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YVMDFL- Part 4

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Backhoe said:
Div 2 Semi Final 1 possible big clash between Emerald and Seville being held at OLINDA! Is that to get them used to Div 1 conditions? LOL will be interesting to see how many neutral supporters will make the treck up
The hill
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The 'treck' up?
23 Minutes from Seville...
19 Minutes from Emerald...
Massive amount of travel there :rolleyes:
 
Backhoe said:
Div 2 Semi Final 1 possible big clash between Emerald and Seville being held at OLINDA! Is that to get them used to Div 1 conditions? LOL will be interesting to see how many neutral supporters will make the treck up
The hill
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Pretty sure thats the Div 2 1st Semi Final, probably between YJ and either Powelly or Alex.
 
Backhoe said:
Div 2 Semi Final 1 possible big clash between Emerald and Seville being held at OLINDA! Is that to get them used to Div 1 conditions? LOL will be interesting to see how many neutral supporters will make the treck up
The hill
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Seriously hope your having us on Backhoe, why the hell would they play a final up there?..... In all honesty though that has to be far better than playing at Gembrook. As long as they dont play any finals at that wind blown tundra everyone will be happy. Oh....apart from Bill Heppel.
 

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Not gonna complain about any of the grounds selected the most important thing is that the grand finals are on a saturday :thumbsu:

Although no grand final at Woori :eek: !!!!!!
 
rip it up said:
Not gonna complain about any of the grounds selected the most important thing is that the grand finals are on a saturday :thumbsu:

Although no grand final at Woori :eek: !!!!!!
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Some big grounds for the 1st divi Finals - surely will favour the running teams- will make for a good spectacle

I agree spot on with the Saturday - the league is listening im impressed:thumbsu:
Lets hope its a crackin day (weather wise) at Healesville on the last day so the league can make an almost exact comparison to last year for the gate - Sunday v's Saturday arguement
R we getting the Big screen again? - that was cool
R we getting the lines & ground stuff done by the same mob?
R we getting the same camera / audio mob?

If YES to all we should be on a winner! Oh as long as a certain marron & gold team is playing...;)
 
TeeS said:
Lukey Mac as well. Also previous YV players in Chris Hughson (Mon) and Jon Knight (i think Upwey ??) YV has become EFL Div 1 retirement village !!
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If you look at the East Ringwood Team of the Decade -
Danny Lee - Upwey, Michael Hughson (Monbulk), Cam Taylor (ex-Wandin), Daniel Sheers (Upwey), Paul Grayling (ex-Wandin), Chris Hughson (Monbulk), Wade Porter (Upwey), Danny Young (Upwey), Paul Ferguson (Belgrave), Luke McCormick (Monbulk), Chad Davis (Upwey)

Also both Gooley brothers (Upwey) were in the squad to pick from.

Over half the team are playing or have played in the YVMDFL
 
Intersting finish to Div 1 coming up.

Monbulk 48 - (Olinda away/Gembrook home) - Would have to lose both and Olinda would have to win both to lose top - Wont happen - will finish top.

Olinda 42 - (Monbulk home/Woori away) - If they lose both and results go as could - may miss finals!!! Unbelievable considering won 10 of past 12.

Woori 38 - (Mt Eve away/Olinda home) - Rnd 18 clash with Olinda could mean top 3 for winner or out for loser if Monbulk and Woori win this week.

Gembrook 36 - (Y/g home/Monbulk away) - If they win this week then Rnd 18 V Monbulk will be win top 3 lose out depending on % with Warby

Warby 36 - (Wandin home/Y/G away) - Easiest of the run home - Last weeks win giving them a chance. % will decide finishing 2, 3 or 4 providing one of the bottom sides dont cause an upset.

Upwey 36 - (Heals away/Mt Eve Home) - Poor % means it needs either Woori/Gem/Warby to drop one or Olinda drop 2 to make it providing they win both their last 2 - No guarantee having won only 2 of past 8 matches against 8th and 10th (21 points) on ladder.

What is your tips folks? Upwey to drop 1 of their last 2 and miss for me.

On a side note - wouldn't want to draw Woori first week of finals as Box Hill will have week off in their finals series - Will they release Monkey and Robbie?
 
Red Hot Tip said:
Intersting finish to Div 1 coming up.

Monbulk 48 - (Olinda away/Gembrook home) - Would have to lose both and Olinda would have to win both to lose top - Wont happen - will finish top.

Olinda 42 - (Monbulk home/Woori away) - If they lose both and results go as could - may miss finals!!! Unbelievable considering won 10 of past 12.

