Clearly we have different opinions regarding Motlop in almost every level.There's already a very good chance Draper is available in any case as he's rated behind Motlop by most but I take your point. It'll be interesting who's available and who we take at that pick or even if we use it. Motlop seems a good chance and a logical chance as it's right in his predicted zone, he's local, a NGA of ours, and is a list need.
With Schultz, Switkowski, Colyer and Walters, small forward is a long way from being a need. That group of four still leaves out other smaller players who would in some sense compete for that spot in the 22 such as Crowden and Henry.
Being part of our NGA is nice in as much as we have the best intel on him, but at pick 21 it provides no other advantages and no reason to prefer him. We should purely be selecting him based on how he is rated.
In contrast, players such as Draper and Butler compete with the likes of Sturt and Banfield (perhaps Frederick and Henry) as medium tall options. None of those players are convincing in that position at this stage, with Frederick and Henry looking like they have been played there primarily for development purposes.
Motlop looks like a nice player to me but I'm not convinced by phantom drafts which cluster him around our pick (a pick we are likely to live trade). I will also be interested to see how accurate Twomey is. My thinking is that this is going to be one of the least predictable drafts in recent times.