Prediction How many games will the AFC win in 2025?

[SugarShane]

If you want easy money, go Richmond on Sportsbet to be winless at different rounds and the odds are juicy as you go up.

No Dusty, Baker, Rioli, Bolton and Graham coming off a 2 win season with Bolta to miss early games.

No noticeable shit other team, North will improve.

I can see them going winless.

I still think they'll jag one or two. Footy's fun like that. You can always count on one team not showing up. I will suss that out though, was looking at one last night where it's "Which game will be Richmond's first win?" Could be some juicy value in those given you can rule out most teams immediately.

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

I still think they'll jag one or two. Footy's fun like that. You can always count on one team not showing up. I will suss that out though, was looking at one last night where it's "Which game will be Richmond's first win?" Could be some juicy value in those given you can rule out most teams immediately.

Agreed... hopefully not against us!

We had our worse game against them last season

 

[George Kramer]

I still think they'll jag one or two. Footy's fun like that. You can always count on one team not showing up. I will suss that out though, was looking at one last night where it's "Which game will be Richmond's first win?" Could be some juicy value in those given you can rule out most teams immediately.

$2.20 winless after 6 rounds, $7 round 10, $10.50 round 15.

Bolta missing 4 games.

 

[Freomaniac]

0-4 after R4 in 2024 to three teams that didnt even make the 8 in 2023.

They finished 15th,12th,14th and 4th at the end of the H&A season in 2023. (Suns,Cats,Freo and Dees).

Of these 4 teams only the Cats made the 8 in 2024.

Harsh on the dockers and harsh on the demons.

Dockers in 2024 sadly finished 10th. Dockers were in the top 4 with 4 games to go. Demons finish 14th In 2024 but had 11 wins. They lost a few narrow games.

Cats in 2023 had a down year looking back at it.

 

[Rotayjay]

As soon as I started hearing the media pencil us in for finals and our players saying finals or bust I couldn't get a bet on quick enough for us to miss the 8. At that point we were $2 to miss the 8, easiest double up of cash ever.

A shrewd wager!

 

[GreyCrow]

I can see them going winless.

When do we play them?

 

[PCORF]

Agreed... hopefully not against us!

We had our worse game against them last season

That game was on free to air TV and I never bothered watching it. Was a good decision indeed!

 

[dogs105]

 

[Jarman3]

Agreed... hopefully not against us!

We had our worse game against them last season

You know damn well that it'll be against us.

 

[Kensy006]

I reckon 12 wins is realistic, even with the new recruits I still see us dropping winnable games like has been the trend under Nicks. All I know is if Nicks fails this year he has to go and not for a rookie coach, a senior experienced coach. Again will wait and see where we are at after the first 5 games. That will tell us everything we need to know.

On SM-S918B using BigFooty.com mobile app

When you lose it is always the coaches fault..


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[1990crow]

I'll go 14 wins.

 

[adelaidecrows]

I'll go 14 wins.

If we have an ability to select our best players and have minimal injuries the expectation should be 15 wins. We have a young and exciting list that could easily have a season like the hawks.

 

[PCORF]

If we have an ability to select our best players and have minimal injuries the expectation should be 15 wins. We have a young and exciting list that could easily have a season like the hawks.

Just need to focus week after week and not let complacency and expectation ruin that!

 

[SugarShane]

If we have an ability to select our best players and have minimal injuries the expectation should be 15 wins. We have a young and exciting list that could easily have a season like the hawks.

This is the biggest fear. At the moment we're all filled to the brim with optimism that we're going the pick the best 22 each and every week. I do wonder how many weeks (if any) we make before we start seeing Smith, Murphy, etc sneaking in.

 

[adelaidecrows]

This is the biggest fear. At the moment we're all filled to the brim with optimism that we're going the pick the best 22 each and every week. I do wonder how many weeks (if any) we make before we start seeing Smith, Murphy, etc sneaking in.

As ive stated this reflects on Davis. His job is to provide Nicks with accountability which means if we see under performing players every week fill the side like Smith and Murphy and we have Dowling, Curtin ripping the Sanfl apart then this reflects on Davis as it does on Nicks and Davis then has to justify why he accepts the current selection. This is where I think we will see change. No longer will Nicks be able to carry out of form players. Well I am hoping anyway.

