Racing Melbourne Cup 2021 - Dedicated Raceday thread

[FallingLiefs]

hell of a history to overcome. Only 2 surprises me. Would be expecting at least 4 of 10 or $2.50 average price among that subset.

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Of course my roughie for exotics Selino draws the car park. Story of my punting life.

it could have drawn the 3000m mark and it wouldn’t have helped.

 

[Watts4Dinner]

JISM you deleting posts again m8? No wonder all the good posters all left and you’re stuck with Paris.

 

[halapenyo]

I just dropped an unreasonable amount of money on Incentivise to win. Never bet on horses before

 

[54Dogs]

Less variables this yr without the Euros. Class, ratings and form all say Incy. Without the distance doubt he would be flip of coin at best, north of $3 seems a reasonable level of juice for the risk involved. Will be playing

 

[iluvparis]

I just dropped an unreasonable amount of money on Incentivise to win. Never bet on horses before

Welcome to your new life!

 

[Gavin Excell]

Welcome to your new life!

You'll be punting on Vaal in no time

 

[Gavin Excell]

How many horses in Cup are simply no chance?

Race seems to have more tail than in previous few editions

 

[iluvparis]

How many horses in Cup are simply no chance?

Race seems to have more tail than in previous few editions

I’d say at least 8 have absolutely zero chance of winning

 

[year of the cat]

Incentivise out to $2.90. Blowing

 

[Bombers32]

How many horses in Cup are simply no chance?

Race seems to have more tail than in previous few editions

22 with the scratching of Future Score.

 

[tombomb]

Kind of shocked they are starting on a good 4.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Kind of shocked they are starting on a good 4.

4 is track manager codeword for somewhere between a 2 and a 7.

 

[tombomb]

4 is track manager codeword for somewhere between a 2 and a 7.

All I know is that it is going to be very very firm by 3pm if it is a 4 now.

 

[rank and file]

i have both my CATCENTIVISE and WINXENTIVISE posts locked and loaded for tomorrow

You might need this

 

[54Dogs]

All I know is that it is going to be very very firm by 3pm if it is a 4 now.

Also expecting to be very firm by 3.05pm when Incy wins by 3 untouched

 

[iluvparis]

Kind of shocked they are starting on a good 4.

Was always going to be watered to that level given the weather forecast

 

[Dominion]

Ok finally sorted out my trifecta. Landed on:

1st: Incentivise
2nd: Pondus, Grand Promenade, Floating Artist, Tralee Rose, Sir Lucan
3rd: above +Twilight, Spanish, TCO, Delphi, Persan, VE

The Delphi vet stuff threw a real spanner. Floating Artist my tip now on the off chance Incent fails (or for fave out markets). Hopefully earn a bonus bet or two in the earlier races to chuck on as a saver (can't bring myself to wager real $ against the star )

Good luck everyone!

 

[tombomb]

Was always going to be watered to that level given the weather forecast

i expected to start on a 6 and then upgrade as the day went.

 

[iluvparis]

PONDUS absolute poison now purely off the Lloyd factor - would be 50/1 if trained by anyone else

No surprise the mugs continuing to come for FLOATING ARTIST too with that 'different form' (i.e. getting rolled by Country Cups horses).

 

[pendlebury_10]

Delphi was right through all of my exotics but will completely pen now.

 

[iluvparis]

Delphi was right through all of my exotics but will completely pen now.

It's absolute rock bottom odds now anyway - looked a must include at 50s - now more than happy to avoid

 

[3rd Grade Maggy]

You'll be punting on Vaal in no time

 

[Nuggetz]

me today

 

[FallingLiefs]

Black booked Te Rapa maidens running before 7am in the west and a Maribyrnong before 8.


Just a beautiful day.