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Mick McGuane’s mid-season report card: Adelaide’s hits and misses​

Pressure is mounting on Adelaide and coach Matthew Nicks — only months after he signed a contract extension. In his mid-season report card, MICK MCGUANE says the Crows should be on the phone to Nathan Buckley.
Mick McGuane

4 min read
June 20, 2024 - 9:22AM


Tipped by many as likely finalists in 2024, Adelaide is in danger of a bottom-four finish after a disastrous first half of its campaign.
With pressure mounting on Crows powerbrokers after Matthew Nicks was handed a contract extension early in the year, MICK MCGUANE examines where it’s gone wrong and how Adelaide rebounds.

MICK MCGUANE’S MID-SEASON RATING: D​

You have to wonder if the Adelaide hierarchy regret going the early Crow.

Coach Matthew Nicks still had a season to run on his contract when the club handed him a two-year extension in March.

Since that premature signing, the side has gone backwards at a rate of knots.

Many outsiders — including myself — expected Adelaide to feature in finals this year after a promising 11-12 campaign in 2023.

Internally, expectations at the club surely would have been the same.

A good list and another pre season to bed down their game style that would surely hold them in good stead for season 2024.

But at the bye, the Crows sit 15th on the ladder with four wins and a draw from 14 games.

Is it time to put in a call to Nathan Buckley?

The former Collingwood coach appears gettable and is originally a South Australian after all.

Irrespective of Nick’s contract situation, sometimes you have to pose the question at least.

Nicks can say he has felt great support from the club, but the jungle drums can quickly start beating with repeat poor performances like we are seeing from the Crows.

The fact is, Adelaide is struggling on both sides of the ball and that responsibility ultimately lies with the coach.

The Crows have fallen away badly since handing [PLAYERCARD]Matthew Nicks[/PLAYERCARD] a contract extension. Picture: Mark Brake/Getty Images

The Crows have fallen away badly since handing Matthew Nicks a contract extension. Picture: Mark Brake/Getty Images

ADELAIDE'S SEASON SO FAR​

Played: 14
Won: 4
Lost: 9
Drawn: 1
Percentage: 102.6
Average Points For: 81.3 (Ranked 12th)
Average Points Against: 79.2 (Ranked 6th)
Quarters Won: 27/56 (48%)
Local Record: 2 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw
Interstate Record: 2 wins, 4 losses
Record v Current Top-8: 2 wins, 5 losses
Players Used: 36

What was the No. 1 scoring side in the competition last year has dropped to No. 12 this year in a huge fall from grace.

Defensively the Crows are holding up a little better overall, but they still rank 14th for opposition scoring shots per inside 50 and 13th for opposition scores from stoppages.

The pedestrian midfield is at the centre of all the problems.

Adelaide ranks 15th for clearance differential, 14th for inside-50 differential and 13th for contested possession differential.

Matt Crouch, Jordan Dawson, Jake Soligo and Rory Laird have been the onball regulars this season, along with a little bit of Izak Rankine and Sam Berry.


Mick McGuane says it’s time the Crows midfield moves past Rory Laird. Picture: Sarah Reed/AFL Photos via Getty Images
That group needs an overhaul, with the exception of Rankine.

As much as Laird is the side’s leading accumulator of the footy and is averaging 27.6 disposals, he might need to play a different role because he is not the speedy, penetrating midfielder that they need in there.

He has been a superb player for a long time, but has the time come to evolve him and the team. Could he play small forward?

While they might be robbing the forward line to do so, the Crows must give Rankine and Josh Rachele more minutes onball, given the boldness, vitality and scoreboard impact that they offer.

Rachele is bereft of confidence at the moment, so freeing him up might be the solution so he can return to the player he can be.

The Crows were tipped to be finals contenders but look a long way off. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images

The Crows were tipped to be finals contenders but look a long way off. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images
Ruckman Reilly O’Brien’s drop-off has also been concerning.

I thought he would make inroads in the competition this year but he is out of the team at the moment and needs to rediscover his best footy if this group is to turn around its stoppage woes.

Given the strong profile the Crows had last year, I expected that to be enhanced with another strong summer of training and the younger players being taught how the side wants to play.

