Prediction Round 16: Changes Vs Port Adelaide + pre-match discussion

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I feel Sean Darcy has been down on his previous form this year and he looks slightly hampered. He is the world champion at being injured and bouncing back in record time so hopefully all is well with him and he can have a dominant game.

A fit and firing Sean Darcy makes us a much better team and I feel we are going to need him as we will have a strong challenge on our hands to defeat Port today.
 
I feel Sean Darcy has been down on his previous form this year and he looks slightly hampered. He is the world champion at being injured and bouncing back in record time so hopefully all is well with him and he can have a dominant game.

A fit and firing Sean Darcy makes us a much better team and I feel we are going to need him as we will have a strong challenge on our hands to defeat Port today.
He has been very quiet. A lot of ruck contests in the middle last week he didn't even jump.
 

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Hughes is a good lock down defender and has shown that he is low cost decent depth.

He gets a decent amount of the pill and puts his body on the line…BUT his decision making does cost the team. This is evident at Peel as well as Freo. He will take a good mark and then take an eternity to pull the trigger - usually on a safe option. He doesn’t have the attacking dare. This stifles our turnover to attack footy and allows the opposition to flood back. The likes of Young, Chapman, Clarke (and now Wilson) will get the ball on quickly and may result in turnovers but the way Longmuir structures up is that we have contingencies in place for turnovers.

Hughes’ decision making is what results in him being depth. On the wing he will be told to play on quickly as more of a link up - getting in certain positions. Probably also play a defensive wing role on someone like Amos.

I’m sure Henry (if not injured) would have played wing and Hughes likely made way. Henry is not yet the finished product but I like the way he has been developing over the past 6-weeks getting a better balance of attack and defence and going forward generally uses the ball very well.

Acres and Chapman will replace these players (Hughes, Henry, Wilson). Chapman’s decision making and ability to hit up well weighted kicks is above all of these players and has been missed whilst out with hamstring.

So for today Hughes wing and Wilson given a licence to attack. Hughes takes a good one on one mark so it could often be the long down the wing lines kick from Wilson that we need Lobb, Tabs, Fyfe or even Hughes to mark.
 
Yes he will stand up but will he tackle...
Equal second for tackles against Carlton, not just for Freo but for the game.
So as much as the outside noise wants to paint Fyfe as only a one way runner and a defensive liability, factual information says otherwise.

My buddy, our captain, off the bat was clear he will play whatever role is asked of him and will fit in with the mould of the team as he returns to form.
All he asked was to allow him time to return his best, but all it took was one loss to get the knives out for one of our clubs greatest champions, bit sad that really.

Also while we give him time, we must consider the coaching group is getting there first real look at the midfield balance in a competitive game. You'd have to think they're running a fine tooth comb over it and will make the necessary changes as we charge towards the finals. We just have to weather these next couple of weeks and get a few wins while the balance is off.

Now back onto topic, the changes I like a lot. More drive from the backline with Wilson in, my best guess is Ryan will go back to being accountable on a tall (Georgiadies/Finlayson when resting fwd) where Logue was, Wilson slots in to the rebounding role, Logue goes fwd for Banfield giving us a greater aerial threat and better pressure, Walters back into the small fwd role allowing Colyer/Freddy further up the ground where Henry was and Hughes gets another go on the wing.

All these changes look to be improving each line except for the guts/wing where they all as a collective get a chance to fix what went horribly wrong last week. Predicting we come out swinging in the middle but Port match us and the game is a tight tussle for the first half, our home advantage plus the bounce back gives us the edge going through the second half.

Freo by 17
 
Equal second for tackles against Carlton, not just for Freo but for the game.
So as much as the outside noise wants to paint Fyfe as only a one way runner and a defensive liability, factual information says otherwise.

My buddy, our captain, off the bat was clear he will play whatever role is asked of him and will fit in with the mould of the team as he returns to form.
All he asked was to allow him time to return his best, but all it took was one loss to get the knives out for one of our clubs greatest champions, bit sad that really.

Also while we give him time, we must consider the coaching group is getting there first real look at the midfield balance in a competitive game. You'd have to think they're running a fine tooth comb over it and will make the necessary changes as we charge towards the finals. We just have to weather these next couple of weeks and get a few wins while the balance is off.

Now back onto topic, the changes I like a lot. More drive from the backline with Wilson in, my best guess is Ryan will go back to being accountable on a tall (Georgiadies/Finlayson when resting fwd) where Logue was, Wilson slots in to the rebounding role, Logue goes fwd for Banfield giving us a greater aerial threat and better pressure, Walters back into the small fwd role allowing Colyer/Freddy further up the ground where Henry was and Hughes gets another go on the wing.

All these changes look to be improving each line except for the guts/wing where they all as a collective get a chance to fix what went horribly wrong last week. Predicting we come out swinging in the middle but Port match us and the game is a tight tussle for the first half, our home advantage plus the bounce back gives us the edge going through the second half.

Freo by 17
Laying a tackle is not the only metric for defensive pressure.
 
Laying a tackle is not the only metric for defensive pressure.
Absolutely correct, but my reply is to Wako's question on can he tackle, which quite clearly he can. He is a liability right now due to being underdone, not because he's chooses not to play that way.

I just think our captain isn't being given the respect he deserves, give him time to get to fitness and then in 4 weeks time if he is still a defensive liability, go for your life on him.
 
