RedmanWasHere
Rarely in kitchens at parties.
- Aug 23, 2010
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Skippos great post mate, I look forward to reading your future threads. Like you I think this years draft has some real quality and evenness from 1-30. I believe this draft is the year of the utility and think players 190+ that can play both ends of the ground will be favoured by clubs. From what I've seen (SA only) Francis is the stand out and could go top 5, he has exception speed and his contested marking is elite. Current form for West Adelaide's league side is solid and he is holding his own against men in a key position role. Curnow has the speed, size and athletic ability but I've seen no footage of him. Bonner I like and is all class, he has an elite left leg and his right is better than most. He runs and carries the ball and sets the play up. Can play HB, HF and MID. Skinner is a player from what Ive seen, tall and quick and could possibly play as a key back? Agius is the one im uncertain on, he seems lethargic and un interested most times but as we know can turn the switch on when ready. I'd like to see him play up forward as that's where he played his best footy as a junior.I'm back again this year - except six weeks earlier! You can find last year's effort here. As always, happy to answer/explain/justify any questions/queries/feedback/statements about anything draft related. Hopefully I can provide another new perspective on how things are shaping up. This is my seventh year following the draft and the third year I've followed it very heavily. I'm based in SA but try to expose myself to the Victorian and WA prospects a little each year.
I don't particularly like calling it a phantom as these threads have become so much more than phantom drafts - personally, the phantom/mock drafting is a chore that I find a little pointless; it's not like anyone on here has any inside information so we're likely to be worse than EQ/Cal Twomey et al at projecting how the cards fall. However, Last year my phantom draft statistically considered the most accurate of all the amateur scouts - with only EQ and Cal Twomey recording a better hit rate. That said, trust them over me if you're looking for mail on who your club will pick! My strengths lie with identifying the talent, not projecting where they will go!
At the moment it's just power rankings. I'll edit in a top 20 mock later this week and start gradually doing profiles over the next 2-3 months. Last year I rewrote each profile three times and I'd like to avoid that this year!
I'm currently working on developing a draft website which I hope to launch in the near future. It's not going to be like BFGN/Mad Monday or any of the facebook pages/draft columns you've seen, instead I intend to model it on the American NBA style draft websites - very content heavy but concise and user friendly with videos and images. Not as many articles and reports but more individual scouting pages and numerical ratings for different skills (which I intend to incorporate into this thread!) - which I think the general public find much easier to digest than a paragraph explaining strengths and weaknesses. If this interests you shoot me a message as I'm keen to involve a few interested parties in the development!
Index:
Post 1 - Power Rankings
Post 2 - Mock Draft
Post 3 - A+ Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 4 - A Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 5 - B Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 6 - C Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 7 - D Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 8 - E Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 9 - F Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 10 - Rookie/Fringe Tier Profiles (Work in progress)
Post 11 - Miscellaneous
Overview of the Draft:
Contrary to other draft followers, I think this is an excellent draft. If you're looking for a franchise forward perhaps it's a little weak, but in every other regard I think it's excellent. It's Vic Country's best crop in a long time and I'm particularly bullish about SA's crop. Last year I wasn't but this year I think it's their best in a long time too (as you'll see from the power rankings. It's loaded with them). The strength of the crop very much rests on whether my assessment of the South Australian talent is correct or not. If I've overrated them, then it reverts back to an average crop. If you're looking for key defenders, small forwards or any type of midfielder - this crop is stacked with them. If you possess a top 20 pick, you're very likely to get a great piece to work around. I think the top 20 are relatively even, with the 21-30 range being more like the late first round types of previous years. In terms of depth - it does drop off a little after 35-40, but it's still relatively deep and there will definitely be some gems to be found.