That hasn’t been the case.

I’d love to sit in on a review and see how strongly Nicks is challenging the group, because the issues they have got are not being fixed.

If we don’t see the Crows roll up their sleeves in the second half of the season, could Buckley or someone else be in the chair next year?

ADELAIDE'S 2024 LEADERS​

COACHES VOTES TOP 5
45 votes – Jordan Dawson
28 votes – Izak Rankine
22 votes – Jake Soligo
14 votes – Rory Laird
10 votes – Darcy Fogarty
SUPERCOACH AVERAGE TOP 5
1. Matt Crouch (109 points)
2. Rory Laird (106 points)
3. Jordan Dawson (104 points)
4. Izak Rankine (101 points)
5. Mitchell Hinge (98 points)
GOALS TOP 5
23 – Darcy Fogarty
22 – Izak Rankine
17 – Taylor Walker, Josh Rachele
15 – Ben Keays

DEVELOPMENT LACKING

You have to ask yourself: Has Adelaide got the right group of coaches to develop the next generation of players coming through?

Because at the moment, there’s not many younger players pushing the older personnel out of the side.

Take Sam Berry for example.

In 2022 he was a 20-year-old midfielder who looked to have a bright future, averaging 17.6 disposals and 4.6 clearances across 18 games.

This year he has been picked for just nine senior matches, starting as the substitute in five of those and being subbed out of two other games.

In the back half of last year, Luke Pedlar was the talk of the town as a rising half-forward who could also have a run through the midfield and be destructive with his left leg.

Are we ever going to see the best from Pedlar, after just four AFL appearances this year?

The list goes on.


Where is Elliott Himmelberg at?

A 26-year-old key forward who has shown some promise, he has played just four senior games since round 11 last year.

Forwards Lachlan Murphy (eight games), Harry Schoenberg (four games) and Lachlan Gollant (three games) are other players who can’t bed down their spots in the side, while defender Will Hamill (six games) is having the same problem at the other end.

The lack of development is a big issue for the Crows.

There would have to be a close watch on last year’s No. 8 draft pick Daniel Curtin if these problems aren’t addressed.

Given the way the Crows are both performing and developing players, you couldn’t blame the talented West Australian if he was to question whether his long-term future is at Adelaide.


RUN HOME

The Crows simply have to salvage something from the second half of the year, in the face of a difficult draw ahead.

They have got to get desperate.

A strong contest and pressure game must return, which will help them improve their territory game and generate turnovers as they look to rediscover their offensive mojo.

At the end of the day, careers are on the line — not only for players but also the coach.

ADELAIDE'S RUN HOME​

R15: Bye
R16: GWS Giants (H)
R17: Brisbane Lions (A)
R18: St Kilda (H)
R19: Essendon (A)
R20: Hawthorn (H)
R21: Geelong (A)
R22: Western Bulldogs (H)
R23: Port Adelaide (A)
R24: Sydney (A)
Champion Data Fixture Difficulty Ranking: 3rd Hardest
 

Mick McGuane’s mid-season report card: Adelaide’s hits and misses​

Pressure is mounting on Adelaide and coach Matthew Nicks — only months after he signed a contract extension. In his mid-season report card, MICK MCGUANE says the Crows should be on the phone to Nathan Buckley.
Mick McGuane

4 min read
June 20, 2024 - 9:22AM


Tipped by many as likely finalists in 2024, Adelaide is in danger of a bottom-four finish after a disastrous first half of its campaign.
With pressure mounting on Crows powerbrokers after Matthew Nicks was handed a contract extension early in the year, MICK MCGUANE examines where it’s gone wrong and how Adelaide rebounds.

MICK MCGUANE’S MID-SEASON RATING: D​

You have to wonder if the Adelaide hierarchy regret going the early Crow.

Coach Matthew Nicks still had a season to run on his contract when the club handed him a two-year extension in March.

Since that premature signing, the side has gone backwards at a rate of knots.

Many outsiders — including myself — expected Adelaide to feature in finals this year after a promising 11-12 campaign in 2023.

Internally, expectations at the club surely would have been the same.

