My 2008 Brownlow Medal - Cooney and Harvey tie

[asanque]

Just wait and see. Cooney can win it along with Harvey.

I can't see Harvey winning.

My earlier analysis had him on 25 on a best case scenario.

Whilst this is possible, I'd be very surprised to see him hit 25.

I am yet to see any evidence that Harvey has any other shot of winning.

 

[Bubba_5]

He gave a preview at the Computers & Mathematics in Sport conference on the Gold Coast last week. Apparently he's got Cooney winning this year! The Champion Data count has Ablett & Bartel tied on 26, a long way ahead of Cooney (17 I think), Franklin, Riewoldt & Harvey.

Wow, Bailey backing Cooney in gives me a lot more confidence in him. I guess you wouldn't have the count would you Rourke?

 

[mattbombers]

Hey guys,

i did my own brownlow count as well, i seem to be the only person who thinks that cox may not get WCE highest votes, obviously he will go close or win it, but i tihnk priddis @ $10 is value as he was in the top 2 possy getters in 3 out of their 4 wins....also west coast got slaughtered on many occassions when cox played well, so i doubt he will get votes there.

Suggestions please?

 

[zegor]

Bartel to be the clear winner according to Footy Post:
http://www.footypost.com.au/groups/talking-points/news/who-will-win-the-2008-afl-brownlow-medal

Amazing that Ablett is at $2.20 after missing four games. Just shows how dominant of a year people think he's had.

 

[sharpie]

Since 2002 only three players have gotten 26 votes or more - Judd, Bartel, and Buckley. Each was the winner in their respective year. Four players getting 26+ in one year doesn't seem too likely.

HTF does that work?

Buckley was a 3 way winner - so surely that would mean goodes and ricciutto got 26+ as well.

Or Buckley didn't get 26+

or Buckley didn't win in a year he got 26 votes

 

[Ninty]

Buckley got 22 votes, as did the other 2 obviously...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Brownlow_Medal_winners

 

[dl_renning]

keep an eye on Dane Swan, has had a good year, is at good odds and is a proven vote getter

 

[LondonCalling]

Had a look at the TAB the other night while I was out and about.

Thompson and Swan......no point now whatsoever

 

[BABYBOMBERS2007]

Thompson had a poor finish to the year and Swan was no where like last year.

 

[zegor]

Swan is paying $51 on Centrebet. I'm surprised a bit by that, but I guess it shows he has had a good year.

Then after Swan, they have Kirk at $81.

 

[LondonCalling]

Collected the winnings I had on the nags today, and placed a flurry of bets. No real science to most of them, just whatever came after the other. For those wanting to do the outrageous multibets, realise that the highest you can win on them is 5k:

Players Not Quoted (Leigh Montagna) for St Kilda most votes/Players Not Quoted (Byron Schammer) for Fremantle most votes = $496

Most votes for Sydney = Jarrad McVeigh / Most votes for Melbourne = Cameron Bruce = $18

Cameron Bruce/Dean Cox/Dane Swan/Chris Judd (most votes for club) = $7.63

Richardson/Harvey/Thompson/Cooney/Ablett (most votes for club) = $7.13

M.McVeigh/Schammer/Cassisi (most votes for club) = $1007.50

Ablett/Harvey quinella = $4.50

Ablett to poll 25/26 votes = $5

Swan/Bateman/Cox (most votes per club) = $20

J.McVeigh/Montagna/Cassisi = $1456

Brownlow head to head multi:
Corey over Judd
B.Harvey over Ablett
Cooney over Riewoldt
J.Selwood over S.Black
Richardson over Pavlich
= $20.38

Lets see how we go.......eek.

 

[Effes]

Burgan's phantom Brownlow

http://www.afl.com.au/News/NEWSARTICLE/tabid/208/Default.aspx?newsId=68022

 

[Jisha]

I am interested to know why a few people are picking Judd?

If people are picking Judd, I am picking Greg Tivendale. I have as much chance of winning right?

 

[brent-83]

Collected the winnings I had on the nags today, and placed a flurry of bets. No real science to most of them, just whatever came after the other. For those wanting to do the outrageous multibets, realise that the highest you can win on them is 5k:

You can win over 5k in SA. I have a number of multi's on at the TAB that all come over 5k. On a online sportsbook I use I've done a few for fun that will pay out 50k.

 

[Deledio2Conca]

My Top ten

1. Lance Franklin *
2. Jimmy Bartel
--Adam Cooney
--Matthew Richardson
-- Joel Corey
6. Gary Ablett
7. Brent Harvey
8. Jason Akermanis
9. Matthew Pavlich
10. Simon Black

Also, just a question, say I back Richo for a place, and like above he finishes 4th, does he still get the place because Buddy is ineligible?

 

[brent-83]

My Top ten

1. Lance Franklin *
2. Jimmy Bartel
3. Adam Cooney
4. Matthew Richardson
5. Joel Corey
6. Gary Ablett
7. Brent Harvey
8. Jason Akermanis
9. Matthew Pavlich
10. Simon Black

Also, just a question, say I back Richo for a place, and like above he finishes 4th, does he still get the place because Buddy is ineligible?

As far as I am aware, yes.

 

[Deledio2Conca]

And before I get criticised for my outlandish top 10, between 2nd and 7th on that list I reckon there is 2 votes.

 

[strategy]

I am going to go with

Harvey , Black , Bartel , Ablett and me to tie for a 5 way share of the main prize.

 

[TigerGlory]

I did my own phantom brownlow, and i came up with the following.

J.Bartel(GEE) - 27 votes.
G.Ablett(GEE) & J.Corey(GEE) - 23 votes.
L.Franklin(HAW) - 22 votes.
M.Richardson(RIC) & B.Kirk(SYD) - 19 votes.
S.Mitchell(HAW), B.Harvey(NML) & S.Black(BRL) - 18 votes.

Those were basically the leaders, i also polled the leaders of each club as being;

Adelaide - (Scott Thompson - 16 votes)
Brisbane - (Simon Black - 18 votes)
Carlton - (Nick Stevens - 12 votes)
Collingwood - (Dane Swan - 16 votes)
Essendon - (Matthew Lloyd - 9 votes)
Fremantle - (Matthew Pavlich - 15 votes)
Geelong - (Jimmy Bartel - 27 votes)
Hawthorn - (Lance Franklin - 22 votes)
Melbourne - (Paul Wheatley & Brad Green - 5 votes)
North - (Brent Harvey - 18 votes)
Port Adelaide - (Kane Cornes - 12 votes)
Richmond - (Matthew Richardson - 19 votes)
St Kilda - (Nick Riewoldt - 16 votes)
Sydney - (Brett Kirk - 19 votes)
West Coast - (Dean Cox - 10 votes)
Bullies - (Adam Cooney - 14 votes)

I wanna see how close I am to the mark.

 

[verypoorboy]

What do u guys think of My Brownlow Prediction:

Bartel: 25 votes
Ablett: 24 votes
Cooney: 21 votes
Corey: 21 votes
Harvey: 21 votes

From game-by-game analysis.

 

[strategy]

What do u guys think of My Brownlow Prediction:

Bartel: 25 votes
Ablett: 24 votes
Cooney: 21 votes
Corey: 21 votes
Harvey: 21 votes

From game-by-game analysis.

admit it ...your a fan of the Cats

 

[LondonCalling]

Apologies, guys.

Obviously, nowhere near it for another year.

 

[BABYBOMBERS2007]

Well everyone it looks like I was half right in my Brownlow prediction.