Strategy 2024 Fantasy Planning Thread

[Zevon]

Can’t believe people are saying Taylor Adams

3

Taylor Adams

Age

31

Ht

181cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

24.9

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

11.4

5star

M

4.0

4star

T

4.8

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

20.4

5star

K

12.4

5star

HB

8.0

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

5.9

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

18.2

5star

K

11.0

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.4

4star

T

3.0

5star

CL

2.2

4star

will be perma mid.

Like yes, he’ll be perma mid for the 3 games he plays for us, but surely he’ll be perma medical room for the remainder of the year if the rest of his career is anything to go by.

 

[Zevon]

His games played history is far better than Yeo, barely missed this year until the finals injury and 17 last year.

Fair enough, must say that is a better last couple of years than I thought he’d had. My perception was very much that he could barely get on the field.

 

[Tex Danger]

Fair enough, must say that is a better last couple of years than I thought he’d had. My perception was very much that he could barely get on the field.

Question is did the forward role help and the mid role needed to be relevant increase injury risk

 

[JDWCE]

Question is did the forward role help and the mid role needed to be relevant increase injury risk

Almost certainly. Less crash and bash. Playing full time mid I’d be surprised if he lasted until the bye without an injury

 

[Exambolor]

Interesting to how this will affect R1 Fantasy if this happens. Would they do it as one long rolling lockout after the first week of the l split or would they do two seperate “weeks”

AFL floats double-header in Sydney to open 2024 season

The 2024 season would start in Sydney under an AFL proposal

www.afl.com.au

 

[happy_eagle]

Interesting to how this will affect R1 Fantasy if this happens. Would they do it as one long rolling lockout after the first week of the l split or would they do two seperate “weeks”

AFL floats double-header in Sydney to open 2024 season

The 2024 season would start in Sydney under an AFL proposal

www.afl.com.au

The article is poorly worded

Are they suggesting that Collingwood, Melbourne, Sydney, GWS would play in both weeks of R1, essentially creating a double game round like BBL Supercoach has ?

 

[FlowersByIrene]

The article is poorly worded

Are they suggesting that Collingwood, Melbourne, Sydney, GWS would play in both weeks of R1, essentially creating a double game round like BBL Supercoach has ?

Yes that is what they are suggesting in that Article. The four teams would need to have another 'bye' during the season to make up for the double game. That would absolutely **** AFL fantasy.

You would just need to not play fantasy for the first week, and then use Bye rules for the extra bye week, but it would mean those four teams play 1 less game than every other team for fantasy purposes. Or you take their score from the first non-round and just mechanically apply it to the bye round.

 

[happy_eagle]

Yes that is what they are suggesting in that Article. The four teams would need to have another 'bye' during the season to make up for the double game. That would absolutely * AFL fantasy.

You would just need to not play fantasy for the first week, and then use Bye rules for the extra bye week, but it would mean those four teams play 1 less game than every other team for fantasy purposes. Or you take their score from the first non-round and just mechanically apply it to the bye round.

I'd say the fairer solution would either
1. Just take the first score and apply their second score/average in the bye round.
2. Take the higher score of the two weeks. Would incentivise you to pick these players for R1, but remembering they would have a bye in R4 or so, so you'd have to balance it out.

 

[Tex Danger]

I'd say the fairer solution would either
1. Just take the first score and apply their second score/average in the bye round.
2. Take the higher score of the two weeks. Would incentivise you to pick these players for R1, but remembering they would have a bye in R4 or so, so you'd have to balance it out.

I see no reason to complicate it re the afl fixture and just have those teams sit out week 2 of rd 1.

It is actually a competitive advantage to those 4 teams

• they play their 2nd full hitout while other teams are running out the rust (rd 1 always more cramping players)
• they get a spread of breaks through the year

but if they do it definitely is awkward for AF

 

[Shadow89]

This is f*cking idiotic, lol. As Tex Danger said, Why wouldn't they just have the 'double header' as part of the split round, and not play the following weekend. Having a bye a few rounds later makes no sense. Just make it one long round from the Friday to the following Sunday.

Dillon off to a wonderful start it seems - following in his braindead, money-grubbing, predecessor's footsteps.

 

[Haggas]

Thread 'Keeper League Draftee Fantasy Scores'
Keeper League Draftee Fantasy Scores

New thread I have created for AFL draftee’s fantasy scores pre AFL for Keeper Leagues but can be used for Classic aswell

 

[BloodBrother1]

Anyone have any ideas on what the magic number might be. Based on the last 2 years and doing an average difference i came up with the magic number of 9082 to calculate the 2024 pricing using the players last average.
This means Bontompelli might be priced at $1,063,000 (approx).
Formula = 117*9082 (rounded to nearest thousand) = $1,063,000.00

 

[powerrrrrrrrrrrr]

Anyone have any ideas on what the magic number might be. Based on the last 2 years and doing an average difference i came up with the magic number of 9082 to calculate the 2024 pricing using the players last average.
This means Bontompelli might be priced at $1,063,000 (approx).
Formula = 117*9082 (rounded to nearest thousand) = $1,063,000.00

The DT Talk guys have come up with 8850 and cap at 15.5M.

