Teams 2022 Rate My Preseason Team

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Good question. Following your sharemarket analogy - I think you need a mix of blue chips and undervalued companies for your Premo picks.

Blue chips are your Gawn/Grundy types and those that finished top 10 in their position. You pay the premium to get good reliable performance and know they will still be in the top % of performers at the end of the year. You need at least 3 of these to be your go-to captain choices.

Undervalued is the area I feel is most overlooked. These are players who weren’t in the top 10 for their position last year, but you are hoping will finish there this year. This can be obvious ones like your return from injury players such as Sicily. Or the other one I feel people ignore are the players who could take that next small step and perform at blue chip level for a lower price. Let’s use Andrew Brayshaw as an example. Say I pick him over Jack Steele because I think he is undervalued. If Brayshaw takes the next step and averages the same as Steele then I’ve saved $100k and can use that to get Steele in later. At the same time everyone else will be looking to trade in Brayshaw. So the net is I have half a season of maybe an extra 10 ppg from starting Brayshaw and trading in Steele vs somebody who starts with Steele and trades in Brayshaw. It doesn’t sound like much, but if you nail a few of these picks then it makes a big difference.

Looking at my team, I’ve got 5 x blue chip and 7 x undervalued as my premo picks.
Good explanation 👍
 
Good question. Following your sharemarket analogy - I think you need a mix of blue chips and undervalued companies for your Premo picks.

Blue chips are your Gawn/Grundy types and those that finished top 10 in their position. You pay the premium to get good reliable performance and know they will still be in the top % of performers at the end of the year. You need at least 3 of these to be your go-to captain choices.

Undervalued is the area I feel is most overlooked. These are players who weren’t in the top 10 for their position last year, but you are hoping will finish there this year. This can be obvious ones like your return from injury players such as Sicily. Or the other one I feel people ignore are the players who could take that next small step and perform at blue chip level for a lower price. Let’s use Andrew Brayshaw as an example. Say I pick him over Jack Steele because I think he is undervalued. If Brayshaw takes the next step and averages the same as Steele then I’ve saved $100k and can use that to get Steele in later. At the same time everyone else will be looking to trade in Brayshaw. So the net is I have half a season of maybe an extra 10 ppg from starting Brayshaw and trading in Steele vs somebody who starts with Steele and trades in Brayshaw. It doesn’t sound like much, but if you nail a few of these picks then it makes a big difference.

Looking at my team, I’ve got 5 x blue chip and 7 x undervalued as my premo picks.
A frame of reference I can make sense of, yay!
I guess my instinct on this is: I feel like since we start this with a finite salary, I want to be as close as 100% rock solid on my "blue chips" from the outset, because so long as I'm confident that they are going to perform among the highest level available on the market then I'll feel more confident to choose my unicorns-to-be / rookies with absolute freedom, because I won't need to waste any trades on getting better blue chips. Hence why I feel like I should be more worried about the floors rather than the ceilings of the premos. Maybe I'm wrong though!

Yes but on the sharemarket, as in SC, sell high, buy low.

But is SC REALLY like the sharemarket when it comes to premos that you're confident will maintain their value, given you'll never have to sell them? As far as I can understand it, there are basically two driving forces in SC success:
1) accurately picking market leading premos so you don't have to waste trades changing them and so you don't fall too far behind the leading pack, and
2) accurately picking the unicorns (and occasionally the mid-pricers) so you can create cash gen that allows you to finance 1)

To continue the stockmarket analogy, at the end of the day all I want from my premos are the "dividends", yeah? And so I need as many premos as possible so get the most amount of dividends.
 
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A frame of reference I can make sense of, yay!
I guess my instinct on this is: I feel like since we start this with a finite salary, I want to be as close as 100% rock solid on my "blue chips" from the outset, because so long as I'm confident that they are going to perform among the highest level available on the market then I'll feel more confident to choose my unicorns-to-be / rookies with absolute freedom, because I won't need to waste any trades on getting better blue chips. Hence why I feel like I should be more worried about the floors rather than the ceilings of the premos. Maybe I'm wrong though!



But is SC REALLY like the sharemarket when it comes to premos that you're confident will maintain their value, given you'll never have to sell them? As far as I can understand it, there basically two driving forces in SC success:
1) accurately picking market leading premos so you don't have to waste trades changing them and so you don't fall too far behind the leading pack, and
2) accurately picking the unicorns (and occasionally the mid-pricers) so you can create cash gen that allows you to finance 1)

To continue the stockmarket analogy, at the end of the day all I want from my premos are the "dividends", yeah? And so I need as many premos as possible so get the most amount of dividends.
It’s not about Stewart’s price. It’s about getting Crisp or Lloyd cheap now instead of having to pay more for them later in the season.
 
It’s not about Stewart’s price. It’s about getting Crisp or Lloyd cheap now instead of having to pay more for them later in the season.
Right. So here's the part of the equation I haven't really considered yet. What's the cost differential on the likely price of the other premos I'll need to fill out a successful squad throughout the season. Cool. I'll think about this a bit between now and lockout day. Thanks!
 
just looking at this I think i‘d first try to free up cash by downgrading Oliver or Bont to Parish.

Rowell looks worth trying to keep.
whatever works for you. I just meant you might need to free up some funds.
It’s a good team and as long as you have contingencies for rookies then you’re set.
 

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must be catching - I posted the same thing earlier today
Honestly, bar Butters, he's probably the best option of the $400-500k forwards (don't you dare mention I, Zucchini in my esteemed presence). The DPP is handy if you're taking Hayes, too. I can also see the logic in saving some cash on Gawn if you're wanting to avoid the Brodie/McGovern/Xerri/Gresham minefield. Only issue is that he'll get monstered round 1.
 
Honestly, bar Butters, he's probably the best option of the $400-500k forwards (don't you dare mention I, Zucchini in my esteemed presence). The DPP is handy if you're taking Hayes, too. I can also see the logic in saving some cash on Gawn if you're wanting to avoid the Brodie/McGovern/Xerri/Gresham minefield. Only issue is that he'll get monstered round 1.

it is basically to free up some cash so I can structure the rookies properly - lets me take Berry and one less rook on field while not reducing keepers
 
Gonna make my team 5 minutes before the first bounce of the round while pissed for maximum epicness.
satisfied-snoop-dogg.gif
 
Thoughts and advice?
I'm feeling Taranto in a contract year and Brayshaw as my key contender for a breakout season
Not sold on why Caldwell is there but unsure of alternatives, and hate that I have McGovern Screen Shot 2022-03-13 at 11.10.30 pm.png
 
Honestly, bar Butters, he's probably the best option of the $400-500k forwards (don't you dare mention I, Zucchini in my esteemed presence). The DPP is handy if you're taking Hayes, too. I can also see the logic in saving some cash on Gawn if you're wanting to avoid the Brodie/McGovern/Xerri/Gresham minefield. Only issue is that he'll get monstered round 1.
Are you looking at English as a FWD or R2 ?
 
Thoughts and advice?
I'm feeling Taranto in a contract year and Brayshaw as my key contender for a breakout season
Not sold on why Caldwell is there but unsure of alternatives, and hate that I have McGovernView attachment 1343789
Pretty good team.
Just on the Taranto selection, do you know which games he was asked to play forward at the end of last year? My recollection is he got the last scores 3 playing mainly forward

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