Player Watch Jordan De Goey

[manicpie]

I think I’d like to work there.

And what sort of work will you be conducting?

 

[Pistol Night]

And what sort of work will you be conducting?

Motivational speaking and general well-being

 

[manicpie]

Motivational speaking and general well-being

Ahhh, a hands on role

 

[WalterBlaknWhte]

More bullsh*t jargon

'Recency bias' is a well-established principle within cognitive science and behavioural economics

Possibly the most important manipulation of recency bias was by General John Kelly when he was Trump's Chief of Staff

Kelly knew Trump was very biased to the last voice in his ear

So Kelly ordered Trump's calendar so the most sane advisers were given time slots closest to decision time

Its converse is 'primacy bias' - where first impressions / presentations require significant cognitive effort to overcome

 

[sideswipe]

'Recency bias' is a well-established principle within cognitive science and behavioural economics

Possibly the most important manipulation of recency bias was by General John Kelly when he was Trump's Chief of Staff

Kelly knew Trump was very biased to the last voice in his ear

So Kelly ordered Trump's calendar so the most sane advisers were given time slots closest to decision time

Its converse is 'primacy bias' - where first impressions / presentations require significant cognitive effort to overcome

The one I hate is don't judge a book by its cover. Unless I am prepared to read the thing in its entirety, the cover is usually the best available indicator.

 

[jmac70]

The one I hate is don't judge a book by its cover. Unless I am prepared to read the thing in its entirety, the cover is usually the best available indicator.

You could always read the blurb.

 

[Pistol Night]

You could always read the blurb.

Or watch the movie

 

[sideswipe]

You could always read the blurb.

Because its on the cover.

 

[MyManLynch]

'Recency bias' is a well-established principle within cognitive science and behavioural economics

Possibly the most important manipulation of recency bias was by General John Kelly when he was Trump's Chief of Staff

Kelly knew Trump was very biased to the last voice in his ear

So Kelly ordered Trump's calendar so the most sane advisers were given time slots closest to decision time

Its converse is 'primacy bias' - where first impressions / presentations require significant cognitive effort to overcome

This is an issue for Jury Trials.
Juries being influenced by the most recent information/evidence presented.
Some Jury members probably change their minds several times during a trial.
I know they aren’t supposed to make a decision until all the evidence is presented & closing arguments completed.
However…it’s human nature to assess & develop an opinion as information is presented.

 

[WalterBlaknWhte]

The one I hate is don't judge a book by its cover. Unless I am prepared to read the thing in its entirety, the cover is usually the best available indicator.

Yep, Mum's library included enticing covers like:

Didn't take long for me to abandon the turgid rubbish we were assigned in Year 7

 

[sideswipe]

Yep, Mum's library included enticing covers like:

Didn't take long for me to abandon the turgid rubbish we were assigned in Year 7

Excellent example. First reaction, 'I'd buy that book".

 

[sideswipe]

Yep, Mum's library included enticing covers like:

Didn't take long for me to abandon the turgid rubbish we were assigned in Year 7

BTW - I re-read First Blood on the weekend. Another excellent cover that tells you exactly what is on the way. A wonderful book that all should read. Rambo (or The Kid, never John - he only got a first name in the movies) and his appetite for self-destruction reminded me a little of Jordy. Just to bring the thread back on course.

And I am not saying Mark Anderson couldn't be Will Teasle.

 

[WalterBlaknWhte]

BTW - I re-read First Blood on the weekend. Another excellent cover that tells you exactly what is on the way. A wonderful book that all should read. Rambo (or The Kid, never John - he only got a first name in the movies) and his appetite for self-destruction reminded me a little of Jordy. Just to bring the thread back on course.

On holiday I brought V.S. Naipul's In a Free State (read f*ck all and watched Prime instead)

From the blurb: '...men seeking liberation far from home. By turns funny and terrifying, sorrowful and unsparing'

Reads more like a West Coast end-of-season than Jordy's cavorting

 

[sideswipe]

On holiday I brought V.S. Naipul's In a Free State (read f*ck all and watched Prime instead)

From the blurb: '...men seeking liberation far from home. By turns funny and terrifying, sorrowful and unsparing'

Reads more like a West Coast end-of-season than Jordy's cavorting

Just looked at the cover. I wouldn't have even picked it up. Go for The Terminal List. Now an 8-part series on Prime.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

'Recency bias' is a well-established principle within cognitive science and behavioural economics

Possibly the most important manipulation of recency bias was by General John Kelly when he was Trump's Chief of Staff

Kelly knew Trump was very biased to the last voice in his ear

So Kelly ordered Trump's calendar so the most sane advisers were given time slots closest to decision time

Its converse is 'primacy bias' - where first impressions / presentations require significant cognitive effort to overcome

Yep, and not the converse of recency bias, but at the other end of the spectrum, we tend to regard events that haven’t happened in a long time as never likely to ever happen again…

“A U.S. housing bubble could never cause a market crash… who doesn’t pay their mortgages?”