They’re usually off by a bit so would say you’re pretty close but expecting it to be around the 8900-8950 mark (based on no calculations on my end).

 

[NagoyaDreaming]

A Code Sports article has Petracca at 25% forward as of August 3rd. However, for the next 4 games he has 71%, 72%, 61% and 65% forward time on the AFL App. Do you think this is enough to get him to the 35% mark? I need him forward for my keeper league lol.

 

[BloodBrother1]

A Code Sports article has Petracca at 25% forward as of August 3rd. However, for the next 4 games he has 71%, 72%, 61% and 65% forward time on the AFL App. Do you think this is enough to get him to the 35% mark? I need him forward for my keeper league lol.

if he is a DPP fwd i will be locking him in!!!!
is Grundy going to be a fwd given thats where Melb were trying to play him? If so he is a lock as well

 

[turtles]

A Code Sports article has Petracca at 25% forward as of August 3rd. However, for the next 4 games he has 71%, 72%, 61% and 65% forward time on the AFL App. Do you think this is enough to get him to the 35% mark? I need him forward for my keeper league lol.

As of August 3rd Petracca would have played 19 Games.

time forward; 25*19= 475

He then played those 4 games; 71+72+61+65= 269

Total time forward; 475+269= 744

Total time from 23 games; 23*100= 2300

so after 23 games he was at 744 of 2300 time forward; 744/2300= 32.3%


To gain forward status he needs 35%+ so he falls short, however he then played 2 finals .

Total time from 25 games; 25*100= 2500

Time forward needed after 25 games; 35% of 2500 = 875

Total time forward from remaining 2 games needed; 875-744= 131

Average time forward from final two games needed; 131/2= 65.5

So Petracca needs to have spent 65.5%+ forward from his two finals to reach the 35% threshold for forward dpp.

 

[NagoyaDreaming]

The AFL App (Telstra Tracker) has him at 62% fwd against Collingwood and then 75% fwd against Carlton in finals.

62+75= 137

 

[happy_eagle]

They don't take finals games into consideration do they ?

 

[NagoyaDreaming]

They don't take finals games into consideration do they ?

Freako mentioned this a while back. Maybe it has changed.

 

[turtles]

They don't take finals games into consideration do they ?

I thought they did for positions, but I am unsure.
I thought Toby McLean was a mid only in 2022 and played 0 home and away games, yet was a mid/fwd at the start of 2023, assumed it was based on the final he played in 2022?

The AFL App (Telstra Tracker) has him at 62% fwd against Collingwood and then 75% fwd against Carlton in finals.

62+75= 137

Would make him 35.24% if finals do affect positions.
Could be swayed by which games rounded up or down and these calculations assumes he played a constant time on ground each game so there will be variance due to that as well.

Also I think the Telstra tracker simply records possessions in forward half and defensive half, where champion data uses time in position or something? So using these numbers might not be a true reflection

 

[FlowersByIrene]

They don't take finals games into consideration do they ?

Fairly sure they do as the positions are determined by Champion Data statistics which takes into account finals, and apparently reserve positions as well, Champion Data uses all that information for its 'general forward', 'inside mid', 'outside mid' calculations and then AFL Fantasy takes the figures they use to calculate those (i.e starting position percentage) and use that for DPP. And that process is outside AFL Fantasy's control as positions are now aligned across Fantasy and Super Coach so much be some sort of requirement.

 

[Exambolor]

Sam Naismith

24

Sam Naismith

Age

32

Ht

205cm

Wt

108kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.9

2star

K

3.6

1star

HB

5.3

4star

CL

2.0

4star

HO

25.5

5star

D

9.5

2star

K

7.5

3star

HB

2.0

1star

CL

3.0

4star

HO

26.5

5star

D

9.2

3star

K

3.2

2star

HB

6.0

4star

CL

1.4

4star

HO

25.4

5star

signed with Richmond so we may have our R3

 

[happy_eagle]

Sam Naismith signed with Richmond so we may have our R3

Looks like we are going to get pretty duped by the pricing calculator on this one.

Hasn't played in the last 2 years, so it will be 30% on his most recent season.

Unfortunately he played 2 games in 2020 for 77 (96 adjusted for full length quarters). That would have him priced at an average of 67 (this years equivalent of being 600,000)

 

[freo_leo29]

Getting a round 0 with only 4 games and then those teams are having byes in round 5ish after gather round (may even be split byes)


WTF is Fantasy going to do for that?

Start a week late and then 18 on field for the bye/s?


Split round would have been easier ffs

 

[Cm Perfect]

Getting a round 0 with only 4 games and then those teams are having byes in round 5ish after gather round (may even be split byes)


WTF is Fantasy going to do for that?

Start a week late and then 18 on field for the bye/s?


Split round would have been easier ffs

It's a nightmare. With the first 4 games not counting, that's just 8 teams' worth of players you have to watch and pray they don't get injured (whilst not being able to enjoy their scoring), completely killing the vibe for the start of the season. Brilliant work by the geniuses at AFL House as always.