Woori 38 - (Mt Eve away/Olinda home) - Rnd 18 clash with Olinda could mean top 3 for winner or out for loser if Monbulk and Woori win this week.

Gembrook 36 - (Y/g home/Monbulk away) - If they win this week then Rnd 18 V Monbulk will be win top 3 lose out depending on % with Warby

Warby 36 - (Wandin home/Y/G away) - Easiest of the run home - Last weeks win giving them a chance. % will decide finishing 2, 3 or 4 providing one of the bottom sides dont cause an upset.

Upwey 36 - (Heals away/Mt Eve Home) - Poor % means it needs either Woori/Gem/Warby to drop one or Olinda drop 2 to make it providing they win both their last 2 - No guarantee having won only 2 of past 8 matches against 8th and 10th (21 points) on ladder.

What is your tips folks? Upwey to drop 1 of their last 2 and miss for me.

On a side note - wouldn't want to draw Woori first week of finals as Box Hill will have week off in their finals series - Will they release Monkey and Robbie?
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Good post. I also think that the race for the wooden spoon is open again after Healesville's second-biggest loss ever on Saturday. If Yarra Glen can somehow win one of their last two games, and Healesville keep losing by, say, 10 goals each week, then the percentage gap can be closed.

Anyway, I will have a go:
Monbulk 48
Woori 46
Olinda 46
Gembrook 44
Warby 44
Upwey 44
 
Derby103 said:
Anyway, I will have a go:
Monbulk 48
Woori 46
Olinda 46
Gembrook 44
Warby 44
Upwey 44
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mmm looks like another still not rating the boys from the Log Cabin. Its been very interesting watching & reading everyones opinion on how we are going.

Here my tips
Monbulk 56
Woori 46
Warby 44
Upwey 44
Olinda 42
Gembrook 40

Will depend greatly on what happens with Woori's VFL players. Anybody thought about the players at Casey....
 
Derby103 said:
No, I think you'll do well. Its more that your opponents over the next two weeks have 'must win' games, and your mob are sitting comfortably on top of the ladder.
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As a coach Ive never quite understood this Must win mentallity. To me every week is MUST WIN & Especially this year.
Its which ever way you spin it. Last week Mt Eve - had a Must Win & we saw what happened. The next 2 weeks should be a huge motivation for the boys from the cabin - knock off two finals asperants & possible finals opponents would be a huge boost to an individuals confidence & as a collective team knowing you have one up on a opposition, thats exactly what you want.
If you want to win on that last day forget about leaving anything in the tank saving it for later at this time of year - it just doesnt work like that.

saying that wonder what the Pies & Cats do Rnd 24....:confused:
 

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Cagga said:
mmm looks like another still not rating the boys from the Log Cabin. Its been very interesting watching & reading everyones opinion on how we are going.

Here my tips
Monbulk 56
Woori 46
Warby 44
Upwey 44
Olinda 42
Gembrook 40

Will depend greatly on what happens with Woori's VFL players. Anybody thought about the players at Casey....
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I was thinking the same Cagga that they could shape the finals. However looking at the ladder at the moment Box Hill is on top in the 2's and Casey is 3rd. I would assume that they would go deep into the finals for their VFL clubs.

Dont worry about people not rating the boys from the log cabin. They have been clearly the best team this year and look very classy over the whole field. Deff the team to beat!!!!!
 
Cagga said:
saying that wonder what the Pies & Cats do Rnd 24....:confused:
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If they have any heart they will beat each other to a bloodied pulp and suck the marrow out of each others bones. Then the survivors will riot at the funerals and....
Oh you get the picture! :)

I think that Monbulk are looking pretty good, and I hear that #37 is pressing for selection. Word is he will walk out because they spelled his name wrong on the club website.
 
Interesting preview with 1 week to go.

1. Monbulk safe at the top with a weeks rest.

2. Woori play Olinda for safe second. Whoever loses goes to an elimination final unless Mt Evelyn beats Upwey (would be an upset). If Mount does win, Woori & Olinda will play 2 weeks in a row.

3. If Upwey win, they move to third with a second chance. If they lose, play in an elimination final.

4. Gembrook and Warby both losing by a point have kept last spot active. Next week one plays top, the other plays bottom which has given Gembrook the harder road.

5. Probably only a slim chance of Yarra Glen and Healesville winning next week which means relegation would come down to percentage. Haven't got the energy to work out what sort of margins both would need to lose by for Yarra Glen to pick up 2.5% but I'm guessing it might be something like YG losing by 1 and the reds losing by 100.
 
