- Mar 1, 2014
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I said pressure will be applied to the Oz government - not that the government will fold.
Australia is in the position that if they keep up heavy restrictions to the end of April, have a 1% or less daily increase in cases they could get recoveries upto around 75% of total cases by the end of the month.
That will drive a lot of people to put pressure on the government to ease restrictions especially if deaths don't spike and stay at around 100 at the end of the month.
We've done our bit, look how good our numbers re, we don't want to be locked away for 3 more months so give us some our freedom back - will be the argument from individuals and business will say look its working let us make our normal living. Governments then have to balance this all up.
Germany like Oz is the only major Euro nation to hit 50% recovery, is a federated nation like Oz and has a national leaders set up like Oz and they are being lobbied to lift restrictions. Spain, Italy and France are being lobbied but only Macron has come out with a strong no bloody way.
No doubt the economy will restart and the sooner the better, I do not dispute that but I put the case that when it does restart Germany will not be a factor. I agree that there are not too many better examples of how to contain COVID-19 than Australia atm.
As for the AFL we will know more on the 27th but I am guessing that group training will re start sometime in May with a competition restart in late June. They will probably need some sort of lead in to get players fitness levels and ball skills up to scratch.
On the subject of lifting restrictions I have just received a letter from my Credit Union to say my local branch will be closing temporarily from 4pm on April 9th. They are citing the need to grant staff compassionate leave to look after kids which highlights the domino effect to all this.
From my perspective things are not opening up but closing down !