Emirates Stakes Day

[Ricketts]

Regarding the sprint, I think a horse like Sidestep might be the big value. The old theory about going to a spell on a career high? That win in April was over Bounding, In Cahoots, and Chautaqua, all of which have shown good form this spring. Perhaps Sidestep is ready for a class of race like this now? I won't be surprised if the Manikato form proves to be rubbish, both Lankan and Buff were well below career highs there IMO. Chautaqua might just blow this field away.

 

[rideclutch]

The Cleaner's won back to the mile off staying preps before, doubt it has any effect at all. The quality of horses sitting off him at Flemington is a different issue.

As for the Darley, 10 of the 13 have won over $1 million stakes, 9 individual G1 winners. Can't wait. Chautauqua for mine, Sidestep the total blowout from left field.

 

[iluvparis]

Regarding the sprint, I think a horse like Sidestep might be the big value. The old theory about going to a spell on a career high? That win in April was over Bounding, In Cahoots, and Chautaqua, all of which have shown good form this spring. Perhaps Sidestep is ready for a class of race like this now? I won't be surprised if the Manikato form proves to be rubbish, both Lankan and Buff were well below career highs there IMO. Chautaqua might just blow this field away.

From memory - the record of horses first up in this race is appalling. I might be confusing it with the Newmarket but I think it also applies to this race?

 

[PureFooty]

40 Win Units Chautauqua @2.30 SB
It's my equal biggest bet ever. This horse will win, and win well. Has an electric turn of foot, really thrives on a genuine speed and can put lengths on horses very quickly. Had the perfect preparation for this. My only danger is Terravista who really needs to get going from the 500-600m mark. Didn't get out till the 157 mark at MV. Should bring its 'A' game here and at $12 will have 5 Units Win.

 

[RobbyRoy]

40 Win Units Chautauqua @2.30 SB
It's my equal biggest bet ever. This horse will win, and win well. Has an electric turn of foot, really thrives on a genuine speed and can put lengths on horses very quickly. Had the perfect preparation for this. My only danger is Terravista who really needs to get going from the 500-600m mark. Didn't get out till the 157 mark at MV. Should bring its 'A' game here and at $12 will have 5 Units Win.

Taking a very similar approach to this. Though I'll wager my 40 units are not the same as yours.

 

[JuddsABlue]

What do we know about Noble Protector?

Big Memory seems to have super strong form line, but is Noble Protector an international thats a class above?

 

[iluvparis]

What do we know about Noble Protector?

Big Memory seems to have super strong form line, but is Noble Protector an international thats a class above?

Beat Signoff last start who killed Big Memory in the Lexus.

 

[JuddsABlue]

in that case

a parlay of Bantam/Noble Protector/Buffering PLACE paying 30/1 looks nice

 

[KardiniaPark]

Cleaner will find the drop back 440m much harder than HTs 40m back at flemington. 1600 at MV and a full prep aimed towards the mile I would nearly have cleaner on top in this, different story on Saturday. As of now Leebaz will be the one I'm risking in the mile, not sold that last run helps at all.

Also the thought that LR was lucky is borderline idiotic, superb run. can make excuses for half he field in that race but he was just as good if not better than most. Good luck to anyone taking the manikato form, it's toxic trying to pick one from that.

The Manikato seems pretty straightforward. Rupee has beaten them all with everything against, out to Flemington they won't get past him. It's a race in three clearly imo.

 

[cakewalk06]

Don't normally post on here but generally enjoy the bonhomie! I am in the Chautauqua camp for the sprint but one thing I am also expecting today is a treble from Dwayne Dunn. It's uncanny that he is on about five I give huge chances to. Also have been spruiked his mount in the first, for what that's worth... Little indian. Has been a firmer into $14 or so. Good punting

 

[Gavin Excell]

I see Mr Jazz in r2 first up after its 1983 Melbourne Cup placing

may need the run

 

[Gavin Excell]

40 Win Units Chautauqua @2.30 SB
It's my equal biggest bet ever. This horse will win, and win well. Has an electric turn of foot, really thrives on a genuine speed and can put lengths on horses very quickly. Had the perfect preparation for this. My only danger is Terravista who really needs to get going from the 500-600m mark. Didn't get out till the 157 mark at MV. Should bring its 'A' game here and at $12 will have 5 Units Win.

