The next 4 weeks to determine Geelong's season.

[Herne Hill Hammer]

Sydney at home. The only team able to beat us consistently at Kardinia in recent times.

Richmond, still wounded but starting to roll again.

Bye. (yuck)

Port in Adelaide. We have a good record against them at AO but are getting them coming off a bye.

Beat Richmond and Port and for mine we're clear cut favourites. Lose to either of them and doubt returns.

 

[Mad_Hatter]

2/2 I reckon.
We'll lose the bye, that's a given, and we don't perform well after a hard slog against the bye so I reckon port may get us.

 

[Herne Hill Hammer]

2/2 I reckon.
We'll lose the bye, that's a given, and we don't perform well after a hard slog against the bye so I reckon port may get us.

I'm hoping the hard edge in attack will reverse our post bye fortunes this year.

 

[CatRiot]

If we can beat the Swannies without Danger and GAJ... Then bring them back in for the Tigers game nice and fresh, then I like our chances there.

Don't really want to drop any games, but if we drop one after the bye I won't be too phased.

 

[David the Cat]

I thought the first six weeks was going to determine Geelong's season....

 

[Max Milburn]

I thought the first six weeks was going to determine Geelong's season....

Not to mention the last 6...

 

[CatToTheFuture]

Fairly certain the last game determines the season

 

[iameviljez]

I disagree with the title of this thread. Frankly, we've set ourselves up well enough that if we do drop a couple of games over the next month (and we'll drop a few games through the season, we're not out-and-out favourites like in 2007/08), we'll still be top-2 by July.

Footy seasons are kind-of like batting in one day cricket - if you have a blistering start, you don't need to take too many risks between overs 15 and 40, and then set yourself up for business end of the game.

 

[Pollywaffle]

I thought the first six weeks was going to determine Geelong's season....

The last game of Geelong’s season will determine Geelong’s season

 

[Vdubs]

Each week is important.

 

[Pavlovs Cat]

This is the year we beat our bye hoodoo. Port are seriously soft and if you kick a couple of goals in a row they shit the bed.

 

[Vdubs]

I disagree with the title of this thread. Frankly, we've set ourselves up well enough that if we do drop a couple of games over the next month (and we'll drop a few games through the season, we're not out-and-out favourites like in 2007/08), we'll still be top-2 by July.

Footy seasons are kind-of like batting in one day cricket - if you have a blistering start, you don't need to take too many risks between overs 15 and 40, and then set yourself up for business end of the game.

As long as a loss does not lead to several.
Confidence is a huge issue. Losing again to Tigers at the G and we will have major issues if we had to face them in finals.

 

[Seeds]

Sydney at home. The only team able to beat us consistently at Kardinia in recent times.

Richmond, still wounded but starting to roll again.

Bye. (yuck)

Port in Adelaide. We have a good record against them at AO but are getting them coming off a bye.

Beat Richmond and Port and for mine we're clear cut favourites. Lose to either of them and doubt returns.

Um finals? You know where we currently have 3-10 win loss record. Finals are nearly guaranteed now.

 

[JohnZ]

As long as a loss does not lead to several.
Confidence is a huge issue. Losing again to Tigers at the G and we will have major issues if we had to face them in finals.

Thats the game we need the boys to win and win well. Get that off the back and head into the 2nd half of the season with real momentum.

 

[Vdubs]

Thats the game we need the boys to win and win well. Get that off the back and head into the 2nd half of the season with real momentum.

They are a real concern- winning games with stars out; they'll only get stronger later this season.

 

[Herne Hill Hammer]

Um finals? You know where we currently have 3-10 win loss record. Finals are nearly guaranteed now.

You know we're about 14 - 2 coming off a bye since Scott has been coaching? I'm hoping the harder edge in the forward line with Rohan, Dahlhaus, Atkins, Myers helping Tom out will be the difference this year. If we lose poorly to Richmond and then Port coming off the bye, I don't think we can win it. Heck, if we beat Richmond and lose to Port coming off the bye I'll have serious doubts.

 

[Landgraft]

Um finals? You know where we currently have 3-10 win loss record. Finals are nearly guaranteed now.

