Women's World Cup

[rank and file]

Kerr on bench

FFS,so basically not playing with this coach.

Cluster bomb bet just hit the trenches and didn't kill any Russians,so to speak

 

[NYRB]

Player Shots Market for Matildas v Canada

Foord 3+ Shots @ $1.91
Foord 4+ Shots @ $3.32
Foord 5+ Shots @ $6.10
Foord 6+ Shots @ $12.25

Foord hasnt been good. But she is on the pitch and takes shots from all over. For me she is generally terrible at getting shots on target , getting herself in bad positions in the first two games. Foord had 7 shots against Nigeria , 4 shots against a more plucky Ireland.l onger the game goes on, if Aussies trail, they will to take bad shots.


Sportsbet Free Hit SGM

Canada to have 5+ Shots on Target
Canada Win/Draw Double chance
Over 9.5 Corners (Australias games have had 17 and 13 corners so far)
Foord 4+ Shots

Odds: $18

 

[NYRB]

and 1 more Cross Soccer for the games

McCabe 3+ Shots v Nigeria
Christine Sinclair 3+ Shots v Australia

Odds: $12.23

 

[BloodRet]

Canada to win @3.10. Silly price, forget patriotism.

 

[BloodRet]

3-3 and 4-4 @91 & 200

 

[rank and file]

Canada to win @3.10. Silly price, forget patriotism.

Tailed
1-0 $9

 

[rank and file]

Flood gates have opened.
Bring on the super sub.

 

[ep2018]

Canada win or draw double chance bet seems a good one, $1.70 on Pointsbet. With Canada only needing a draw to make it though I imagine they will be playing very defensively and Kerr is starting on the bench. We're also prone to defensive lapses so Canada might sneak a goal past us in the meantime.

 

[dontlimitme]

spain playing 5d chess to get on the other side of the draw from USA

 

[NYRB]

Caitlin Foord not a good pick to get shots. My bad, she played on the left wing. Mistake learnt.

Anyway with Matildas likely to get Denmark in the Round of 16, I cant tip against Matildas in the Round of 16.

Also with shorter breaks, Denmark going to be coming from Perth. Ireland and Canada look flat on their feet in the 2nd halves tonight. (both played their 2nd group stage games in Perth)

 

[rank and file]

0 Canada
Why take your anthem literally?

 

[X_box_X]

Netherlands need to pile on the goals to finish on top in the group.

USA also need to pile on the goals against Portugal to finish ahead of Netherlands.

Their opponents are only playing for pride.

Let the goals

 

[X_box_X]

Re. Netherlands' handicap prices v Vietnam:

• I anticipate this is going to continue steaming. Last night the Bot on Betfair was matching lay bets at $1.77 for the -3.5 handicap. Now it's matching at $1.71. The facts are simple. The Netherlands need to pile on the goals to give themselves the best chance of finishing on top of their group.
  
  
  
• Let's assume the USA beat Portugal by one goal. The Netherlands will need to win by 4 goals to finish on top of the group. If USA win by two goals, the Netherlands need to win by 5. Not only do the USA currently have a +2 GD advantage, but they have also scored two extra goals, so that's why Netherlands need to win by 3 goals more than the USA to finish on top.

The market was initially pretty slow to react to this, that's why initially you were able to get Netherlands -3.5 at $2, and is now being matched at $1.71. The market has finally realised how important it is to top Group E. It will be the difference between playing Italy or Sweden in the round of 16.

There are still a number of books that are offering fixed prices well above the prices being matched by Betfair bots on a number of markets.

 

[NYRB]

I didnt mind this bet maybe you could do a bit of tinkering as Portugal doesnt have much to play for. The SkyBet Featured RequestAbet today:



Sportsbet offering $15.25

If we get scorelines of :
i) A USA win by 1-0, Dutch win by 3-0
ii) A USA win by 2-0, Dutch win by 4-0,
iii) A USA win by 3-0, Dutch win by 5-0

means they would then look at discpline throughout the group stages. Right now, USA has picked up a total of 2 yellow cards, and the Dutch 1 yellow card. If the cards or discipline ratings are level, as a tie-breaker they would then determine it by drawing lots to determine who finishes 1st in the Group.