A good list and another pre season to bed down their game style that would surely hold them in good stead for season 2024.

But at the bye, the Crows sit 15th on the ladder with four wins and a draw from 14 games.

Is it time to put in a call to Nathan Buckley?

The former Collingwood coach appears gettable and is originally a South Australian after all.

Irrespective of Nick’s contract situation, sometimes you have to pose the question at least.

Nicks can say he has felt great support from the club, but the jungle drums can quickly start beating with repeat poor performances like we are seeing from the Crows.

The fact is, Adelaide is struggling on both sides of the ball and that responsibility ultimately lies with the coach.

The Crows have fallen away badly since handing Matthew Nicks a contract extension. Picture: Mark Brake/Getty Images

The Crows have fallen away badly since handing Matthew Nicks a contract extension. Picture: Mark Brake/Getty Images

ADELAIDE'S SEASON SO FAR​

Played: 14
Won: 4
Lost: 9
Drawn: 1
Percentage: 102.6
Average Points For: 81.3 (Ranked 12th)
Average Points Against: 79.2 (Ranked 6th)
Quarters Won: 27/56 (48%)
Local Record: 2 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw
Interstate Record: 2 wins, 4 losses
Record v Current Top-8: 2 wins, 5 losses
Players Used: 36

What was the No. 1 scoring side in the competition last year has dropped to No. 12 this year in a huge fall from grace.

Defensively the Crows are holding up a little better overall, but they still rank 14th for opposition scoring shots per inside 50 and 13th for opposition scores from stoppages.

The pedestrian midfield is at the centre of all the problems.

Adelaide ranks 15th for clearance differential, 14th for inside-50 differential and 13th for contested possession differential.

Matt Crouch, Jordan Dawson, Jake Soligo and Rory Laird have been the onball regulars this season, along with a little bit of Izak Rankine and Sam Berry.


Mick McGuane says it’s time the Crows midfield moves past Rory Laird. Picture: Sarah Reed/AFL Photos via Getty Images
That group needs an overhaul, with the exception of Rankine.

As much as Laird is the side’s leading accumulator of the footy and is averaging 27.6 disposals, he might need to play a different role because he is not the speedy, penetrating midfielder that they need in there.

He has been a superb player for a long time, but has the time come to evolve him and the team. Could he play small forward?

While they might be robbing the forward line to do so, the Crows must give Rankine and Josh Rachele more minutes onball, given the boldness, vitality and scoreboard impact that they offer.

Rachele is bereft of confidence at the moment, so freeing him up might be the solution so he can return to the player he can be.

The Crows were tipped to be finals contenders but look a long way off. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images

The Crows were tipped to be finals contenders but look a long way off. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images
Ruckman Reilly O’Brien’s drop-off has also been concerning.

I thought he would make inroads in the competition this year but he is out of the team at the moment and needs to rediscover his best footy if this group is to turn around its stoppage woes.

Given the strong profile the Crows had last year, I expected that to be enhanced with another strong summer of training and the younger players being taught how the side wants to play.

That hasn’t been the case.

I’d love to sit in on a review and see how strongly Nicks is challenging the group, because the issues they have got are not being fixed.

If we don’t see the Crows roll up their sleeves in the second half of the season, could Buckley or someone else be in the chair next year?

ADELAIDE'S 2024 LEADERS​

COACHES VOTES TOP 5
45 votes – Jordan Dawson
28 votes – Izak Rankine
22 votes – Jake Soligo
14 votes – Rory Laird
10 votes – Darcy Fogarty
SUPERCOACH AVERAGE TOP 5
1. Matt Crouch (109 points)
2. Rory Laird (106 points)
3. Jordan Dawson (104 points)
4. Izak Rankine (101 points)
5. Mitchell Hinge (98 points)
GOALS TOP 5
23 – Darcy Fogarty
22 – Izak Rankine
17 – Taylor Walker, Josh Rachele
15 – Ben Keays

DEVELOPMENT LACKING

You have to ask yourself: Has Adelaide got the right group of coaches to develop the next generation of players coming through?

Because at the moment, there’s not many younger players pushing the older personnel out of the side.

Take Sam Berry for example.

