Triple J Hottest 100 - 2020

[ronpingwins]

Sportsbet put up extra markets for a few minutes and now they've disappeared

Up now. Meh for me, nothing worth it. $11 for Billie to get a fourth song in is probably overs, I can only get $2 on though, why bother.

 

[WickedCampaign]

Won't let me bet on it anyway

 

[NotAMagpieBogan]

So why wouldn't you just go Circles to finish 10-20. Good odds still available on that.

Because it’s at 1.67?


Billie for 4 in the 100 has now been suspended. Bummed I didn’t get on that at $11.

 

[AvantGardener]

Because it’s 1.67?

But it will finish 11-20

 

[Liljam]

Almost strange tone and I is currently the favourite.. with a fair amount of evidence it's a tight race. spooks me into thinking big bets on leaked info, with new odds coming out just after voting closes. Probably just because she ticks all the box's of a perfect winner and I'm deep af overthinking haha. Hope that's all it is.

 

[jack 23]

Can anyone narrow down the number of 'aussie artists' field?

last year was 65 aussie songs,
2016 was 66 aussie songs.

note its number of artists, not songs though so gotta count back the artists with multiple tracks.

edit: meh not worth it- likely the ones with $2-3 odds.

 

[Liljam]

Just realised the sneaky wording in the 4 Billie songs BETWEEN 1-100 so if Billie wins and there's 4 SB will probably call it a loss

 

[Gibbsy]

Pretty keen to snap up the $2.95 about Bad Guy finishing higher than Dance Monkey.

 

[Gibbsy]

Almost strange tone and I is currently the favourite.. with a fair amount of evidence it's a tight race. spooks me into thinking big bets on leaked info, with new odds coming out just after voting closes. Probably just because she ticks all the box's of a perfect winner and I'm deep af overthinking haha. Hope that's all it is.

this is proposed every year when we see wacky odds and framing from the books. You don’t have anything to worry about. It’s just one of those rare events where the punters have more knowledge than those framing the markets. Let’s trust our instincts.

also even though Tunas is just a guide I think it would be impossible for a song placed #7 on there to be a winner. Rule a line through Dance Monkey. If anything, overexposure may have killed her chance.

 

[jack 23]

Just realised the sneaky wording in the 4 Billie songs BETWEEN 1-100 so if Billie wins and there's 4 SB will probably call it a loss

nah i would dispute it bigtime if they did that. the beteasy wording is shithouse too. 'to finish higher' could be interpreted two ways

 

[jack 23]

Neds into $3 Billie to win.

 

[notarobot]

also even though Tunas is just a guide I think it would be impossible for a song placed #7 on there to be a winner. Rule a line through Dance Monkey. If anything, overexposure may have killed her chance.

Not totally impossible although unlikely, it's definitely finishing ahead of Bulls on Parade though.

 

[Gibbsy]

nah i would dispute it bigtime if they did that. the beteasy wording is shithouse too. 'to finish higher' could be interpreted two ways

so everyone that says “shoulda been higher” really means what...

yes it could be interpreted two ways, so can many things in life

 

[ronpingwins]

this is proposed every year when we see wacky odds and framing from the books. You don’t have anything to worry about. It’s just one of those rare events where the punters have more knowledge than those framing the markets. Let’s trust our instincts.

also even though Tunas is just a guide I think it would be impossible for a song placed #7 on there to be a winner. Rule a line through Dance Monkey. If anything, overexposure may have killed her chance.

Yep, surely we've seen over the last few years that they are capable of making some pretty clear errors. Wouldn't rule a line through her but yeah, probably a pretty slim chance for tones. She would have to poll a mammoth amount of the commercial vote, but I suspect that type of voter would also be voting bad guy, she doesn't have a point of difference to overturn Billie from here.

 

[notarobot]

this is proposed every year when we see wacky odds and framing from the books. You don’t have anything to worry about. It’s just one of those rare events where the punters have more knowledge than those framing the markets. Let’s trust our instincts.

Tones and i is still the most heavily backed though.

 

[jack 23]

Tones and i is still the most heavily backed though.

I imagine it would be. Look at the first page of this thread everyone was saying it's a shoe in. Without any further info or research most people would think that

 

[Liljam]

Bad Guy just did a heavy drop on tab to $2.75. probably do the same on the other sites soon.

 

[Frankth3tank]

Average odds across bookies below - BG grey, BoP blue, DM orange.

Part of the dip in the last day is due to exclusion of Betfair odds as they suspend their market at closure of voting. They generally offered better odds. Sportsbet the only bookie being stubborn and refusing to drop BG below $4 (other than Unibet who are a joke and let no-one on for more than $2). SB are managing their exposure by keeping max liability lower this year.

Hoping to see more of a plunge from BG in the coming days...

 

[dan1488au]

a bet for maybe some of the bigger punters! Charlie by Mallrat to come top 10(sportsbet) $1.20 in my opinion is a near certainty.
Doesn't look like there is any limit on bet size. i know its short odds but think its great value.

 

[Liljam]

a bet for maybe some of the bigger punters! Charlie by Mallrat to come top 10(sportsbet) $1.20 in my opinion is a near certainty.
Doesn't look like there is any limit on bet size. i know its short odds but think its great value.

Another is on SB for any like a version to make top 10. at $1.10 Can't see BOP dropping past 5. Only 10% profit but it's probably a 99% win.

 

[jack 23]

Need more unibet accounts

 

[Gibbsy]

Piece of your heart - top 10 at $6 is not the wildest. I could see it bolting.

 

[Gibbsy]

a bet for maybe some of the bigger punters! Charlie by Mallrat to come top 10(sportsbet) $1.20 in my opinion is a near certainty.
Doesn't look like there is any limit on bet size. i know its short odds but think its great value.

max bet for this was $1250 so you’re looking at $250 profit. I’m not game enough but for big bettors I reckon play ball.

I’d actually be keener on the $1.40 flume for top 10. Max bet for that was $625 so again only $250 profit. They’re really limiting this year. We will never see the likes of $2,000 profit single bets again (ILY Vera blue)

 

[Frankth3tank]

haha even if every relative you knew suddenly opened an account, it still wouldn't be worth the effort! They let me get $8.03 on BoP at $11.5!

 

[jack 23]

haha even if every relative you knew suddenly opened an account, it still wouldn't be worth the effort! They let me get $8.03 on BoP at $11.5!

OK spewing, my family members got around $100 per account a few days ago