Currently we have a 0-0 finals record, because currently it is 2019 and no finals have been played.

You can look at previous seasons through various lenses, but just saying 3-10 as if that's the correct and relevant number is just being a bit silly.

 

[iameviljez]

Confidence is a huge issue. Losing again to Tigers at the G and we will have major issues if we had to face them in finals.

I think that's a bit OTT as well. We're 9 and 1, for God's sakes - we've got highly experienced leaders in each third of the ground, and there is zero history to suggest that we are susceptible to confidence issues.

 

[Vdubs]

I think that's a bit OTT as well. We're 9 and 1, for God's sakes - we've got highly experienced leaders in each third of the ground, and there is zero history to suggest that we are susceptible to confidence issues.

TWT.
9-1 is sway better than any swould have anticipated.
BUT, are there ???????'s IF we lost to Tigers pre finals, given their depletion?
There are for me, but big deal, Tigers are one of the flag favourites, and imo, #1.
Discussed this already, but imo, Tigers, Pies, GWS, WCE are all as likely as us to end up premiers.
If we DID lose to them, and did have to play them in a final at their home, who would realistically have confidence?
Not OTT as I see it, but many will agree with you.

 

[iameviljez]

TWT.
9-1 is sway better than any swould have anticipated.
BUT, are there ???????'s IF we lost to Tigers pre finals, given their depletion?
There are for me, but big deal, Tigers are one of the flag favourites, and imo, #1.
Discussed this already, but imo, Tigers, Pies, GWS, WCE are all as likely as us to end up premiers.
If we DID lose to them, and did have to play them in a final at their home, who would realistically have confidence?
Not OTT as I see it, but many will agree with you.

I don't think Tigers are a likely flag threat this year, not without Rance, not with another year's footy into the likes of Cotchin and Edwards, and not without the march that they stole, tactically, on the rest of the league in 2017.

Similarly, I think West Coast are good, but Kennedy is nearly 32 and Darling is inconsistent. They need NicNat back to be a serious September threat, IMO - Vardy and Hickey are getting toweled up in the ruck most weeks, though admittedly they have the midfield to offset it.

Collingwood and GWS are very serious threats, but I don't think that a midyear loss really plays on anyone's mind.

 

[Tony Barber]

We will spiflicate the Tigers.
What determines the season from here is injuries and how we manage niggles.
Come finals time the season starts again.

 

[fpm84]

If we DID lose to them, and did have to play them in a final at their home, who would realistically have confidence?
Not OTT as I see it, but many will agree with you.

Makes no difference IMO.

We beat them late in 2017 and from memory we were missing Hawkins, Selwood and Duncan that day. Didn’t seem to shake Richmond’s confidence in the QF a few weeks later.

Melbourne hadn’t won a final in a decade and then beat two highly experienced finals sides in us and Hawthorn last year.

 

[Vdubs]

Makes no difference IMO.

We beat them late in 2017 and from memory we were missing Hawkins, Selwood and Duncan that day. Didn’t seem to shake Richmond’s confidence in the QF a few weeks later.

Melbourne hadn’t won a final in a decade and then beat two highly experienced finals sides in us and Hawthorn last year.

We are better at the G this year; hope that augurs well. The finals at G is the issue.TWT.

 

[Landgraft]

I don't think Tigers are a likely flag threat this year, not without Rance, not with another year's footy into the likes of Cotchin and Edwards, and not without the march that they stole, tactically, on the rest of the league in 2017.

Similarly, I think West Coast are good, but Kennedy is nearly 32 and Darling is inconsistent. They need NicNat back to be a serious September threat, IMO - Vardy and Hickey are getting toweled up in the ruck most weeks, though admittedly they have the midfield to offset it.

Collingwood and GWS are very serious threats, but I don't think that a midyear loss really plays on anyone's mind.

Richmond definitely deserve credit for the season they're putting together from the compromised position they've been put in but I can't see them going deep this year either. Only caveat is if Dusty does finally make like Stella and get his groove back, because that's pretty much the difference between them having a competitive enough midfield or not.

 

[scottydeewah]

Fairly certain the last game determines the season

Stupid factoids!