Mega Thread 2024 Media & Miscellaneous Thread

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Lachie Schultz in today's presser adding to the talk about needing to start games faster / with more intensity, coupled with the stat doing the rounds about Freo having won only three first quarters in the last 20 games, sent me off on a bit of research:

2022 season

OpponentQ1: W/L/DFT: W/L/D (FT-Q1 differential)
AdelaideW +17W +1 (-16)
St KildaW +14L -10 (-24)
WCW +8W +55 (+47)
GWSW +10W +34 (+24)
EssendonW +8W +48 (+40)
CarltonL -4W +35 (+39)
GeelongL -9W +3 (+12)
North MelbW +29W +78 (+49)
Gold CoastW +2L -36 (-38)
CollingwoodD =0L -36 (-36)
MelbourneL -2W +38 (+40)
BrisbaneL -13W +14 (+27)
HawthornL -3W +13 (+16)
CarltonW +9L -31 (-40)
Port AdelaideD =0W +8 (+8)
St KildaL -1W +41 (+42)
SydneyW +14L -17 (-31)
RichmondL -2D =0 (+2)
MelbourneL -13L -46 (-33)
W BulldogsW +9W +17 (+8)
WCL -2W +24 (+26)
GWSL -13W +20 (+33)
W Bulldogs (EF)L -34W +13 (+47)
Collingwood (SF)L -23L -20 (+3)

Q1FT
WL = 4
WW = 6
LL = 2
LW = 8
DW = 1
DL = 1
LD = 1

Relative to all outcomes, we are statistically more likely to win if we lose the first quarter (LW = 1 in 3) than if we win the first quarter (WW = 1 in 4). Of games in which the first quarter was lost, the win rate is 8 of 11 (=72.7%). Of games in which the first quarter was won, the win rate is 4 in 10 (40%).

We lost the last three quarters 7 times in 2022: once following a drawn first quarter, once following a lost first quarter and five times following a won first quarter.

Pre-"they've figured us out!!!" (i.e. Rds 1-9), our only losses came in games where we won the first quarter. Even the following week against Collingwood, we drew the first quarter.

Moral of the story: we tend to play better if we lose the first quarter, so it's best if the players just sit down and have a cup of tea until the start of the second quarter.
 

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Lachie Schultz in today's presser adding to the talk about needing to start games faster / with more intensity, coupled with the stat doing the rounds about Freo having won only three first quarters in the last 20 games, sent me off on a bit of research:

2022 season

OpponentQ1: W/L/DFT: W/L/D (FT-Q1 differential)
AdelaideW +17W +1 (-16)
St KildaW +14L -10 (-24)
WCW +8W +55 (+47)
GWSW +10W +34 (+24)
EssendonW +8W +48 (+40)
CarltonL -4W +35 (+39)
GeelongL -9W +3 (+12)
North MelbW +29W +78 (+49)
Gold CoastW +2L -36 (-38)
CollingwoodD =0L -36 (-36)
MelbourneL -2W +38 (+40)
BrisbaneL -13W +14 (+27)
HawthornL -3W +13 (+16)
CarltonW +9L -31 (-40)
Port AdelaideD =0W +8 (+8)
St KildaL -1W +41 (+42)
SydneyW +14L -17 (-31)
RichmondL -2D =0 (+2)
MelbourneL -13L -46 (-33)
W BulldogsW +9W +17 (+8)
WCL -2W +24 (+26)
GWSL -13W +20 (+33)
W Bulldogs (EF)L -34W +13 (+47)
Collingwood (SF)L -23L -20 (+3)

Q1FT
WL = 4
WW = 6
LL = 2
LW = 8
DW = 1
DL = 1
LD = 1

Relative to all outcomes, we are statistically more likely to win if we lose the first quarter (LW = 1 in 3) than if we win the first quarter (WW = 1 in 4). Of games in which the first quarter was lost, the win rate is 8 of 11 (=72.7%). Of games in which the first quarter was won, the win rate is 4 in 10 (40%).

We lost the last three quarters 7 times in 2022: once following a drawn first quarter, once following a lost first quarter and five times following a won first quarter.

Pre-"they've figured us out!!!" (i.e. Rds 1-9), our only losses came in games where we won the first quarter. Even the following week against Collingwood, we drew the first quarter.