 

[JPetro83]

It's 13 or more or its bust

 

[JPetro83]

Round	Date	Location	Home Team	Away Team	Result
1	16/03/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	St Kilda	W
2	22/03/25	MCG	Essendon	Adelaide Crows	L
3	30/03/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	North Melbourne	W
4	5/04/25	People First Stadium	Gold Coast SUNS	Adelaide Crows	L
5	10/04/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Geelong Cats	W
6	19/04/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	GWS GIANTS	W
7	25/04/25	Optus Stadium	Fremantle	Adelaide Crows	L
8	3/05/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Carlton	W
9	10/05/25	Adelaide Oval	Port Adelaide	Adelaide Crows	L
10	17/05/25	MCG	Collingwood	Adelaide Crows	L
11	25/05/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	West Coast Eagles	W
12	31/05/25	SCG	Sydney Swans	Adelaide Crows	L
13	6/06/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Brisbane Lions	W
14	13/06/25	UTAS Stadium	Hawthorn	Adelaide Crows	L
16	28/06/25	MCG	Richmond	Adelaide Crows	W
17	4/07/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Melbourne	W
18	11/07/25	Mars Stadium	Western Bulldogs	Adelaide Crows	L
19	18/07/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Gold Coast SUNS	W
20	25/07/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Port Adelaide	W
21	1/08/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Hawthorn	W
22	8/08/25	Optus Stadium	West Coast Eagles	Adelaide Crows	W
23	15/08/25	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Collingwood	L
24	22/08/25	Marvel Stadium	North Melbourne	Adelaide Crows	W

14 WINS HOPEFULLY.....

 

[crows dude]

Well wife and I have The overland booked Thursday 25th and returning Monday 29th of September. $110 each way for her and $145 each way for me. 2012 I booked early and we were one kick away from a grand final. 2017 booked early and we made it. So maybe we can do it again.

 

[Doctor B]

Sportsbet line odds

 

[rocket18]

Sportsbet line odds

Interesting that list has us equal 11th with Gold Coast and Melbourne.

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Interesting that list has us equal 11th with Gold Coast and Melbourne.

Squiggle has us 11th, but a log jam.

Rounded wins...
14 - Lions, Bulldogs, Cats
13 - Hawks
12 - Pies, Swans, Dockers, Blues
---
12 - Giants, Dees, Crows, Power, Saints
10 - Suns, Dons
7 - Tigers, Weagles, Roos

 

[GROTTO]

Squiggle has us 11th, but a log jam.

Rounded wins...
14 - Lions, Bulldogs, Cats
13 - Hawks
12 - Pies, Swans, Dockers, Blues
---
12 - Giants, Dees, Crows, Power, Saints
10 - Suns, Dons
7 - Tigers, Weagles, Roos

Blues very vulnerable in that position with their injury issues. I think they will slide.

Their last 5 will be no cake walk, Hawks, Freo (A), Suns, Port, Dons.

 

[weekend at bernies]

depends when we sack Nixs

 

[Rank]

Given its preseason, I thought as an exercise I would go ahead and try and predict which games in the H&A season we may win.

Interestingly I arrived at 13W for 2025 which included 4 losses at AO, the line given by the bookies is 12.5W. While 13W was enough to make the 8 in 2024, it should be noted that the Pies ended up with same premiership counts as 8th place, ie 12W and 2D but missed out on percentage.

Under Nicks in 2024 we lost 7 "home" games, 4 in 2023, 7 in 2022 and 2021 and 8 in 2020.

AFC 2025 Fixture

Round	Date	Location	Home Team	Away Team	Result
1	16/03/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	St Kilda	W
2	22/03/25​	MCG	Essendon	Adelaide Crows	W
3	30/03/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	North Melbourne	W
4	5/04/25​	People First Stadium	Gold Coast SUNS	Adelaide Crows	L
5	10/04/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Geelong Cats	L
6	19/04/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	GWS GIANTS	W
7	25/04/25​	Optus Stadium	Fremantle	Adelaide Crows	L
8	3/05/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Carlton	W
9	10/05/25​	Adelaide Oval	Port Adelaide	Adelaide Crows	W
10	17/05/25​	MCG	Collingwood	Adelaide Crows	L
11	25/05/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	West Coast Eagles	W
12	31/05/25​	SCG	Sydney Swans	Adelaide Crows	L
13	6/06/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Brisbane Lions	L
14	13/06/25​	UTAS Stadium	Hawthorn	Adelaide Crows	L
16	28/06/25​	MCG	Richmond	Adelaide Crows	W
17	4/07/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Melbourne	W
18	11/07/25​	Mars Stadium	Western Bulldogs	Adelaide Crows	L
19	18/07/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Gold Coast SUNS	W
20	25/07/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Port Adelaide	W
21	1/08/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Hawthorn	L
22	8/08/25​	Optus Stadium	West Coast Eagles	Adelaide Crows	W
23	15/08/25​	Adelaide Oval	Adelaide Crows	Collingwood	L
24	22/08/25​	Marvel Stadium	North Melbourne	Adelaide Crows	W
				TOTAL SEASON WINS	13

13 to 15 wins for me if we have no costly injuries so I'll say 15. Our line is 11.5 wins with SB, I might be biased but it looks like a bargain to me.

 

[steve9798]

14 wins

This is the most positive I have been at the start of the season in a long time. If we can avoid injury to key players we are an outside chance at a top 4.

We have 9 potential A graders. Fog, RT, Rankine, Rachele, Dawson, Hinge, Draper, Soligo, Murray. My biggest concern is rucking depth.

Bring it on. Can't wait.