Power Rankings:
1. Jacob Weitering - VC (195.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Key Defender)
2. Darcy Parish - VC (181.0 cm, 73.0 kg - Outside Leaning Midfielder)
----
3. Callum Mills - NSW (188.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder - Sydney Academy)
4. Luke Partington - SA (182.0 cm, 75.0 kg - Outside Leaning Midfielder)
5. Josh Dunkley - VC (189.0 cm, 85.0 kg - Inside Midfielder - Sydney F/S)
6. Rhys Mathieson - VC (185.0 cm, 79.0 kg - Inside Midfielder)
7. Ryan Clarke - VM (186.0 cm, 84.0 kg - Outside Leaning Midfielder)
8. Ben Keays - QLD (183.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder/Small Forward - Brisbane Academy)
9. Aaron Francis - SA (192.0 cm, 89.0 kg - Key Defender/Utility)
10. Darcy Tucker - VC (184.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Small Defender/Outside Midfielder)
11. Jacob Hopper - NSW (186.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Inside Midfielder - GWS Academy)
12. Ryan Burton - SA (191.0 cm, 83.0 kg - General Forward)
----
13. Joshua Schache - VC (199.0 cm, 96.0 kg - Key Forward)
14. Riley Bonner - SA (191.0 cm, 79.0 kg - General Utility)
15. Will Combe - SA (182.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder)
16. Charles Curnow - VC (191.0 cm, 95.0 kg - General Utility)
17. Greg Clark - WA (193.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder)
18. Nick O'Kearney - VM (181.0 cm, 71.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder)
19. Matthew Nunn - SA (181.0 cm, 73.0 kg - Outside Midfielder
20. Wayne Milera - SA (184.0 cm, 74.0 kg - Small Forward/Outside Midfielder)
21. Sam Skinner - VC (197.0 cm, 96.0 kg - Key Utility)
22. Harley Balic - VM (186.0 cm, 80.0 kg - Small Forward/Outside Midfielder)
23. Kade Stewart - WA (180.0 cm, 70.0 kg - Inside Midfielder)
24. Brendan Dew - SA (181.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Balanced Mid/Small Forward)
25. Stephen Tahana - SA (183.0 cm, 79.0 kg - Small Defender)
26. Callum Ah Chee - WA (182.0 cm, 71.0 kg - Small Forward)
27. Tony Olango - NT (200.0 cm, weight unknown - Ruckman)
----
28. Maris Olekalns - SA (182.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Outside Leaning Midfielder/Small Forward)
29. Matthew Kennedy - NSW (187.0 cm, 84.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder - GWS Academy)
30. Kieran Collins - VC (193.0 cm, 94.0 kg - Key Defender)
31. Bailey Rogers - WA (184.0 cm, 80.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder)
32. Harry McKay - VC (200.0 cm, 85.0 kg - Key Forward/Ruck)
33. Tom Cole - VC (185.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Small Defender/Balanced Midfielder)
34. Kyle Presbury - SA (182.0 cm, 73.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder)
35. Harrison Cross - SA (184.0 cm, 77.0 kg - Small Defender/Outside Leaning Midfielder)
36. Jordan Dawson - SA (187.5 cm, 80.0 kg - General Forward)
37. Gach Nyuon - VC (198.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Ruckman)
38. Bailey Rice - VC (184.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Inside Midfielder/Half Back - StK/Carl F/S)
39. Jade Gresham - VM (177.0 cm, 74.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder)
40. Tom Bennett - WA (184.0 cm, 77.0 kg - Outside Midfeilder)
41. Kyle Broadwood - SA (195.0 cm, 84.0 kg - Key Defender)
42. Mabior Chol - QLD (198.0 cm, 78.3 kg - Key Forward - Brisbane Academy)
43. Nate Dennis - QLD (201.0 cm, 87.5 kg - Ruck/Key Utility - Brisbane Academy)
44. James Parsons - VM (189.0 cm, 79.0 kg - General Defender/Midfielder)
45. Sam Weideman - VM (196.0 cm, 91.0 kg - Key Forward)
----
46. Mark Quinn - SA (180.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Inside Leaning Mid/Small Forward)
47. Keiran Agius - SA (189.0 cm, 84.0 kg - General Utility)
48. Matthew Allen - SA (193.0 cm, 97.0 kg - Key Forward/Inside Midfielder)
49. Brayden Fiorini - VM (186.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Outside Midfielder)
50. Bruno Laguda - VM (185.0 cm, 71.0 kg - Small Defender
51. Jake Sushames - TAS (185.0 cm, 65.0 kg - Outside Midfielder/Small Forward)
52. Chad Daniels - WA (182.0 cm, 83.0 kg - Small Forward/Midfielder)
53. Jack Watson - WA (191.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Key Defender)
54. Cameron Hewett - SA (189.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder/General Forward)
