Collingwood are a certainty this week

[davey_magik]

They will beat the Crows, mark it down.

Despite the fact that I can't stand the scum and Adelaide beat them in Melbourne earlier in the year, Collingwood will DEFINITELY win this week. The fact that they aren't the favourite is laughable. Let's not forget they were beaten by the best team so far this season last week and the Crows will be a very different proposition.

Collingwood by 4 goals.

 

[Bennycoff]

Yeah expect Pies to win quite comfortably. There is a class difference.

 

[footyfreak]

I hope so, but is a 50/50 game IMO

Crows look incredible but how much playing a top 4 team will drag that back is the 64K question.

 

[fourtheye]

I'm surprised Adelaide are favorites. I wouldn't say Collingwood are a certainty, but Adelaide would be no better than 50/50 to win.

 

[King Elvis]

Yeah expect Pies to win quite comfortably. There is a class difference.

Will be close, Crows win wouldn't surprise me.

 

[Tailypo]

Leading into the finals, Adelaide's footy has been of a top 4 standard. The even nature of their team, their exceptional hard running and their plethora of scoring options make them a very dangerous side. Collingwood are by no means a certainty.

 

[King Elvis]

I've made the cutoff point arbitrarily good for us (after the brisbane game) but I think it makes interesting viewing nethertheless.

[FONT=Fixedsys]              P  W   L  D   P   PF    PA       %[/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]St Kilda      15 13  2  0  52  1400  1014  138.0671 [/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]Adelaide      15 12  3  0  48  1622  1082  149.9076 [/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]Collingwood   15 12  3  0  48  1530  1109  137.9621 [/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]Geelong       15 11  4  0  44  1464  1313  111.5004 [/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]Bulldogs      15 10  5  0  40  1642  1278  128.482[/FONT]
[FONT=Fixedsys]Brisbane      15  9  5  1  38  1400  1284  109.0343[/FONT]

150 percent over 15 rounds is pretty good :O

Doesn't mean much, especially in the context of splitting these two.

 

[alfy!]

well that is ridiculous to say that they are a certainty

 

[sbenno]

I move to merge this thread with the "pies out in straight sets" thread and just call it "Crows vs Pies: Semi-final. Fans Duke it out here"

 

[TorresIsGod]

Crows by 19 points.

 

[hellfire]

Wouldn't be surprised by either team winning. I think we're a big chance, but Adelaide's form and the longer break warrants favoritism.

 

[arrowman]

Good grief it's a 50-50 game. You can make a case for both sides.

(Well, just quietly I make it 55-45 Adelaide's way)

Saying either side is a "certainty" is just plain dumb. And credit to both sets of supporters on these boards because there are very few from either side claiming they are "certainties" or anything close to it.

Still, I'd be interested to read davey_magik's informed and in depth analysis that justifies his conclusion. It'll probably start by quoting Neil Craig's win-loss record in finals, move on to a list of the "reliance on the ageing superstars" and then, quite possibly, discuss our defensive, choking, handball-happy game plan that is incapable of kicking big scores.

 

[Willis]

Definitely a 50/50 game.

 

[J_Moore]

I love when people make predictions on games that are, from a probability standpoint, 50/50 calls, and then say "Mark it down." WOW NOSTRADAMOUS WHERE'D YOU GET YOUR AMAZING POWERS OF PROPHECY?!?!

 

[Teak_Pies]

You have to remember Pendles is out and hes a big loss.
I would say its a 50/50 could go either way

 

[Macca18]

I agree.

The writing was on the wall after the Crows supporters started to blow their load about the Crows flag prospects after beating an inept-at-travelling and depleted Essendon at home.

The Crows have averaged 155 points a game over the last three weeks. They'll be lucky to get half of that this week. Pies by 18.

 

[watermelonslice]

I'm very surprised Crows are favourites (according to the bookies) for this match. I think it's a very 50/50 match. I can't discount Collingwood because of their last two losses, but Crow's form scares me.

 

[sbenno]

I'm very surprised Crows are favourites (according to the bookies) for this match. I think it's a very 50/50 match. I can't discount Collingwood because of their last two losses, but Crow's form scares me.

The bookies aren't usually too far off, and this match will be pretty close, hence the crows at $1.75, pies at $2.10 (sportsbet). Pies aren't exactly long shots, nor should they be. I reckon the odd's are pretty accurate, considering pendlebury and the crows record at the G.

 

[watermelonslice]

The bookies aren't usually too far off, and this match will be pretty close, hence the crows at $1.75, pies at $2.10 (sportsbet). Pies aren't exactly long shots, nor should they be. I reckon the odd's are pretty accurate, considering pendlebury and the crows record at the G.

True they are usually quite accurate. I just thought it would be more like $1.90 each. But I did forget that Pies have no Pendlebury.

 

[Bonuspoints]

No pendlebury, longer break for the crows, no real injuries for the crows, they zone, pies midfield down a bit, and well Adelaide are in hot form right now.
Will take a top effort by the Pies to win this one.

 

[Wagamama]

Is Rocca playing again? If yes, then the Crows will win. Pendlebury is a big loss and I think Rocca messed with the mojo of what was a very high functioning midfield.

 

[tigers_of_old_08]

No pendlebury, longer break for the crows, no real injuries for the crows, they zone, pies midfield down a bit, and well Adelaide are in hot form right now.
Will take a top effort by the Pies to win this one.

I think you've ticked nearly all the boxes.

Crows will ruffle Magpies feathers on Saturday night.

 

[ok.crows]

Yeah expect Pies to win quite comfortably. There is a class difference.

I'm just curious as to how you arrived at this conclusion.

Adelaide and the Pies each have 15 wins to this point, and would also have almost the same percentage. The only real difference is the current form of each side, and in that department it is Collingwood's current form that is the stinker.

 

[bus24]

Have to laugh at all the threads that are "Adelaide are certainties, Pies are certainties" blah blah blah.

As close to a 50/50 game as you'll find.

 

[ronnie1234]

This game is definitely a 50/50 game. The only reason why the crows would start off as favourites would be because the crows have an extra 2 days break, they are also going into this game with a hell lot of confidence and pendle is injured for the pies which is a huge loss.

A few friends from school jumped on the crows wagon saying theyll thump the pies this weekend by a ridiculous margin. I had to remind them that collingwood isnt a team you would want to underestimate as they are a good team too.

It will be a ripping game.