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snozulu said:
What about his layover in Vietnam?
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For Vietnam their reputation would suffer but because the west are looking for help from Vietnam, in regards to China’s threat, they’re probably not that worried about their reputation.

Vietnam (communist North) has had strong ties with the USSR (russia). Vietnam is worried that because of russia’s growing dependence on China, China could use this dependence to undermine Vietnamese interests in areas that are contested with China. This could also include stopping russian arms sales to Vietnam.
Vietnam has been neutral on russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Similar situation to russia and India.
 

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BornPort said:
I mean that was basically the end of it. Trump will be president again. What a ****ing disaster.
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Well if they don't get rid of Biden, Trump is a certainty to get in. But today's performance was so bad I'm not sure they can go to the election with him as their nominee.
 

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BornPort said:
Replacing him seems pretty unlikely and even if Biden agreed to step aside who would replace him?
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2 term Californian Governor Gavin Newsom. He will get the financial backing of the tech billionaires in California. Has had them in his two state gubernatorial elections.

2 term Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer is a party favourite, Michigan is a key state, War in Gaza has seen Biden fall way behind in the polls in the state as a large Palestinian diaspora lives there.

2 term Illinois Governor JB (Jay Robert) Pritzker is independently wealthy, is worth 2 or 3 billion from his finance and tech industry background, is a Chicago boy and the convention will be in Chicago.

They have run things as chief executives of their states, and have a record of achievement whereas as Kamala Harris hasn't done much, mainly running point for Biden on the pro abortion issues post Supreme Court striking down Roe v Wade.

US voters regularly favour Governors who have a record of running an administration - or a war - over senators at elections.

Heidi Heitkamp ex Democrat Senator from North Dakota a friend Biden on Planet America tonight, dumped on Biden and said he had to be replaced.

1968 Democrat convention was in Chicago in August.
LBJ said he wont run in March 1968, after RFK and Senator Eugene McCarthy ran anti Vietnam war campaigns, LBJ did poorly in the early primaries, RFK becomes front runner, then is assassinated in June, party in a bit of disarray, VP Hubert Humphrey who didn't nominate to run after LBJ pulled out, was effectively inserted by party power brokers as nominee at convention to displeasure of half the people at the convention.

Anti Vietnam War protesters came in from all over USA to protest outside the convention. Democrat Chicago Mayor Richard Daley called out the Chicago Police Department and the Illinois National Guard, they beat the shit out of protesters, the protesters started the famous - The whole world is watching chant - which didn't change things much, it was a disaster for the democrats and Nixon campaigned on restoring order and Bring Us Together and the rest is history.

2024 Democrat convention in Chicago wont be a carbon copy of 1968, but if they impose a candidate that half the party doesn't want, 1/3rd of the delegates are super delegates ie party power brokers, and you get big anti Gaza War protests at the convention, it could get very messy, just like in 1968.
 
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The debates are almost meaningless, Trump voters will vote for Trump, anti-Trumpers will vote against him it's not going to matter. It's not like no one has had any exposure to these guys, they know everything about them. The Democrats have decided running a corpse against Trump makes no difference, voters have already made their minds up.

The debate was simply a slanging match between an incoherent guy telling the truth and an inveterate liar, convicted felon and TV performer looking vaguely coherent.

There are 161 odd million registered voters in the US, not even a third of those watched the debate. And most that watched have already made up their minds.

What the Democrats need is another candidate like Bill Clinton from states they don't normally hold. When Clinton ran, they won states like Arkansas (Slick Willie's home), Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, Louisiana. He didn't crack the red wall that runs down the spine but he won to the East. All those states voted red in 2020.

The republicans have a candidate most strongly associated with New York who will never win NY, so the Dems have a headstart there.

It's going to come down to a few battleground states again and it's basically a question of voting for or against hubris, sanity and morality. And only just, because Biden is hardly spotless, just Trump is worse and more publicised.
 
Ford Fairlane said:
The debates are almost meaningless, Trump voters will vote for Trump, anti-Trumpers will vote against him it's not going to matter. It's not like no one has had any exposure to these guys, they know everything about them. The Democrats have decided running a corpse against Trump makes no difference, voters have already made their minds up.
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In the context of the polarised binary state of politics in the US in 2024 you are spot on.

But it's impt to bear in mind the US, unlike Australia, is a democracy where voting is voluntary, is held on a weekday, requires registration and often queuing in long lines during breaks in your working day for the privilege.

US voting history has shown that getting people out to vote, particularly those who already feel disenfranchised from the democratic process, is critical to swinging elections - especially for the Democratic Party.

Having two candidates who are not seen as being fit for presidential service (for character or competency reasons) will not encourage voter turnout and will have a detrimental effect on the legitimacy of the electoral process and the following four years. This is how the disastrous performance of Joe Biden in the first Presidential debate should be judged. I mean, the guy's electoral chances were effectively over within 10 minutes of the debate starting and we are more than four months from the election date.

