Crankyhawk
Hall of Famer
A brain fartIf the voice was a distraction, what is nuclear?
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A brain fartIf the voice was a distraction, what is nuclear?
You cant talk about nuclear and just focus om economics. You have to also discus the risks. Now the probability of those risks may be extremely small but the impacts are so mind boggling devastating that they must be properly considered. Even if nuclear is cheaper (and my modelling suggest it isnt), then is it truly worth the risk to save a couple of bucks per mwh?As always our political landscape and our media destroy any real hope for a serious debate on the future of nuclear in the country.
Is it possible just once that the we can be presented with the facts and not sides cherry picking stats that suit their argument.
What are the actually cost to build?
What are long term running costs?
What will be the price per megawatt?
We have a situation where one side of politics thinks it’s viable … how?
Is someone prepared to do the work and try and convince me that nuclear is the answer?
And please don’t just say it’ll firm up renewables.
Coal is irrelevant. Gas is only for firming now. You need to compare nuclear with the cost of firmed renewables. And a proper ratio of firming which is quite small.OECD electricity generating costs for year 2025 onwards – 10% discount rate, $/MWh
Source: OECD IEA & NEA, Projected Costs of Generating Electricity, 2020 Edition, Tables 3.11a, 3.12, 3.13a, assuming 85% capacity factor. In 2018 currency values.
Country Nuclear Coal Gas CCGT France 96.9 - - Japan 112.1 111.3 97.1 Korea 67.2 81.0 90.2 - 100.4 Slovakia 146.1 - - USA 98.6 100.2 - 148.8 48.9 China 82.1 78.5 86.3 Russia 56.6 - - India 83.9 76.0 - 105.5 -
Of course it’s about economics…You cant talk about nuclear and just focus om economics. You have to also discus the risks. Now the probability of those risks may be extremely small but the impacts are so mind boggling devastating that they must be properly considered. Even if nuclear is cheaper (and my modelling suggest it isnt), then is it truly worth the risk to save a couple of bucks per mwh?
I think this report overestimates the costs of firmed renewables to play it safe. Its much likely to be noticably lower.Most recent completed nuclear plants I can see are Vogtle units 3&4 in the USA. They have a combined capacity of about 2230 MW. They cost US$35 billion.
Plant Vogtle: Not a Star, but a Tragedy for the People of Georgia
"Another energy advisory, Lazard from the US, calculated the levelised cost of nuclear and renewables – which means the average net present cost of electricity generation for a generator over its lifetime. It found that one-megawatt hour from solar power, including back-up storage, costs between $72 to $160 per megawatt hour, while a traditional nuclear plant costs from $220 to $347."
Is nuclear energy feasible in Australia (and how much would it cost)?
Debate has erupted over nuclear energy’s role in Australia’s shift from fossil fuels. Could it work? And why is it so controversial?www.smh.com.au
Also from the SMH link:
"A joint study by the CSIRO and AEMO, the GenCost report, calculated the future cost of energy generation for a range of technologies. It found that solar and wind energy generation would cost between $60 and $100 per megawatt hour by 2030, including back-up power from either batteries, pumped hydro or gas plants. (This figure also includes CSIRO and AEMO-termed “sunk costs” of new transmission lines.)
GenCost forecast that one megawatt hour of power from a small modular reactor in 2030 would cost between $200 and $350 per megawatt hour."
Thats a very conservative view to takeOf course it’s about economics…
Thats a very conservative view to take
I do not care how cheap nuclear power is. Its a risk to civilisation. I do not want it built no matter how cheap it is. Thus its not just about economics. To say it is only economics is a very libertarian view to take. Nuclear power requires strong regulation, no wars (if a missile hits a nuclear plant its all over for everyone 100kms around) and no acts of gods like a tsunami (i.e. like the very one that hit japans nuclear power plant).No it’s not … its mathematics..
There is nothing in conservative views that has a caveat on the most viable and cost effective policies…
Christian right are always anti science. Dutton is just doing what he is told.CSIRO boss hits back at Dutton over nuclear power research
The CSIRO has rebuked politicians seeking to undermine its research showing nuclear energy would be much more expensive than solar or wind power, after Liberal leader Peter Dutton claimed that research had been "discredited".www.abc.net.au
I find this so disappointing, I get Dutton is trying to appeal to a certain subset, but why does he need to try and discredit places like the CSIRO.
Lots of ships are nuclear powered, the really really expensive military ones (subs and aircraft carriers). The cheap shipping liners are conventionally powered because it's 100's or 1,000's of times cheaper.Should ships be nuclear powered? Uranium mined in australia transported by conventional powered ship?
Gees media need to properly follow up with questions. Dutton says it doesnt include the cost of transmission so not comparing apples with apples. Problem is, it does include the cost of transmission. Dutton has either just lied or guessed cos he never read the report. Why are our journalists this poor at their job?Christian right are always anti science. Dutton is just doing what he is told.
There are very few journalists. They are all mostly mouthpieces for whoever pays them the most.Gees media need to properly follow up with questions. Dutton says it doesnt include the cost of transmission so not comparing apples with apples. Problem is, it does include the cost of transmission. Why are our journalists this poor at their job?
Yeah this.It's embarrassing
Nine years in power and not a word about nuclear
The Coalition do not deserve to exist
And their enablers, Murdoch, Stokes and Costello can all die in a fire
because the far-right, US style morons of Sky News and the IPA say he must attack science. It shore's up his favourable treatment by that far-right cabal.CSIRO boss hits back at Dutton over nuclear power research
The CSIRO has rebuked politicians seeking to undermine its research showing nuclear energy would be much more expensive than solar or wind power, after Liberal leader Peter Dutton claimed that research had been "discredited".www.abc.net.au
I find this so disappointing, I get Dutton is trying to appeal to a certain subset, but why does he need to try and discredit places like the CSIRO.
With power bills coming down across the country, he's (Dutton) going to have to change tack and pretend this all never happened. He's already called to boycott Woolworths, so he can't step foot into that debate.Market operator explains why the lights won’t go out with wind, solar and storage
The federal Coalition insists the lights will go out in transition to wind and solar. AEMO has now released a video explaining why they won’t, following CSIRO’s defence of science.reneweconomy.com.au
LNP going full bore on this. How many vites csn it afford to lose to get into power .
One of the really challenging arguments in the nuclear debate is that the Australian market is so small the nuclear plant would way too concentrated (unless the mythical smaller plants actually become a reality).With power bills coming down across the country, he's (Dutton) going to have to change tack and pretend this all never happened. He's already called to boycott Woolworths, so he can't step foot into that debate.
The strangest thing about the "nuclear debate" is that there's absolutely nobody in the business world proposing to build a nuclear plant here. At least the gas and coal lobby have miners, power producers and others who employ and earn money here pushing for expansion. But with nuclear, it's just a political party pretending something is viable to justify a political position. No nuclear plant will ever be built, they're just pretending one might, maybe, could be, at some point decades in the future and therefore they're going to scream against renewables.
Not in anyway.One of the really challenging arguments in the nuclear debate is that the Australian market is so small the nuclear plant would way too concentrated (unless the mythical smaller plants actually become a reality).
This means that any problem with a single plant and your entire grid stability is threatened. This might be an accident, a fault or simply planned maintenance.
It is not the correct answer for Australia in any way.