In 2022 he was a 20-year-old midfielder who looked to have a bright future, averaging 17.6 disposals and 4.6 clearances across 18 games.

This year he has been picked for just nine senior matches, starting as the substitute in five of those and being subbed out of two other games.

In the back half of last year, Luke Pedlar was the talk of the town as a rising half-forward who could also have a run through the midfield and be destructive with his left leg.

Are we ever going to see the best from Pedlar, after just four AFL appearances this year?

The list goes on.


Where is Elliott Himmelberg at?

A 26-year-old key forward who has shown some promise, he has played just four senior games since round 11 last year.

Forwards Lachlan Murphy (eight games), Harry Schoenberg (four games) and Lachlan Gollant (three games) are other players who can’t bed down their spots in the side, while defender Will Hamill (six games) is having the same problem at the other end.

The lack of development is a big issue for the Crows.

There would have to be a close watch on last year’s No. 8 draft pick Daniel Curtin if these problems aren’t addressed.

Given the way the Crows are both performing and developing players, you couldn’t blame the talented West Australian if he was to question whether his long-term future is at Adelaide.


RUN HOME

The Crows simply have to salvage something from the second half of the year, in the face of a difficult draw ahead.

They have got to get desperate.

A strong contest and pressure game must return, which will help them improve their territory game and generate turnovers as they look to rediscover their offensive mojo.

At the end of the day, careers are on the line — not only for players but also the coach.

ADELAIDE'S RUN HOME​

R15: Bye
R16: GWS Giants (H)
R17: Brisbane Lions (A)
R18: St Kilda (H)
R19: Essendon (A)
R20: Hawthorn (H)
R21: Geelong (A)
R22: Western Bulldogs (H)
R23: Port Adelaide (A)
R24: Sydney (A)
Champion Data Fixture Difficulty Ranking: 3rd Hardest
As they suggested, Laird to the Murphy roll could be good.

Thanks for posting these
 

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The talk of rushing Tex and Thilthorpe back in this week gives me great cause for concern.
It tells me that the 'review' has settled on "win as many games as possible so the pressure on us is reduced". I fear we are going into self-protection mode.

An actual review, designed to direct us towards premierships, would have set us on a pathway to using the next 8 games purely for development and positional experimentation.
If we had any balls as a club, we would be willing to sacrifice a win or two in the these last set of games, to set us up for the future.
We won't though.
 
The talk of rushing Tex and Thilthorpe back in this week gives me great cause for concern.
It tells me that the 'review' has settled on "win as many games as possible so the pressure on us is reduced". I fear we are going into self-protection mode.

An actual review, designed to direct us towards premierships, would have set us on a pathway to using the next 8 games purely for development and positional experimentation.
If we had any balls as a club, we would be willing to sacrifice a win or two in the these last set of games, to set us up for the future.
We won't though.
Our clubs ability to shoot itself in the foot over and over and over astounds me.
 
Our clubs ability to shoot itself in the foot over and over and over astounds me.
Always short sighted and always for the immediate benefit of those in charge.
We never have the courage to look long term and strive for ultimate success.

Our entire club is set up to ensure corporates are happy. Make finals = happy sponsors, nice luncheons, lots of back slapping. Actually winning a premiership is completely irrelevant and unnecessary.
 
Thanks for sharing 119others.

Unfortunately the club is ****ed.
All good man - and thanks for acknowledging.

Genuinely have no idea if anyone has posted some/all of these articles already as I am not spending much time on BF currently but if the articles aren’t of interest or adding any value to others - like the other poster indicated - well just ignore them FFS. I read them all and thought there was enough insightful, balanced and not overly well known information to be worthy of posting.

Things do look scarier than 12 mths ago where it could be argued we were on a relatively perfect total rebuild trajectory. A lot depends on how many of the following do end up elite AA types - Rachele, MM, Curtin, Soligo, TT and I still have hopes for Pedlar. Murray, Worrell, Fogarty to continue to improve and Hinge I feel can be a borderline A grader. Edwards and Ryan too early to tell but gut feel is quite positive. We need at least 7-8 A graders and currently only Dawson, Rankine and a fading Tex sit in that category IMO.