Moral of the story: we tend to play better if we lose the first quarter, so it's best if the players just sit down and have a cup of tea until the start of the second quarter.
The weird psychology that must surround that. It's like we have to be the underdog comeback team. If we're winning, we start to cruise and then can't find another gear. So odd.
 
The weird psychology that must surround that. It's like we have to be the underdog comeback team. If we're winning, we start to cruise and then can't find another gear. So odd.
It’s actually not a great trait. To be a top team you can’t wait till chips are down to start playing your best. If we want to be really good, we should be putting away inferior teams within 20 minutes like Geelong tend to do over the years.
 
It’s a bit tricky I think. While winning from the start would seem the way to go, teams holding a lead (especially later in match) can play more to hang on than win. Our W3 in Derby was a bit that way.

It could be that our young ‘uns in particular need the whip of having to make up ground - and are not so skilled at keeping a lead…
 
It’s a bit tricky I think. While winning from the start would seem the way to go, teams holding a lead (especially later in match) can play more to hang on than win. Our W3 in Derby was a bit that way.

It could be that our young ‘uns in particular need the whip of having to make up ground - and are not so skilled at keeping a lead…
Time my friend.
Give them time.
 
Lachie Schultz in today's presser adding to the talk about needing to start games faster / with more intensity, coupled with the stat doing the rounds about Freo having won only three first quarters in the last 20 games, sent me off on a bit of research:

2022 season

OpponentQ1: W/L/DFT: W/L/D (FT-Q1 differential)
AdelaideW +17W +1 (-16)
St KildaW +14L -10 (-24)
WCW +8W +55 (+47)
GWSW +10W +34 (+24)
EssendonW +8W +48 (+40)
CarltonL -4W +35 (+39)
GeelongL -9W +3 (+12)
North MelbW +29W +78 (+49)
Gold CoastW +2L -36 (-38)
CollingwoodD =0L -36 (-36)
MelbourneL -2W +38 (+40)
BrisbaneL -13W +14 (+27)
HawthornL -3W +13 (+16)
CarltonW +9L -31 (-40)
Port AdelaideD =0W +8 (+8)
St KildaL -1W +41 (+42)
SydneyW +14L -17 (-31)
RichmondL -2D =0 (+2)
MelbourneL -13L -46 (-33)
W BulldogsW +9W +17 (+8)
WCL -2W +24 (+26)
GWSL -13W +20 (+33)
W Bulldogs (EF)L -34W +13 (+47)
Collingwood (SF)L -23L -20 (+3)

Q1FT
WL = 4
WW = 6
LL = 2
LW = 8
DW = 1
DL = 1
LD = 1

Relative to all outcomes, we are statistically more likely to win if we lose the first quarter (LW = 1 in 3) than if we win the first quarter (WW = 1 in 4). Of games in which the first quarter was lost, the win rate is 8 of 11 (=72.7%). Of games in which the first quarter was won, the win rate is 4 in 10 (40%).

We lost the last three quarters 7 times in 2022: once following a drawn first quarter, once following a lost first quarter and five times following a won first quarter.

Pre-"they've figured us out!!!" (i.e. Rds 1-9), our only losses came in games where we won the first quarter. Even the following week against Collingwood, we drew the first quarter.

Moral of the story: we tend to play better if we lose the first quarter, so it's best if the players just sit down and have a cup of tea until the start of the second quarter.
Slight edit - win rate when we lose q1 is 60%, not 40%.

interesting nonetheless
 

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While Andrew Brayshaw leads Fremantle for centre clearances, Serong has done his best work around the ground with 25 stoppage clearances for the season – just three behind league leader Matt Rowell.

Interesting to see that Andy is leading Freo for centre clearances. I was sure I had heard from an infallible BF-er that Andy is no good at clearance work. I must be wrong.
 



Interesting to see that Andy is leading Freo for centre clearances. I was sure I had heard from an infallible BF-er that Andy is no good at clearance work. I must be wrong.
I guess the question is who got it out to him a lot of the time
 
I guess the question is who got it out to him a lot of the time
That’s not how clearance stats work

“Credited to the player who has the first effective disposal in a chain that clears the stoppage area, or an ineffective kick or clanger kick that clears the stoppage area.”
 
I think Serong is on anywhere from four to eight brownlow votes at the moment.
St Kilda, maybe one, probably none
North - LDU should get 3, after that it's a bit of a raffle even with coaches votes but I have him for one
Eagles - should get 3
Adelaide - probably none, but was Freo's best
Gold Coast - should get 3
 

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