Opinion GWS 2023 Finals prospects

Will we make the finals in 2023

  • Yes - easily!

    Votes: 3 10.0%
  • Yes - we will just make it

    Votes: 10 33.3%
  • No - we will miss out

    Votes: 7 23.3%
  • No - we should be planning for 2024

    Votes: 10 33.3%

  • Total voters
    30

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Also says a lot about why the Eagles are almost always good, would have been easy to throw in the towel last 5 weeks and take pick 1. It does more for your long term culture to do your best each week.
 
Ok so that wraps up 4th for the Demons and Carlton literally can’t make a difference to their ladder position.
Anyone think they’ll rest some stars?

Swans and Saints lose and we win we could get as high as 6th.
Only if they have a couple sore.
 

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Cats will likely rack the cue for next week. Mutts will be playing per an elimination final. We’ll need to beat the Blues.
Not sure about that. Geelong will be farewelling a few at home, they'll have a dig.
 
Whilst it’s essentially between us and the Bulldogs for the last open final spot, Essendon theoretically can also make it as well as outlined below. Whilst improbable things have happened this weekend (hello west coast and the Adelaide no goal), the probability of this happening is almost nonexistent, but for completeness below is how Essendon can take the final spot from us and the Bulldogs.

10. Essendon

44 points (11 wins, 11 losses), 92.7 per cent
The Bombers' chances of playing finals are mathematically still alive, but they are so small you'd need the Hubble telescope to see them after their massive belting at the hands of Greater Western Sydney on Saturday. As a rough back-of-an-envelope guide, if the Bombers can beat Collingwood by a scoreline of around 160-40 and the Giants lose to Carlton by a score of 150-25, the Bombers will make the eight by 0.1 per cent. Oh, and they'll need Geelong to beat the Bulldogs as well. They're a chance, but it's firmly in Lloyd Christmas territory.
 
Not sure about that. Geelong will be farewelling a few at home, they'll have a dig.
They will lose 3 draft spots if they win. They have a bunch of outs to key players… including Cameron, Duncan and Smith. Dangerfield could also be out. They are cooked.
With Libba back the Dogs will win.
 
Demons have a bunch of players who are ill (being reported on SEN), plus McCartin getting off at the judiciary. I was hoping the Demons would roll them this weekend so we can jump ahead in the 8., but this will be a lot harder now.

Swans have everything going for them this year. They’re getting g a fair amount of hate in the last week with the Adelaide goal debacle and now McCartin getting off. Let’s not talk about the umpiring we got vs them plus many other games they had the umps in their pockets.


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Demons have a bunch of players who are ill (being reported on SEN), plus McCartin getting off at the judiciary. I was hoping the Demons would roll them this weekend so we can jump ahead in the 8., but this will be a lot harder now.

Swans have everything going for them this year. They’re getting g a fair amount of hate in the last week with the Adelaide goal debacle and now McCartin getting off. Let’s not talk about the umpiring we got vs them plus many other games they had the umps in their pockets.


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Swans the most protected in the league. The AFL golden child. We are the leagues Sydney whipping boy.
 

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dlanod don’t laugh.
Can't help it. I can't stand Sydney from times long before GWS ever existed, but the idea of them being an AFL "golden child" is fundamentally hilarious for so many reasons. :D
 
Demons have a bunch of players who are ill (being reported on SEN), plus McCartin getting off at the judiciary. I was hoping the Demons would roll them this weekend so we can jump ahead in the 8., but this will be a lot harder now.

Swans have everything going for them this year. They’re getting g a fair amount of hate in the last week with the Adelaide goal debacle and now McCartin getting off. Let’s not talk about the umpiring we got vs them plus many other games they had the umps in their pockets.


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Don't forget the get out of jail free card they got with that free kick at the death due to an interchange miscount earlier in the season
 
Don't forget the get out of jail free card they got with that free kick at the death due to an interchange miscount earlier in the season
oh, yeah, that was a horrific way to lose.
Things have gone their way this year for sure!
 
I know we must first make the finals (c’mon Geelong!), but it seems that media also think we can go deep into the finals. Amazing that going into the final round, we could miss out completely or end up hosting an elimination final.

GWS GIANTS

Montagna says it’s the Giants that teams should be worried about in finals – and they haven’t even locked in that top eight spot.

“The Giants are coming with a rush … they almost have the best profile of any team in the top eight and they might not even play finals,” he said.

“Their turnover game is by far the best in the competition.

“I think they are by far the hardest two-way running team in the comp – it is dynamite what they are doing at the moment.”

Montagna said the Giants had a Collingwood-like intensity that was fuelling their run to finals.

“They are the number three pressure team, number one for winning groundballs,” he revealed.

“It’s almost like the Collingwood of early in the year – they get back and swarm and then they use their numbers to test teams going the other way,” he said.

“They are number one for points from turnover in the back half and number one from turnover in the forward half – they are doing it at both ends.”

 
I guess this weekend this is ideally what we want to happen

1. Likely to happen: Collingwood beat Essendon (or at least not lose by 100+ points as there will be some deluded Essendon fans who think they can still mathematically make it)

2. Likely to happen: Brisbane beat St Kilda in Gabba (and ideally by a big a margin as possible to turnaround the 40+ difference between us and the Saints if we beat Carlton)

3. Fair chance to happen: Geelong to beat the Bulldogs - the mutts couldn’t beat West Coast at Marvel, and regardless of the players absent it’s still Geelong in Geelong

4. Fair chance to happen: Melbourne beat Sydney - the other results will probably determine how motivated these teams will be to win. Melbourne will want to avoid playing at the Gabba, and Sydney will know if a win will result in them hosting an elimination final

5. Beat Carlton. The good thing is that as it’s the last game of the home and away season, we will know how critical this game is (including how much to win by if St Kilda and Swans both lose) as all the other results will be known.

Looking forward to this weekend- if games go our way, we could be hosting an elimination final! And that’s after being 3-7 after our St Kilda home game loss, to be in the brink of making finals in Kingsley’s debut season as coach. No matter what it has been a good season.
 
I guess this weekend this is ideally what we want to happen

1. Likely to happen: Collingwood beat Essendon (or at least not lose by 100+ points as there will be some deluded Essendon fans who think they can still mathematically make it)

2. Likely to happen: Brisbane beat St Kilda in Gabba (and ideally by a big a margin as possible to turnaround the 40+ difference between us and the Saints if we beat Carlton)

3. Fair chance to happen: Geelong to beat the Bulldogs - the mutts couldn’t beat West Coast at Marvel, and regardless of the players absent it’s still Geelong in Geelong

4. Fair chance to happen: Melbourne beat Sydney - the other results will probably determine how motivated these teams will be to win. Melbourne will want to avoid playing at the Gabba, and Sydney will know if a win will result in them hosting an elimination final

5. Beat Carlton. The good thing is that as it’s the last game of the home and away season, we will know how critical this game is (including how much to win by if St Kilda and Swans both lose) as all the other results will be known.

Looking forward to this weekend- if games go our way, we could be hosting an elimination final! And that’s after being 3-7 after our St Kilda home game loss, to be in the brink of making finals in Kingsley’s debut season as coach. No matter what it has been a good season.
Hosting or playing at the scg is a big win for us. We will beat the swans or saints if that’s who we play in week 1
 

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Opinion GWS 2023 Finals prospects

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