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The old second is the first of the losers.... hang on, Ken can argue 17 teams didn't in it.....
In the prediction thread I predicted we'd be 1-3 next week. Although the script has varied slightly I still think we're pretty much rolling along as I thought we would be. We'll lose this week, we'll probably still end up getting to something like 5-4 and in the 8, but by the end of the year I believe we'll end up something around 10W.I started thinking about when Hinkley would be sacked. So started looking at our fixture. Feel free to take a crack at predicting our year and his sacking.
Predicted Results:
Game Result Range Prediction v Bris Loss Comfortable 0 - 1 @ Coll Loss Close 0 - 2 v Adel 50/50 Line Ball 1 - 2 - 50/50W @ Syd Loss Comfortable 1 - 3 v WB 50/50 Line Ball 2 - 3 - 50/50W v WCE Win Comfortable 3 - 3 @ StK 50/50 Line Ball 3 - 4 - 50/50L v Ess Win Comfortable 4 - 4 @ NM (TAS) Win Close 5 - 4 v Melb Loss Comfortable 5 - 5 @ Rich Loss Comfortable 5 - 6 v Haw Win Comfortable 6 - 6 @ WB Loss Close 6 - 7 v Geel Loss Comfortable 6 - 8 @ Ess Win Close 7 - 8 v GC Win Close 8 - 8 @ Carlton Loss Close 8 - 9 v Coll 50/50 Line Ball 9 - 9 - 50/50W @ Adel 50/50 Line Ball 9 - 10 - 50/50L @ Geel Loss Thrashing 9 - 11 v GWS Win Close 10 - 11 @ Freo Loss Comfortable 10 - 12 v Rich 50/50 Line Ball 10 - 13 - 50/50L
I have predicted we'll go:
- Likely scenario - 10 W, 13 L
- Best Case scenario - 13 W, 10 L
- Worst Case scenario - 7 W, 16 L
I predict Ken will be sacked after our round 21 loss to Geelong, as the finals become out of reach on the 7th of August.
Just on this Hinkleys career probably hangs on the next 6 games.
We will lose to Sydney, but after that we have
WB home - 50/50
Eagles home - win
Saints away - 50/50
Bombers home - win
Kangas in Tas - 50/50
If we go 2-3, to be 3-6, Hinkleys 100% gone
Go 3-2, to be 4-5, Hinkleys very close and with Melb and Richmond to follow he's borderline.
But if he goes 4-1 well he'll delay the inevitable for a while.
If he goes 5-0 and we're 6-3, then he'll be strutting like a smug dickhead everywhere.