I feel like both teams (US, and Dutch) will keep an eye out on the other game today.

 

[NYRB]

Multi for NZ games day today


Rose Lavelle AGS v Portugal
Roord AGS v Vietnam

Odds: 6.86

 

[X_box_X]

Re. Netherlands' handicap prices v Vietnam:

• I anticipate this is going to continue steaming. Last night the Bot on Betfair was matching lay bets at $1.77 for the -3.5 handicap. Now it's matching at $1.71. The facts are simple. The Netherlands need to pile on the goals to give themselves the best chance of finishing on top of their group.
  
  
  
• Let's assume the USA beat Portugal by one goal. The Netherlands will need to win by 4 goals to finish on top of the group. If USA win by two goals, the Netherlands need to win by 5. Not only do the USA currently have a +2 GD advantage, but they have also scored two extra goals, so that's why Netherlands need to win by 3 goals more than the USA to finish on top.

The market was initially pretty slow to react to this, that's why initially you were able to get Netherlands -3.5 at $2, and is now being matched at $1.71. The market has finally realised how important it is to top Group E. It will be the difference between playing Italy or Sweden in the round of 16.

There are still a number of books that are offering fixed prices well above the prices being matched by Betfair bots on a number of markets.

And still that steam comes.




Lay price now $1.63 for the -3.5 handicap after initially you could back it at $2.

Netherlands win by 5+ = $246.28 PROFIT
Netherlands win by 4 = $502.02 PROFIT
Netherlands win by 3 = $113.94 PROFIT
OTHER = $117.94 PROFIT

 

[NYRB]

Rose Lavelle scored in the 2019 World Cup Final:




She also scored on this ground earlier this year against New Zealand.

 

[NYRB]

And a cross game multi

Rose Lavelle 2 + Shots on Target
Roord Anytime Goalscorer

Odds: $11.50

 

[anabac]

Looks like the sharp money on the Dutch was spot on nice work x box

 

[NYRB]

Ill have a go on First Goalscorer. Im having a nibble on their penalty taker Wang Shuang. In Chinas win here in the last game, her goal was the one that helped China win the game. There may not be very many goals on this and the English girls are much shorter.

Wang Shuang First Goalscorer at $22 v Poms. Anything above $15 a play in my book.

 

[NYRB]

A little nibble on Nigeria to win the World Cup at 160

I think this is a good time to get them.

Australia beat the English this year
Nigeria beat the Aussies in the World Cup

who to say Nigeria cant beat the English, despite England winning tonight 6-1? If they win, the tourney could totally open up.

USA were not that impressive today in their draw, only a poster in injury time saved them from elimination.

 

[NYRB]

Im convinced this USA team is on the decline. Rapinoe is old now. Alex Morgan

Alex Morgan

Age

28

Ht

182cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.0

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

7.0

4star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.0

3star

MG

131.0

2star

No current season stats available

D

12.0

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

7.0

5star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.0

3star

MG

131.0

3star

looks a shadow of her former self.

USA V Sweden likely Round of 16 match up

Also adding the Swedes in my outright pick at $27 to win the World Cup.

 

[X_box_X]

This is my bet of the night, gents.

France winning 4-0, 5-0, 6-0, etc aren't included in this market. Anything above $1.85 is +EV.

Just in case Panama score, France 5-1, 6-1, 7-1, etc is good for the chocolates also.

 

[NYRB]

Live betting in-play at Half Time

Argentina to beat Sweden at 6.20

Sweden have made 9 changes from their last game. And if the other game remains the same at HT, and Argentina can nick a goal, they are going through

 

[NYRB]

And a little play on South Africa at Half time to beat Italy at 8.60.

I think that equalizer goal for South Africa will give the rainbow nation all the motivation they need to go on and finish this now.