55. Tim Sullivan - SA (198.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Ruckman)
56. Mitch Antonio - WA (187.0 cm, 75.0 kg - Small Forward/Outside Midfielder)
57. Eric Hipwood - QLD (197.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Key Position Utility - Brisbane Academy))
58. Karl Brown - VM (192.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Key Forward
59. Will Snelling - SA (175.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Inside Midfielder)
60. Dylan Atkins - VM (199.0 cm, 88.0 kg - Key Utility)
61. Dylan McDonald - NSW (183.0 cm, 70.0 kg - Outside Midfielder - GWS Academy)
62. Corey Wagner - QLD (180.0 cm, 71.0 kg - Half Back/Outside Midfielder - Brisbane Academy)
63. Isaya McKenzie - SA (181.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Small Forward/Balanced Midfielder)
64. Jack Agostino - SA (180.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Small Defender)
65. Jordan Snadden - WA (190.0 cm, 79.0 kg - General Utility)
66. Hugh Haysman - SA (177.0 cm, 72.0 kg - Outside Midfielder)
Others - Grouped by state, not ability:
Ryan Hearn - VC (197.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Key Utility)
Jake Lovett - VC (182.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Inside Midfielder - Melb F/S)
William Sexton - VC (175.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Small Utility)
Lachie Tardrew - VC (182.0 cm, 70.0 kg - Inside Leaning Midfielder)
Josh Minogue - VC (189.0 cm, 80.0 kg - General Forward)
Aidyn Johnson - VC (184.0 cm, 75.0 cm - Balanced Midfielder)
Kyle Galloway - VC (206.0 cm, 104.0 kg - Ruckman)
Yestin Eades - VC (183.0 cm, 80.0 kg - Small Utility)
Luke Sheppard - WA (189.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Small Defender)
Blair Della Franca - WA (198.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Ruckman/Key Forward)
Jesse Micro - WA (190.0 cm, 90.0 kg - Key Utility)
Marshall Jones - WA (188.0 cm, 84.0 kg - General Forward)
Thomas Cameron - VM (187.0 cm, 70.0 kg - Small Defender)
Bryce Batty - VM (183.0 cm, 80.0 kg - Inside Midfielder)
Nick Pavlou - VM (174.0 cm, 75.0 kg - Small Forward)
Tom Wallis - VM (182.0 cm, 74.0 kg- Outside Midfielder)
Blake Hardwick - VM (181.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Small Forward)
Hisham Kerbatieh - VM (177.0 cm, 77.0 kg - Small Forward)
Dan Houston - VM (187.0 cm, 83.0 kg - General Forward)
Matthew Stillman - VM (181.0 cm, 78.0 kg - Outside Midfielder/Small Defender)
Ben Crocker - VM (185.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Balanced Utility)
Jordan Matera - VM (182.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Small Forward - WCE F/S)
Theo Thompson - VM (186.0 cm, 82.0 kg - Inside Midfielder)
Luke Surman - SA (195.0 cm, 94.0 kg - Key Utility)
Mason Redman - SA (187.0 cm, 76.0 kg - Balanced Midfielder)
Harrison Westhoff - SA (197.0 cm, 85.0 kg - Key Defender)
Campbell Wildman - SA (189.0 cm, 79.0 kg - Small Defender/Midfielder)
Andre Parella - SA (203.0 cm, 104.0 kg - Ruckman)
Jock Cornell - NSW (186.0 cm, 81.0 kg - Small Forward/Outside Midfielder - GWS Academy)
Nick Dodge - TAS (182.0 cm, 80.0 kg - General Forward)
Jordan Hayden - TAS (185.0 cm, 79.0 kg - Outside Midfielder)
Logan Reynolds - TAS (180.0 cm, 67.2 kg - Small Defender)
Skippos great post mate, I look forward to reading your future threads. Like you I think this years draft has some real quality and evenness from 1-30. I believe this draft is the year of the utility and think players 190+ that can play both ends of the ground will be favoured by clubs. From what I've seen (SA only) Francis is the stand out and could go top 5, he has exception speed and his contested marking is elite. Current form for West Adelaide's league side is solid and he is holding his own against men in a key position role. Curnow has the speed, size and athletic ability but I've seen no footage of him. Bonner I like and is all class, he has an elite left leg and his right is better than most. He runs and carries the ball and sets the play up. Can play HB, HF and MID. Skinner is a player from what Ive seen, tall and quick and could possibly play as a key back? Agius is the one im uncertain on, he seems lethargic and un interested most times but as we know can turn the switch on when ready. I'd like to see him play up forward as that's where he played his best footy as a junior.
