Prediction The run home - how many do we win?

[philohk]

We only got one result in our favour last round, which made it a fair bit harder. Matter of Stats did a great post on this last week including how important each game is: http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-s...final-ladder-and-finals-series-after-round-17

He should do another one this week.

 

[Collins-Langford-Ayres]

We should beat North and the Blues.

If the Dogs are clearly out of the running for the eight we may roll them too.

Swans and Tigers will be very tough, particularly with our outs.

 

[Breustiful]

Lot of optimism in this thread - at this stage I think we'll beat Dogs, North and Carlton. BUT if we beat Sydney, then I'm hopping on board the optimism train!

 

[Hodginator]

Ideally we win all games and leapfrog the Bombers in the last round to keep them out of the 8.

 

[Davo-27]

6 then 4 finals, like the others have said 10 please...

 

[Pessimistic]

If we lose to Sydney it will be one of those close unlucky losses

They're simply not equipped to smash us these days

 

[Pessimistic]

So IF they get the next two and are looking possible, there's Frawley Ceglar Rioli Puopolo O'Meara. Gibson Vickery potentially available to cover for injuries fatigue etc

 

[jenniferHAWKinS]

So IF they get the next two and are looking possible, there's Frawley Ceglar Rioli Puopolo O'Meara. Gibson Vickery potentially available to cover for injuries fatigue etc

And Birchall! Imagine if we did sneak in to the finals. Some serious talent not in the side at the moment.

 

[Books]

If we do make the Finals, a few other teams will be nervous...

 

[Books]

Would love to make finals just to make other teams' supporters nervous. There is a dangerous mental health condition called headf**ked that I suspect could be triggered

Geelong fans will be more nervous than a South African cricket team before a World Cup semi-final...

 

[Todman]

If you forget the first six rounds the AFL ladder would look like this,

40 Sydney
28 Adelaide
28 Melbourne
26 Geelong
26 Hawthorn
24 Port
24 Essendon
24 Richmond
24 GWS
24 St Kilda
20 Collingwood
20 WCE
20 Western Bulldogs
16 Fremantle
16 GCS
12 North
12 Carlton
12 Brisbane

Wins against the top 3 form sides and a narrow lose to equal fourth.

During that time Frawley, Rioli & Stratton only played 2 games each, Birchall 3 , Gibson 6 and Poppy 7.

 

[cryptor]

If you forget the first six rounds the AFL ladder would look like this,

40 Sydney
28 Adelaide
28 Melbourne
26 Geelong
26 Hawthorn
24 Port
24 Essendon
24 Richmond
24 GWS
24 St Kilda
20 Collingwood
20 WCE
20 Western Bulldogs
16 Fremantle
16 GCS
12 North
12 Carlton
12 Brisbane

Wins against the top 3 form sides and a narrow lose to equal fourth.

During that time Frawley, Rioli & Stratton only played 2 games each, Birchall 3 , Gibson 6 and Poppy 7.

Couple seconds longer in the GWS game and the Burton point wins us that. Smith's kick against Geelong goes a few metres the other way and we win that. Sitting outright second.

But of course those things didn't happen and the start to our season did. It is very heartening in terms of 2018. Especially if we can bring in some elite talent.

 

[threesixpio]

Ideally we win all games and leapfrog the Bombers in the last round to keep them out of the 8.

I think I might cry tears of happiness if this happens

 

[HODGEYROAD]

If you forget the first six rounds the AFL ladder would look like this,

40 Sydney
28 Adelaide
28 Melbourne
26 Geelong
26 Hawthorn
24 Port
24 Essendon
24 Richmond
24 GWS
24 St Kilda
20 Collingwood
20 WCE
20 Western Bulldogs
16 Fremantle
16 GCS
12 North
12 Carlton
12 Brisbane

Wins against the top 3 form sides and a narrow lose to equal fourth.

During that time Frawley, Rioli & Stratton only played 2 games each, Birchall 3 , Gibson 6 and Poppy 7.

Maybe if Gibson had missed more we'd currently be 2nd on that table.

 

[flinchfree]

Maybe if Gibson had missed more we'd currently be 2nd on that table.

Over the top.
Gibbo doesn't deserve the whacks, absolute champ.

 

[HODGEYROAD]

Over the top.
Gibbo doesn't deserve the whacks, absolute champ.

I agree Champion of the club and I love him, but based on performance this year he should have been dropped prior to injury forcing him out.

 

[Paul007]

Hopefully we win enough to finish above StKilda, it will be a miracle if we make the 8, I would like to see it go down to the final round though.

 

[Jiggystoon]

Honestly think that we can win our remaining 5, if we get over Sydney Friday night then I will be more convinced of this, Richmond aren't as good as people think, I see no reason why we can't win that, North and the Blues we should beat and that leaves the Bulldogs, again I see no reason why we can't take it up to them either. We are a chance to play finals people, I can feel it


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[caliente]

All 5. As for Sydney we're going to eat them alive #ROASTswan

 

[Since 2001]

must win game tomorrow night

 

[philohk]

For anyone interested in the maths, Matter of Stats has an update on where teams are most likely to finish and how much their chances will change with the result of every game (i.e. not just their own). It's dense but interesting.

http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-s...final-ladder-and-finals-series-after-round-18

The good news is that the games that most impact our chances are our games, not others. Starting tonight...

 

[Randy Campbell]

8 to go.

 

[Todman]

Good to win with our home jumper. The charge is on.

 

[Smooth Banana]

So we need Bulldogs to beat Bombers and Port to beat Saints...

 

[marklar]

Lot of optimism in this thread - at this stage I think we'll beat Dogs, North and Carlton. BUT if we beat Sydney, then I'm hopping on board the optimism train!

Choo choo!