Any thoughts on Slade Power

I note its time in the July cup was about four seconds slower than Chataquas but I'd imagine tracks be a lot different.

I alos see that it was 50-1 in the Hong Kong sprint last year.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Thoughts on Contributer?

I know Paris likes him, but dropping back to the 1600? I don't know, maybe because it will be a high pressure race it may suit, but I would have thought the QE would have been much more suitable, would have been near load up time.

Hardest race on the program for me with a host of chances.

 

[Gavin Excell]

Thoughts on Contributer?

I know Paris likes him, but dropping back to the 1600? I don't know, maybe because it will be a high pressure race it may suit, but I would have thought the QE would have been much more suitable, would have been near load up time.

Hardest race on the program for me with a host of chances.

Does have the international horse second run in Australia lead up which is proving strong.

Always find the Flemington mile race hard to pick compared to the Randwick race

 

[Gavin Excell]

The Manikato seems pretty straightforward. Rupee has beaten them all with everything against, out to Flemington they won't get past him. It's a race in three clearly imo.

Unsure if Manikato form will hold up. See Iconic which was like many of them behind Lankan, desperately unlucky, yet failed on Tuesday

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Any thoughts on Slade Power

I note its time in the July cup was about four seconds slower than Chataquas but I'd imagine tracks be a lot different.

I alos see that it was 50-1 in the Hong Kong sprint last year.

Not for me.

Think the price is a bit 'international' based as they have cleaned up on anything of note this spring.

But this is what we do best, sprint. Hes had to travel here and probably taking on the deepest sprint I've seen in Australia.

Barrier issues not a big deal for me and that's not why I'll be leaving him out of absolutely everything, he would need to be pretty bloody good to place in this race let alone win it. Which I'm not convinced he is.

 

[Cuzz09]

Have him in my tris.

I like bull point from his last run. But just having another look im starting to turn to LeBaz.

3 from 3 2nd up.
2-1 from 3 @ distance

Decent record on dead track.

Only thing is not raced @ Flemington....

Contributer
Lebaz
Bull point
The cleaner
Hooked

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Does have the international horse second run in Australia lead up which is proving strong.

Always find the Flemington mile ralihard to pick compared to the Randwick race

True, but I can't think of another international dropping back in distance second up.

Im just wondering the reason behind the choice and if its something else other than cash.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Have him in my tris.

I like bull point from his last run. But just having another look im starting to turn to LeBaz.

3 from 3 2nd up.
2-1 from 3 @ distance

Decent record on dead track.

Only thing is not raced @ Flemington....

Contributer
Lebaz
Bull point
The cleaner
Hooked

I'll be leaving Leebaz out of everything. Had setback then a very soft run first up when never got a crack at them. Not sure that's an ideal lead up to a high pressure group 1 over the mile at Flemington.

Will be an amazing training performance by team Hawkes if he was to salute.

 

[iluvparis]

Any thoughts on Slade Power

I note its time in the July cup was about four seconds slower than Chataquas but I'd imagine tracks be a lot different.

I alos see that it was 50-1 in the Hong Kong sprint last year.

Track at Newmarket up a huge hill that Chautauqua would have a heart attack getting up.

Has been the dominant sprinter in Europe this year - including beating Gordon Lloyd Byron by panels at Royal Ascot.

Can win

 

[Falcons]

Flemington
Race 22 - Motivado (EW)
Race 34 - Disciple (EW)
Race 411 - Vuelta (EW)
Race 65 - Slade Power (BEST BET)
Race 710 - Leebaz (EW)
Race 89 - Scratchy Bottom (WIN)
Race 913 - Telepathic (WIN)

 

[rideclutch]

Im just wondering the reason behind the choice and if its something else other than cash.

Fitness? Messed up a track gallop, couldn't get the work into him.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Fitness? Messed up a track gallop, couldn't get the work into him.

Thank you for that, Clutchy. Will be including in quads.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Sportsbet powered up odds. Got Lankan Rupee @ 6/1, Hucklebuck @ 15/1 (crazy value! ) and Eclair Big Bang @ 11/2

 

[Viva la Mattner]

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