Werewolf manang Werewolf

[Hoos]

I wonder who it would be...

It's quite the conundrum isn't it?

 

[Tarkyn_24]

I wonder who it would be...

Who’s the target tonight? I don’t think JT or DERO are bad shouts.

 

[The Filth Wizard]

Well, there's no shortage of targets. Filthy must be near the top of the list for tomorrow. I still reckon 3KZ is in the frame for godfather...but my read has been somewhat askew this game so who knows.

The right price you say? Well, I'm a bit short at the moment.

And yes, young Monty is a pisser.

I’d be surprised, I’m a clear ally.

I’m also content now with where the poison is headed tonight.

 

[Hoos]

I’d be surprised, I’m a clear ally.

I’m also content now with where the poison is headed tonight.

I'll be doing a shitload of packing and sorting over the next 2 days so if it's me I won't be terribly put out.

 

[Hoos]

Sleep well brunchers.

 

[TalkingFootyNow1223]

3KZ by odds and percentages, being seered as a villager only means 1 thing this late in the game.

manangatang

 

[The Filth Wizard]

I'll be doing a shitload of packing and sorting over the next 2 days so if it's me I won't be terribly put out.

Lucky then.

 

[The Filth Wizard]

3KZ by odds and percentages, being seered as a villager only means 1 thing this late in the game.

manangatang

This is great.

Don’t stress friend. We’re in quiet time. Back to votes tomorrow morning once the night moves are clear.

 

[TalkingFootyNow1223]

This is great.

Don’t stress friend. We’re in quiet time. Back to votes tomorrow morning once the night moves are clear.

This is a premature vote for day as once im off tonight thats me done till tomorrow night. Didnt know if this was allowed but didnt want to miss out on a crucial vote. Also ive called 3KZ out now so if i pass in my sleep you know who to target

 

[Tarkyn_24]

3KZ by odds and percentages, being seered as a villager only means 1 thing this late in the game.

manangatang

Unfortunately there’s only one non-villager role he could be given what he’s seered as and how many villagers we have left (provided Filth’s telling the truth )

But I don’t think it’s a bad idea to keep him front of mind.

 

[manangatang]

DEADLINE (slightly early)

 

[manangatang]

Let’s see what we’ve got here...


Barrybran Villager: Killed N5 by Mafia
Drunkgoliath Goon: Killed N5 by Wolves

It is now day.

 

[Barrybran]

Dead PM please manangatang

 

[Grand Uncle Horace]

Must say Mafia and Wolves are complete dumbasses. One takes out an obvious villager, who I never suspected of having a role ; the other takes out wind blown fruit already rotting at the bottom of the tree.

 

[U2tigers]

Hmmm, who do we target today.

I believe TFW is working for us, and we need his help killing the bosses.

I think my vote as of right now would be TJASTA due to his convenient excuse for a drive-by lynch vote last night.

 

[Dingster]

Must say Mafia and Wolves are complete dumbasses. One takes out an obvious villager, who I never suspected of having a role ; the other takes out wind blown fruit already rotting at the bottom of the tree.

Hopefully Pants seered a villager. That will narrow down the night immune evil which I realize still includes myself.

 

[Grand Uncle Horace]

Hmmm, who do we target today.

I believe TFW is working for us, and we need his help killing the bosses.

I think my vote as of right now would be TJASTA due to his convenient excuse for a drive-by lynch vote last night.

TJASTA has been lurking about, rarely posting but staying alive.

The other player who is unusually quiet is Millky.

 

[3KZ is Football]

3KZ by odds and percentages, being seered as a villager only means 1 thing this late in the game.

manangatang

Wow TFN1223 - Talk about trying to set the agenda early! Do you have a motivation? I like odds and percentages so here we go: (I’ll give it a shot and pass it to the person next to me to correct).

I seered Villager on Night 1. At that stage there were 16 Roles (good and bad) and 20 villagers. There were only 4 roles that would give a false seer and given what we know now, you are saying I am the last of those. The odds of that being the case are 1-36 at the time roles were randomised. Hardly the sure thing you have seemed to make it.

On the other hand, we know 100% that The Filth Wizard is night immune evil, we know that FR0GGY was “third in” on a bandwagon to get the Alpha Wolf off the hook and we knew that Drunkengoliath was evil because he seered as evil.

We also know that there are too many “Lurkers“ for my liking still in the game.

I refer you again to Occam’s Razor - the simplest solution is usually the correct one.


Finally, here is my reading on the Evil Meter.

 

[U2tigers]

Is this TalkingFootyNow1223's first game?

A new player might be placed in a faction, to learn, so I reckon there may be a good chance hes in a faction, but not the boss of it.

 

[The Filth Wizard]

Is this TalkingFootyNow1223's first game?

A new player might be placed in a faction, to learn, so I reckon there may be a good chance hes in a faction, but not the boss of it.

I think the inference last night was he is a flog.

Bloodied52 Tarkyn_24 pantskyle my target was separate to those that were killed overnight and like the attempt on MWPP the poison was unable to be administered. I'll leave it up to you whether we discuss it further or consider I was role blocked. I did pick this person as they fit my own evil MO more but I'm doing very well if I hit a head.

 

[U2tigers]

I think the inference last night was he is a flog.

Bloodied52 Tarkyn_24 pantskyle my target was separate to those that were killed overnight and like the attempt on MWPP the poison was unable to be administered. I'll leave it up to you whether we discuss it further or consider I was role blocked. I did pick this person as they fit my own evil MO more but I'm doing very well if I hit a head.

cheers for the info.

 

[pantskyle]

Seered U2Tigers. Villager. Has become super involved as the games gone on.

TFW who did you prick?

 

[Tarkyn_24]

Seered U2Tigers. Villager. Has become super involved as the games gone on.

TFW who did you prick?

Im very interested in this.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

I think the inference last night was he is a flog.

Bloodied52 Tarkyn_24 pantskyle my target was separate to those that were killed overnight and like the attempt on MWPP the poison was unable to be administered. I'll leave it up to you whether we discuss it further or consider I was role blocked. I did pick this person as they fit my own evil MO more but I'm doing very well if I hit a head.

Yeah I’d say he definitely is, the bloke was liking each of my posts mentioning flogs for a while there yesterday.

A shame he then made such a clear claim

 

[Tarkyn_24]

Also I forgot to mention, good game Barrybran