Prediction Changes Swans V Dogs at a Drying SCG 8/7/22

[Mahama]

Out: Sweet, O'Brien, McComb
In: English, Richards, Garcia

If we didn't play Sweet as a second ruck against the Cats and Giants, we definitely won't against a Sydney with a mediocre backup ruck on a damp ground.

Comfortable going with a shorter backline against Sydney this week. Their 2nd and 3rd tall forwards - McDonald and Reid - have combined for 3 goals and 5 contested marks over the last 3 matches, and conditions won't help them this week.
O'Brien has struggled a fair bit this season, particularly one-on-one, but also offered pretty much nothing by way of intercepts last week too. Sit him out, Schache can swing back if needed during the game, and English always get back to help there too.

And after seemingly turning a corner with his foot skills for a while, McComb had 6 clangers and 6 turnovers last week, his worst of the season. Didn't really make up for it with a great deal of defensive impact either. Give Garcia a go, love his intensity.

 

[BEaston]

McComb's time is surely up?

Out: Sweet, McComb
In: English, Richards

Move Williams back to a wing.

Backs: Keath, Gardner, TOB, Dale, Croz, Scott, Richards
Mids: English, Bont, Macrae, Libba, Treloar, Dunks, Hunter, Williams
Fwds: Naughton, Schache, JUH, Weightman, Bedendo, JJ, West

 

[weltschmerz]

Wonder when McLean will be ready? He's an upgrade on McComb in every conceivable way.

 

[Dogsman16]

Forecast looks dry for Friday night.

 

[Dannnnnnnnnn]

English, Richards, and for mine Cleary (on account of none of our defenders being able to win one on ones) in.

Sweet, McComb, and Crozier out. I think Bedendo might go out (still a little too weak through the body and doesn't keep his feet enough) but I'd keep him another week. Williams on a wing because it's the only position he's played semi-competently this season.

I get the calls for O'Brien out in the wet with Sydney's KPFs not all that threatening, but I don't really want to tempt fate. I imagine Bev will drop one of he or Schache, though.

FB: O'Brien - Gardner - Cleary
HB: Dale - Keath - Richards

C: Williams - Bontempelli - Hunter

HF: Johannisen - Schache - Treloar
FF: Weightman - Naughton - JUH

R: English - Liberatore - Macrae

I: Bedendo - Dunkley - West - Scott

Once his minutes go up, McLean is straight into this side without a second thought. There are positions up for grabs for Hannan, Khamis, Cordy, Garcia, McNeil, Butler etc if they want them.

 

[The Slitherin' Snake]

Out: Sweet, O'Brien, McComb
In: English, Richards, Garcia

If we didn't play Sweet as a second ruck against the Cats and Giants, we definitely won't against a Sydney with a mediocre backup ruck on a damp ground.

Comfortable going with a shorter backline against Sydney this week. Their 2nd and 3rd tall forwards - McDonald and Reid - have combined for 3 goals and 5 contested marks over the last 3 matches, and conditions won't help them this week.
O'Brien has struggled a fair bit this season, particularly one-on-one, but also offered pretty much nothing by way of intercepts last week too. Sit him out, Schache can swing back if needed during the game, and English always get back to help there too.

And after seemingly turning a corner with his foot skills for a while, McComb had 6 clangers and 6 turnovers last week, his worst of the season. Didn't really make up for it with a great deal of defensive impact either. Give Garcia a go, love his intensity.

I actually think Sweet is more suited to playing on a wet ground than a dry one. He's an old-school tap ruckman with body presence but not a lot of pace. Wet congested footy plays to his strengths.

 

[Mahama]

I actually think Sweet is more suited to playing on a wet ground than a dry one. He's an old-school tap ruckman with body presence but not a lot of pace. Wet congested footy plays to his strengths.

Yeah very true, if he was playing as our lone ruckman again this week I'd back him in to do a really good job. Been super solid the last couple of weeks, 100% proven he's an AFL quality ruckman as far as I'm concerned.

Was more referring to the fact that he'd be playing as a forward/ruck with English coming back though. That means only 20ish ruck contests to have an impact, and then spending the rest of his time up forward where I just can't see him contributing much at all - not more than JUH or Schache anyway.

 

[doggies ftw]

Also the SCG ground factor, just a small tight ground which usually forces a contest.

This is the right week for a Sweet/English duo - won’t happen though.

Surely Scott’s not playing this week is he? There is zero need for him now Hunters back, and if I see him in the backline I will genuinely spew.

Cleary for Scott
English for Schache/Sweet
Red for McComb

 

[BrisDog]

I would like to see Libba’s stats when Sweet plays. Oliver Gigacz? To my eye Libba is in rare form and it coincides with Sweet being in the guts.

Maybe Sweet halving the contest (admittingly, doing f-all else) has an overall effect of bringing our in-and-under brigade into the game? Not sure he should be dropped. Would rather Sweet in the 22 than others.