Thoughts?
Just a few questions.
1. Are you going to constantly adjust your mock in versions 1, 2, 3, 4... or update this thread?
2. Is your mock draft going to attempt to match how the real draft will end up or how you personally rank the players?
EDIT: I just checked your 2014 version and reading your OP it seems you aim to mimic the real draft.
It is always good reading some mock drafts and I look forward to your twitter updates. I should be at the WA games, so if you need me to look at anyone, drop me a message and I will attempt to take notes on them.
I'm making good time. Tonight or tomorrow I hope.When will the phantom be up by Skippos?
There's a clear anti academy agenda creeping into popular sentiment and I just feel that people are tending to overrate academy prospects as it suits their anti-academy agenda.
Great to see more Sudanese boys playing football at the elite junior levels.198/78 so not as bad - these Sudanese kids often are stringbeans at that age and bulk up through the 20s. Mabior is a Sudanese KPF/Ruck with some real athleticism and a surprisingly high footy IQ given his background in the game. He's very draft able for mine - has that extra height on the Daw types but also better leading patterns. 198cm is the perfect height for modern day key forwards too - they're tall enough to often be a relief ruck if needed and physically dominant against most comers and not too tall that their mobility suffers as a result. It also leaves the option of being converted to a KPD with the 6'6 key defenders the 'in' thing at the moment - especially ones with athleticism. If Chol doesn't make the grade as a forward he's a good shot of making it as a back; he's certainly got everything Aliir Aliir has (who I think is going to make the grade) and more - height/skills the big one. I'm very bullish about Mabior - in fact i should probably have him higher.
It's tonight & tomorrow, tonight, Skippos.I'm making good time. Tonight or tomorrow I hope.
It is lies, all liesI'm making good time. Tonight or tomorrow I hope.
Is tonight or tomorrow like Neil Balme's 2 weeksI'm making good time. Tonight or tomorrow I hope.
Wants to be like Robert Cribb, IMO.It is lies, all lies
Great work skippos ...matthew Flynn nsw/act could be the best pure ruckman this year
C'mon mate the suspense is killing me...like having no presents under the Xmas treeIs tonight or tomorrow like Neil Balme's 2 weeks
When will the phantom be up by Skippos?
It's tonight & tomorrow, tonight, Skippos.
C'mon, I told the Mrs to go to bed.
Is tonight or tomorrow like Neil Balme's 2 weeks
C'mon mate the suspense is killing me...like having no presents under the Xmas tree
Great to see more Sudanese boys playing football at the elite junior levels.
There's a a lad i've seen running around in north adelaide's u18's side he's around the 196cm mark, very athletic and has exceptional skills on both sides of the body, his name's is Chol Anyang only saw him once on the north team sheet which was in round one but i havn't seen much of him, would be handy this weekend against the likes of gameu, broadwood, hoare and baqeri as north do not have many talls.
Have you heard or seen much of him?
Hey mate, seen much of Wallis? I have a feeling he's a rookie prospect, same with Harvey Daniher.
Interesting to see how you rate Ah chee.
Very interested to hear your write up on him. Everywhere I have seen him written up as a top 15 pick, and some talk that west coast should look closely at him. Without ruining your write ups Skippos, can you shed some light on your opinion of him? is it just that you dont see him translating into a midfielder full time at afl level, or just rate others much higher?
Really enjoyed your work last year, so very much looking forward to reading this years!