For that reason it's essential that Biden be replaced as the Democratic candidate as quickly as possible. Not just for US citizens but for US trading and defence partners in the rest of the world, including Australia, whose economy and strategic global positioning are heavily reliant on competent US leadership.
 
Ford Fairlane said:
The debates are almost meaningless, Trump voters will vote for Trump, anti-Trumpers will vote against him it's not going to matter. It's not like no one has had any exposure to these guys, they know everything about them. The Democrats have decided running a corpse against Trump makes no difference, voters have already made their minds up.

The debate was simply a slanging match between an incoherent guy telling the truth and an inveterate liar, convicted felon and TV performer looking vaguely coherent.

There are 161 odd million registered voters in the US, not even a third of those watched the debate. And most that watched have already made up their minds.

What the Democrats need is another candidate like Bill Clinton from states they don't normally hold. When Clinton ran, they won states like Arkansas (Slick Willie's home), Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, Louisiana. He didn't crack the red wall that runs down the spine but he won to the East. All those states voted red in 2020.

The republicans have a candidate most strongly associated with New York who will never win NY, so the Dems have a headstart there.

It's going to come down to a few battleground states again and it's basically a question of voting for or against hubris, sanity and morality. And only just, because Biden is hardly spotless, just Trump is worse and more publicised.
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Not sure about this. Think it might have been eye opening for a lot of democrats, who previously assumed the clips of Biden showing his mental decline were right wing sources manipulating what they showed.
 
If it was anyone else but Trump, it could have been disastrous. People will vote on the basis on Not Donald Trump. Biden can always be replaced later. Biden won the Democrat primaries, how will they look if they replace him?

Maybe I'm just too pessimistic about the acumen of voters and figure that their decisions will be made on decisions other than the actual minute by minute comparison between a walking corpse and a convicted felon, but rather what they think these two stand for, whatever that may be.

It's sad that this is the choice for the self-styled greatest nation on Earth.
 
We can all have a laugh at Trump and his acts of idiocy. But don't ever be fooled by the real threat he represents.

I personally think many Australians look at the USofA through rose coloured glasses. A view fashioned by US sitcoms and their once-in-a-lifetime family trips to California and Disneyland. A view of America that sees Trump and the racist, misogynist, xenophobic, second amendment extremist insurrectionism and conspiracy theory mongering that he represents as an outlier.

Students of American history post 1776 shows that this is not true (see: https://www.amazon.com.au/Forever-Wars-Americas-Unending-Conflict/dp/1399409301) It's just that the death of responsible journalism and its surpassing by social media platforming has allowed the likes of Donald Trump to channel the underlying right wing extremism that has always been there. Albeit it in a large minority of the total population - but able to exert a disproportionate influence on the shape of Washington politics due to quirks in the US electoral voting system.

Now more than ever, we (those who care about traditional democratic values) need someone with the persona, courage, values and (most importantly in the era of 24/7 media coverage and misinformation) stage presence to represent a viable alternative to Donald Trump and the extremist values he represents.

I just don't believe that the 81 year old Joe Biden is that person in 2024. And the fact that the Democrats imagined he was (and probably still do) suggests that maybe they ain't up to it either.
 
Festerz said:
We can all have a laugh at Trump and his acts of idiocy. But don't ever be fooled by the real threat he represents.

I personally think many Australians look at the USofA through rose coloured glasses. A view fashioned by US sitcoms and their once-in-a-lifetime family trips to California and Disneyland. A view of America that sees Trump and the racist, misogynist, xenophobic, second amendment extremist insurrectionism and conspiracy theory mongering that he represents as an outlier.

Students of American history post 1776 shows that this is not true (see: https://www.amazon.com.au/Forever-Wars-Americas-Unending-Conflict/dp/1399409301) It's just that the death of responsible journalism and its surpassing by social media platforming has allowed the likes of Donald Trump to channel the underlying right wing extremism that has always been there. Albeit it in a large minority of the total population - but able to exert a disproportionate influence on the shape of Washington politics due to quirks in the US electoral voting system.

Now more than ever, we (those who care about traditional democratic values) need someone with the persona, courage, values and (most importantly in the era of 24/7 media coverage and misinformation) stage presence to represent a viable alternative to Donald Trump and the extremist values he represents.

I just don't believe that the 81 year old Joe Biden is that person in 2024. And the fact that the Democrats imagined he was (and probably still do) suggests that maybe they ain't up to it either.
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I don't think we're under any illusions about what a shitshow the US is
 
Despite Joe Biden’s debate performance against Donald Trump being branded a disaster by many — new polling shows many voters will still likely to consider voting for the Democrats leader despite having fresh concerns over his mental fitness.

Ipsos polled about 5,000 likely voters in the days before the debate, and followed up with about half of them after it.

Despite President Biden’s poor performance, the polling shows he still has a decent shot at winning the election — as Trump failed to win over voters. Although voters agreed the debate was a disaster for President Biden, only a few in the poll said it would change their vote.
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https://www.news.com.au/world/north...e/news-story/b6cd7dae02752365fe6bdbe0cce9db7d
 

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