 

[Foxman98]

I would like to see Libba’s stats when Sweet plays. Oliver Gigacz? To my eye Libba is in rare form and it coincides with Sweet being in the guts.

Maybe Sweet halving the contest (admittingly, doing f-all else) has an overall effect of bringing our in-and-under brigade into the game? Not sure he should be dropped. Would rather Sweet in the 22 than others.

Libba has been wonderful all year no matter who is in the ruck

 

[Testekill]

Wonder when McLean will be ready? He's an upgrade on McComb in every conceivable way.

I'd probably give him another week or two.

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Cameron got us last week I fear Papley may get us this week we do not have a small lockdown defender with Duryea out injured. Maybe Richards but he played on Heeney last time.

 

[The Inbetweener]

One more week in the VFL for McLean, look forward to having him back in the team soon

 

[BIG_BONTS]

One more week in the VFL for McLean, look forward to having him back in the team soon

Cannot wait for McLean back in. Love him. McClean and Smith in next week . McComb and Scott out

 

[Oliver G]

I would like to see Libba’s stats when Sweet plays. Oliver Gigacz? To my eye Libba is in rare form and it coincides with Sweet being in the guts.

Maybe Sweet halving the contest (admittingly, doing f-all else) has an overall effect of bringing our in-and-under brigade into the game? Not sure he should be dropped. Would rather Sweet in the 22 than others.

Libba has played in all 10 of Sweet's games with the following averages...

26.1 disposals
14.8 contested possessions
8.7 clearances
5.2 tackles
0.5 goals

Comparatively his overall averages in 2022 are...

24.9 disposals
13.1 contested possessions
6.8 clearances
5.1 tackles
0.5 goals

 

[Charlie Bucket]

Libba has played in all 10 of Sweet's games with the following averages...

26.1 disposals
14.8 contested possessions
8.7 clearances
5.2 tackles
0.5 goals

Comparatively his overall averages in 2022 are...

24.9 disposals
13.1 contested possessions
6.8 clearances
5.1 tackles
0.5 goals

Sweet really needs to play every week. Those 2 extra disposals would have probably won us more games this season.

 

[hoianbulldog]

Libba has played in all 10 of Sweet's games with the following averages...

26.1 disposals
14.8 contested possessions
8.7 clearances
5.2 tackles
0.5 goals

Comparatively his overall averages in 2022 are...

24.9 disposals
13.1 contested possessions
6.8 clearances
5.1 tackles
0.5 goals

If you did stats with sweet v without sweet the gap would be greater. Not saying i subscribe to the theory but.....

 

[The Inbetweener]

Cannot wait for McLean back in. Love him. McClean and Smith in next week . McComb and Scott out

He’s the type of guy you want in your player 18-22 bracket. Not Robbie McComb

 

[BulldogMuscle]

Out:
Sweet, McComb, McNeil/Scott/Crozier

In:
English, Ed, Mr. Clean(Mclean)

 

[DognBones]

The next 2 games are must win if we are to make finals. We play better teams after the Sydney/StKilda games so if we lose even one of the next two I think finals would be a bridge too far and we might as well start planning for next year.
For this reason, I think the match committee will make minimal changes and stick with some of the under-performing players hoping they improve.
A loss against Sydney and we would be demanding that a brace of changes would be well and truly due.
In: English, Richards
Out: Sweet, Crozier

 

[doggies ftw]

Let’s just blood Sam Darcy, he’d be an upgrade on O’Brien from game 1 as 3rd tall floating defender IMO

 

[Outback Footy]

Even in Europe games gets called off when the ground is waterlogged

Not AFL. Soccer is a game that relies on a quality surface. And its gonna be drying by friday anyway. All good.

 

[bresker]

Not AFL. Soccer is a game that relies on a quality surface. And its gonna be drying by friday anyway. All good.

1953 at footscray

hello fellow roydudes, has any one ever seen footage of the 1953 game at the western oval, when the ground was flooded and if it wasnt for alan ruthven kicking a goal off the ground in the last quarter we wouldnt have scored at all. i have a very vague memory of seeing ruthven kicking the goal...

www.bigfooty.com

There’s a photo of this somewhere can’t find it

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Assuming Tim and Red are only ins we will have 8 changes (see below) from round 3 victory

Cordy (subbed out for wallis early), Hannan, Wallis, R Smith, B Smith, Duryea, Vandermeer, Daniel. The last 4 being best 22 with maybe a question mark on Vandermeer. Maybe JJ the only improvement


Their inclusions from last time are Papley, Reid, Macdonald with only Kennedy a notable out plus Hickey was subbed out before half time.


So you would have say advantage Sydney here plus it is their home game.

If are to win we need big games from Bont, Libba, Jacko, English and Naughts.

 

[Smiley Boy]

Surely Schache gets dropped this week? He was SOOOO bad last week

Much prefer to keep Sweet in over Schache