Either way definitely don’t need a full rebuild and add some crucial missing pieces - a good ruckman, an elite mid (Draper?) or 2 and we are at least finals worthy.

Changes - OUT Burns, Kelly and Godden. And Burgess if rumours are correct.

IN: Snr assistant (Dew, Rahilly if we can poach him back), Balme and I personally would go for Chris Davies if Kenny gets the flick as seems likely. The man has pulled off some great aggressive trades over the years (but clearly not all inc the Sinn debacle).

Nicks survives u til at least the bye next year unless an A grade coach can be poached.
 
Such an embarrassing series by The Chadvertiser; and they wonder why print media is dead
Embarrassing? You've got to be joking, this is exactly what we need in the press, every aspect of our club needs to be scrutinised because we are failing.

2023 was an outlier year where we were blessed with a soft draw, almost no injuries to test depth and a freakish best ever season by the ageing Tex.

2024 has brought home to roost our real situation and in the opinion of many there is no no immediate uptick.

If you don't like the Advertiser scrutiny, head to our happy clapper Facebook where the reality of our situation is never highlighted and it's all good in Camelot (AFC)
 
Not really directly related but AFL 360 have segment on the underperforming Crows tonight. How hard will they go?
 
Last edited:
All good man - and thanks for acknowledging.

Genuinely have no idea if anyone has posted some/all of these articles already as I am not spending much time on BF currently but if the articles aren’t of interest or adding any value to others - like the other poster indicated - well just ignore them FFS. I read them all and thought there was enough insightful, balanced and not overly well known information to be worthy of posting.

Things do look scarier than 12 mths ago where it could be argued we were on a relatively perfect total rebuild trajectory. A lot depends on how many of the following do end up elite AA types - Rachele, MM, Curtin, Soligo, TT and I still have hopes for Pedlar. Murray, Worrell, Fogarty to continue to improve and Hinge I feel can be a borderline A grader. Edwards and Ryan too early to tell but gut feel is quite positive. We need at least 7-8 A graders and currently only Dawson, Rankine and a fading Tex sit in that category IMO.

Either way definitely don’t need a full rebuild and add some crucial missing pieces - a good ruckman, an elite mid (Draper?) or 2 and we are at least finals worthy.

Changes - OUT Burns, Kelly and Godden. And Burgess if rumours are correct.

IN: Snr assistant (Dew, Rahilly if we can poach him back), Balme and I personally would go for Chris Davies if Kenny gets the flick as seems likely. The man has pulled off some great aggressive trades over the years (but clearly not all inc the Sinn debacle).

Nicks survives u til at least the bye next year unless an A grade coach can be poached.
He wasn’t having a crack at you.
Most people appreciate articles posted.
 
All good man - and thanks for acknowledging.

Genuinely have no idea if anyone has posted some/all of these articles already as I am not spending much time on BF currently but if the articles aren’t of interest or adding any value to others - like the other poster indicated - well just ignore them FFS. I read them all and thought there was enough insightful, balanced and not overly well known information to be worthy of posting.

Things do look scarier than 12 mths ago where it could be argued we were on a relatively perfect total rebuild trajectory. A lot depends on how many of the following do end up elite AA types - Rachele, MM, Curtin, Soligo, TT and I still have hopes for Pedlar. Murray, Worrell, Fogarty to continue to improve and Hinge I feel can be a borderline A grader. Edwards and Ryan too early to tell but gut feel is quite positive. We need at least 7-8 A graders and currently only Dawson, Rankine and a fading Tex sit in that category IMO.

Either way definitely don’t need a full rebuild and add some crucial missing pieces - a good ruckman, an elite mid (Draper?) or 2 and we are at least finals worthy.

Changes - OUT Burns, Kelly and Godden. And Burgess if rumours are correct.

IN: Snr assistant (Dew, Rahilly if we can poach him back), Balme and I personally would go for Chris Davies if Kenny gets the flick as seems likely. The man has pulled off some great aggressive trades over the years (but clearly not all inc the Sinn debacle).

Nicks survives u til at least the bye next year unless an A grade coach can be poached.
I may have missed the burgess rumour. What's the word?
 

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