One might argue COVID-19 was one such “black swan” after there hadn’t been such a pandemic since the Spanish Flu in the early 1900’s, and so the systemic and governmental response was lethargic and in many cases one of outright denial.

 

[NMBB]

'Recency bias' is a well-established principle within cognitive science and behavioural economics

Possibly the most important manipulation of recency bias was by General John Kelly when he was Trump's Chief of Staff

Kelly knew Trump was very biased to the last voice in his ear

So Kelly ordered Trump's calendar so the most sane advisers were given time slots closest to decision time

Its converse is 'primacy bias' - where first impressions / presentations require significant cognitive effort to overcome

I have been to Portsea more recently than Frankston but I still adore Frankston - is that 'primacy bias'?

 

[sideswipe]

Yep, and not the converse of recency bias, but at the other end of the spectrum, we tend to regard events that haven’t happened in a long time as never likely to ever happen again…

“A U.S. housing bubble could never cause a market crash… who doesn’t pay their mortgages?”

One might argue COVID-19 was one such “black swan” after there hadn’t been such a pandemic since the Spanish Flu in the early 1900’s, and so the systemic and governmental response was lethargic and in many cases one of outright denial.

I believe most textbooks on the subject now use the classic unlikely historical scenario of Essendon ever winning a final again.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

I believe most textbooks on the subject now use the classic unlikely historical scenario of Essendon ever winning a final again.

I did enjoy the one about Rafa Nadal having won his first Grand Slam tournament AFTER Essendon won their last finals match…

 

[sideswipe]

I did enjoy the one about Rafa Nadal having won his first Grand Slam tournament AFTER Essendon won their last finals match…

Also to be known as "Our Rafa" if he meets Kyrgios in the Wimbledon semis.

 

[Mollythedolly]

I have been to Portsea more recently than Frankston but I still adore Frankston - is that 'primacy bias'?

Nah, that’s just irrational.

 

[DinoSoar]

I can’t quite recall but that might have been one of Kahneman’s heuristics. Refers to the tendency to remember recent events more vividly, and hence overestimate their importance in calculations.

Correct, it is something drilled into people managers when doing staff appraisals and performance reviews. Works both ways in terms of performance ie. for good performance or bad - need to look at the 12 months (or 6 months) in totality and not just what occurred in the last 2 - 3 months for example.

 

[sideswipe]

Correct, it is something drilled into people managers when doing staff appraisals and performance reviews. Works both ways in terms of performance ie. for good performance or bad - need to look at the 12 months (or 6 months) in totality and not just what occurred in the last 2 - 3 months for example.

I am not sure how this helps Jordy. Looking back 3 months includes his good games this year, look back 12 and we have to include the (righteous and justified) nightclub fight as well as his excellent back half of last year. Maybe The FireManager can try to bamboozle Wrighty with a discussion on the above?

 

[domus]

Give the man a break. He had a quiet game after a good season before the media debacle. Let him be. He'll win us a game or two before the season ends.

He has matchwinning ability. That's why clubs want him. You may not get consistency but you will get those moments, as we saw in the 2018 prelim and GF or that banana goal against the Eagles to get us over the line or the five goal performance against the cats with a broken hand. Many players are not capable of turning a game with pure brilliance. He is. So you keep the faith and endure the quiet games and hope for more magic when it's most needed

 

[DinoSoar]

I am not sure how this helps Jordy. Looking back 3 months includes his good games this year, look back 12 and we have to include the (righteous and justified) nightclub fight as well as his excellent back half of last year. Maybe The FireManager can try to bamboozle Wrighty with a discussion on the above?

Don’t know either, I was just giving the context of the term from my experience. I guess in Jordy’s case it is about looking at his performance over his current contract in its entirety, on field and off field. The good, bad and ugly, warts and all.

 

[Doc1763]

Give the man a break. He had a quiet game after a good season before the media debacle. Let him be. He'll win us a game or two before the season ends.

He has matchwinning ability. That's why clubs want him. You may not get consistency but you will get those moments, as we saw in the 2018 prelim and GF or that banana goal against the Eagles to get us over the line or the five goal performance against the cats with a broken hand. Many players are not capable of turning a game with pure brilliance. He is. So you keep the faith and endure the quiet games and hope for more magic when it's most needed

He wasn't alone. Pendles, Crisp and Adams all had relatively quiet games.