Depends what our R1 this year looks like tbh. Good chance of it being a top 10 pick. Then it's too much.
Fremantle What Fremantle Gave What Fremantle Got Luke Jackson 3 games 138 XG Pick 13 1212 points 79 XG Pick 44 Pick not used 362 points 21 XG Pick 67 Pick not used 69 points 13 XG 2023R1 (Fremantle)
(estimate: pick 13)1212 points 79 XG 2023R2 (Fremantle)
(estimate: pick 31)606 points 44 XG 3 picks 0 games 3030 points 202 XG 2 picks 1 player 3 games 431 points 172 XG
I think people are overestimating what Freo paid for LJ. We gave a net 2599 draft points for him, virtually equivalent to a pick 2 (2517 points).
We paid for a lot of potential. But taking someone straight from the draft is ALL potential.
LJ has a proven robust body and match winning flair on the big stage. He has demonstrated versatility that few can match. These things are immensely valuable to a team.
He is already a much safer bet than any draftee.
The deal at this stage is a win for Freo. In the long term he might possibly under-deliver but this is true of all young players.
PS In case anyone here hasn't found Draft Guru it is an absolutely brilliant site. 2022 Trade for Luke Jackson - Draftguru