ManInWhite said:
5. Probably only a slim chance of Yarra Glen and Healesville winning next week which means relegation would come down to percentage. Haven't got the energy to work out what sort of margins both would need to lose by for Yarra Glen to pick up 2.5% but I'm guessing it might be something like YG losing by 1 and the reds losing by 100.
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Don't tease me! :D
 
OK Monnie - I've had a go before the Strongbows kick in...

Next week if Yarra Glen lose to Warby 100 points to 99 - they'll have a percentage of 73.75%

If Healesville lose to Wandin 100 points to 60, they'll fnish on 73.89%

In other words, if YG lose by the smallest of margins and Healesville lose by a fair bit, could get interesting. About 40-50 points could be the difference...
 
Must have been some kind of a record at Gembrook today, with all three matches decided by a margin of one point.

Junction were stiff to miss out on the double chance. If Kinglake had kicked one more point at Alexandra, the Eagles would have finished third.

Here are a couple of scenarios for Yarra Glen getting off the bottom next week: Healesville losing 60-120 at Wandin and Yarra Glen losing 80-90 against Warburton. Alternatively, Healesville 90-150 and Yarra Glen 100-105 would do the job.

Even if Gembrook win at Monbulk next week, they could still be overtaken on percentage by Warburton. If Gembrook was to win 100-80, Warburton would need to win at Yarra Glen 120-65 or similar. If, as appears more likely, Gembrook go down at Monbulk, then Warburton could lose narrowly at Yarra Glen and still move into the Five. One such example of that would be Gembrook losing 60-100 and Warburton losing 90-99. So it looks like there are five or six goals in it.
 
Derby103 said:
Must have been some kind of a record at Gembrook today, with all three matches decided by a margin of one point.

Junction were stiff to miss out on the double chance. If Kinglake had kicked one more point at Alexandra, the Eagles would have finished third.

Here are a couple of scenarios for Yarra Glen getting off the bottom next week: Healesville losing 60-120 at Wandin and Yarra Glen losing 80-90 against Warburton. Alternatively, Healesville 90-150 and Yarra Glen 100-105 would do the job.

Even if Gembrook win at Monbulk next week, they could still be overtaken on percentage by Warburton. If Gembrook was to win 100-80, Warburton would need to win at Yarra Glen 120-65 or similar. If, as appears more likely, Gembrook go down at Monbulk, then Warburton could lose narrowly at Yarra Glen and still move into the Five. One such example of that would be Gembrook losing 60-100 and Warburton losing 90-99. So it looks like there are five or six goals in it.
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two things derby your confusing me and moniehawk wow you got home quick
 
ManInWhite said:
Interesting preview with 1 week to go.


5. Probably only a slim chance of Yarra Glen and Healesville winning next week which means relegation would come down to percentage. Haven't got the energy to work out what sort of margins both would need to lose by for Yarra Glen to pick up 2.5% but I'm guessing it might be something like YG losing by 1 and the reds losing by 100.
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Same chance would have been given to Yarra Glen and Wandin this week and look what happened. Does anyone want to play finals this year? Both Warby and Gembrook a chance to consolidate themselves in the 5 and choked. Gebrook getting outscored in the last qtr to loose to Y.G and Warby kicking 8 goals to 4 goals in last qtr to loose by a point. Upwey doing a Bradbury and watching teams fall over in front of them. One thing to take out of the year so far and that is Monbulk is clearly the class team of the comp and flag favourites.
 
Cagga said:
Here my tips
Monbulk 56
Woori 46
Warby 44
Upwey 44
Olinda 42
Gembrook 40
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Well thats up the $hit! Too bloody hard to predict what will happen this week - Its hurting my head. Rumour has it kegs of beer were sent as incentives to Wandin & YG from Olinda
 
Interested to know people thoughts here - Obviously the team i am a part of is playing Monbulk this week so my questions are a little self centred..:D

Monbulk have won 9 in a row. We know how hard it is to continue winning streaks and often hear at AFL level about the 'loss they needed to have'. Questions are -

Is it harder to win a flag if you are on a streak and going for say 13 in a row? (I am talking expectations etc). Or is it a load of rubbish?

If you were a player at Monbulk, and had a niggle, would you risk that this week knowing it is a dead rubber for them. Given they have the following week off - would you want to miss 2?

Derby, Can you provide any stats re winning streaks to flags?

My thought are that a team that cannot go up or down and playing in a dead rubber would least want to face a team who must win AT ALL COSTS to have a chance to play finals? Then again I would rather be in Monbulks position that Gembrook/Warbys.

..:D
..:D
..:D
 
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