Dirk was the undisputed #1 of the team (after Nash left)

2009-2010 16-5 (after 61 games)
2008-2009 17-5
2007-2008 8-10
2006-2007 19-4
2005-2006 15-7
2004-2005 12-9

2003-2004 9-9
2002-2003 9-9
2001-2002 9-7
2000-2001 10-9

Now Mr Hollinger, when will these even out?

p.s. Dirk is a choker
 
Mavs point differential is still +2.3 (8th in the west) yet their record is 2nd in the west.

Here is their recent record in games decided by 5 or less. Pay attention to when Dirk was the undisputed #1 of the team (after Nash left)

2009-2010 16-5 (after 61 games)
2008-2009 17-5
2007-2008 8-10
2006-2007 19-4
2005-2006 15-7
2004-2005 12-9

2003-2004 9-9
2002-2003 9-9
2001-2002 9-7
2000-2001 10-9

Now Mr Hollinger, when will these even out?

p.s. Dirk is a choker

I'll assume that's @ me.

One simple explanation is that the choice of "5 points" or less is the most flattering. For example, if you change it to 3 or 7 points instead, it looks less impressive in either case (take a squiz at how many games you won by exactly 5 in 08-09 and how many you lost by exactly 7).

Even if we look at 3 points or less, which is more standard (i.e. 1 possession), I'm sure it's still a very good record though. But, as I've said before, given Jordan's Bulls, Duncan's Spurs etc etc all ran at <60% in one-possession games, it's unrealistic to believe that the Mavs' true rate is any higher than that. In fact, the only team I found that had a +60% record in these games are the Lakers - and I'm sure I don't have to tell you why.

The other thing I'd ask...are the Mavs pretty quick to stop fouling in no-hope games? E.g. some teams will be down 10 with 40secs left and still foul. Some won't. The ones that don't will tend to have a better % in close games.
 
For example, if you change it to 3 or 7 points instead, it looks less impressive in either case (take a squiz at how many games you won by exactly 5 in 08-09 and how many you lost by exactly 7).
This is true. We were 2-9 in games decided by exactly 7 (or something similar)

Even if we look at 3 points or less, which is more standard (i.e. 1 possession), I'm sure it's still a very good record though. But, as I've said before, given Jordan's Bulls, Duncan's Spurs etc etc all ran at <60% in one-possession games, it's unrealistic to believe that the Mavs' true rate is any higher than that. In fact, the only team I found that had a +60% record in these games are the Lakers - and I'm sure I don't have to tell you why.

At which point do our great record in close games stop being an anomoly?

Im not a statistician. I just watch our games. And Dirk, JET and Kidd are 3 of the clutchiest players in the league

The other thing I'd ask...are the Mavs pretty quick to stop fouling in no-hope games? E.g. some teams will be down 10 with 40secs left and still foul. Some won't. The ones that don't will tend to have a better % in close games.
I have not noticed either way
 

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