Absolutely correct, but my reply is to Wako's question on can he tackle, which quite clearly he can. He is a liability right now due to being underdone, not because he's chooses not to play that way.

I just think our captain isn't being given the respect he deserves, give him time to get to fitness and then in 4 weeks time if he is still a defensive liability, go for your life on him.
Totally agreee and said so in a post after the HAWKS game.
He needs to play for the midfield as a group and realise it doesn’t revolve or need to around him anymore.
 

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A game that at one stage looked like % booster turned into a survival . But full credit to the boys in the last ten minutes they stemmed the flow of gaols and held firm.
I was surprised by the lack of us of Frederick when going forward yesterday. I saw him many time out in space as we came forward, but those with the pills didn't use him.
 
A game that at one stage looked like % booster turned into a survival . But full credit to the boys in the last ten minutes they stemmed the flow of gaols and held firm.
I was surprised by the lack of us of Frederick when going forward yesterday. I saw him many time out in space as we came forward, but those with the pills didn't use him.
At some points I think he moved TOO fast. Got out of range of the kicker

meep meep!
 
A game that at one stage looked like % booster turned into a survival . But full credit to the boys in the last ten minutes they stemmed the flow of gaols and held firm.
I was surprised by the lack of us of Frederick when going forward yesterday. I saw him many time out in space as we came forward, but those with the pills didn't use him.
Yeah. One especially by Brodie who chose to handball to someone surrounded by Port players instead of Freddie miles in space on the wing.
 
A game that at one stage looked like % booster turned into a survival . But full credit to the boys in the last ten minutes they stemmed the flow of gaols and held firm.
I was surprised by the lack of us of Frederick when going forward yesterday. I saw him many time out in space as we came forward, but those with the pills didn't use him.
I've also watched this, obviously he's not the only lead that gets missed/ignored but it does happen a fair bit and I think it's a combination of things.

  1. Players often don't spot Frederick even when in a very good spot, hopefully that improves with time and more connection
  2. He doesn't always move into quite the right spot, as mentioned by others he needs to be in kicking distance for the other player
  3. His contested marking is still a bit of a weakness, I've seen at least twice for example where Mundy has pulled the trigger on a corridor kick where Frederick had a very good opportunity to mark it but dropped it, leading to a turnover and goal. If he can improve that area then I think he'll get used as an outlet more.
 
I've also watched this, obviously he's not the only lead that gets missed/ignored but it does happen a fair bit and I think it's a combination of things.

  1. Players often don't spot Frederick even when in a very good spot, hopefully that improves with time and more connection
  2. He doesn't always move into quite the right spot, as mentioned by others he needs to be in kicking distance for the other player
  3. His contested marking is still a bit of a weakness, I've seen at least twice for example where Mundy has pulled the trigger on a corridor kick where Frederick had a very good opportunity to mark it but dropped it, leading to a turnover and goal. If he can improve that area then I think he'll get used as an outlet more.
Not even worried about him. He will only improve his running patterns and marking and when that happens, watchout!
 
I've also watched this, obviously he's not the only lead that gets missed/ignored but it does happen a fair bit and I think it's a combination of things.

  1. Players often don't spot Frederick even when in a very good spot, hopefully that improves with time and more connection
  2. He doesn't always move into quite the right spot, as mentioned by others he needs to be in kicking distance for the other player
  3. His contested marking is still a bit of a weakness, I've seen at least twice for example where Mundy has pulled the trigger on a corridor kick where Frederick had a very good opportunity to mark it but dropped it, leading to a turnover and goal. If he can improve that area then I think he'll get used as an outlet more.
I actually thought that was a pretty ordinary kick from Mundy- he needed to kick it to Freddy's left so he could run into but instead it had to much air and he was a sitting duck,also looked like an arm chop to me
 
Yep saw that, Schooter wanted to kick it to him 45m away but by the time he`d settled into a kicking stride, Freddie was 60 m and still streaking away. Funny, in hindsight!

That one was actually bad forward craft by Freddie.

You could see it unfolding... Schultz had seen him and was sizing up to kick it to him as soon as Freddie doubled back, but he just kept running further away from him. A quick double back would have resulted in an easy chest mark out in space.
 
I've also watched this, obviously he's not the only lead that gets missed/ignored but it does happen a fair bit and I think it's a combination of things.

  1. Players often don't spot Frederick even when in a very good spot, hopefully that improves with time and more connection
  2. He doesn't always move into quite the right spot, as mentioned by others he needs to be in kicking distance for the other player
  3. His contested marking is still a bit of a weakness, I've seen at least twice for example where Mundy has pulled the trigger on a corridor kick where Frederick had a very good opportunity to mark it but dropped it, leading to a turnover and goal. If he can improve that area then I think he'll get used as an outlet more.
I agree about his marking, but that will come with experience and hardening his body. But he must learn to jump for marks from one leg, not a vertical leap from both.
In doing what he is doing is taking away a protection of the ball and giving him no strength in contests.
 
I agree about his marking, but that will come with experience and hardening his body. But he must learn to jump for marks from one leg, not a vertical leap from both.
In doing what he is doing is taking away a protection of the ball and giving him no strength in contests.
Interesting take Anchor. I'll have to watch Port game yet again now.

At the match I was critical of Freddy not being able to take a series of marks, concluded he'd had a disappointing day. After rewatching I changed my mind, thought he'd had quite a few good moments apart from the marking frustration.
 

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Prediction Round 16: Changes Vs Port Adelaide + pre-match discussion

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