How do you get 50% out of Fremantle, Carlton, Hawthorn, West Coast, Us, Richmond, St Kilda, Collingwood, Brisbane, Essendon, Footscray, North Melbourne and Melbourne who since 2000 have all spent time in the bottom 4 or thereabouts?
Geelong, Camries and Swans haven't spent any "real" time down there.
GWS and Gold Coast excluded obviously.
Well lets take the last 10 years bottom 2 to be relavant..
2010 richmond,west coast
2009 richmond, melbourne
2008 west coast, melbourne
2007 cartlon, richmond
2006 essendon, cartlon
2005 collingwood, cartlon
2004 hawthorn, richmond
2003 cartlon, bulldogs
2002 saints, cartlon
2001 saints, dockers
2000 saints, collingwood
10 Teams have finished down the bottom in the last 10 years:
saints, collingwood,dockers, cartlon,hawthorn,essendon, bulldogs,richmond,west coast, melbourne.
Essendon, Dockers and the buldogs were only there once so they didnt get much from it so count them out thats 7 teams who have "tanked"
Those 7 should all be in contension for a flag especially richmond who was there 4 times. Collingwood and Hawthorn have already won flags and the saints have come very close a few times so we count that as 3 successes.
If Cartlon,Melbourne,Richmond or West Coast win a flag with there current squad it will be a better than 50% success ratio if 2 of them win a flag it will be about 70% tanking effectivness...lets not deny the effectiveness of the tank...though if Richmond dont win won soon good knows what they are doing wrong...